BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, I (BJ) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the BJ stock price target?

Take-profit $94.14 (+1.0% upside). Prior stop was $88.81.

Q: What are the risks of investing in BJ?

Target reached (1.0% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0); Target reached (1.0% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Q: Is BJ overvalued or undervalued?

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, I trades at a P/E of 20.9 (forward 18.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about BJ?

32 analysts cover BJ with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $105.

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-01

Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $93.12: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

BJ's Wholesale Club operates 263 membership warehouse clubs and 199 gas stations concentrated in the eastern U.S. across 21 states, with over 8 million members paying $60-$120 annual fees. Membership fee income was $499.8M in fiscal 2025; private label brands Wellsley Farms and... Read more

$93.12+1.0% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#8 of 9 Discount Stores

Stop $88.81Target $94.14(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1

Analyst target$104.60+12.3%20 analysts

$94.14our TP

$93.12price

$104.60mean

$74

$120

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 21d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and news legal. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (1.0% upside)

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.9

P/E (Fwd)18.6

Mkt Cap$11.9B

EV/EBITDA13.1

Profit Mgn2.7%

ROE28.6%

Rev Growth5.6%

Beta0.33

DividendNone

Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.67bearish

IV46%normal

Max Pain$45-51.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

MEDIUMGeographicNew York metropolitan area23%
10-K Item 1A: 'Our financial and operational performance is dependent on our operations in the New York metropolitan area, which accounted for 23% of net sales in fiscal year 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.915%0.89

Quality3.815%0.57

Growth3.315%0.49

Momentum2.010%0.20

Sentiment5.210%0.52

Insider Activity3.810%0.38

Peer Rank4.110%0.41

Technical Setup5.75%0.29

Risk Profile5.75%0.29

Catalyst6.55%0.33

Overall (Σ contributions)4.36

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

1.0

Macd

3.3

Rsi

4.5

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth

2.7

Revenue Growth

3.9

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin

0.0

Operating Margin

1.3

Net Margin

1.3

Fcf Quality

2.7

Current Ratio

3.0

Roa

4.7

Moat

5.0

Piotroski F

6.7

Roe

9.5

Excellent ROE: 29%Earnings quality RED FLAG: 34% FCF/NINo competitive moat

GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotNEWS LEGALInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 21d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate

RSI

51 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $89.67Resistance $98.50

Price Targets

$89

$94

A.Upside+1.1%

A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.0% upside)

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

! Momentum score 2.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-21 (21d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is BJ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $93.12: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $88.81. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BJ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $94.14 (+1.0% upside). Prior stop was $88.81. Stop-loss: $88.81.

What are the risks of investing in BJ?

Target reached (1.0% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is BJ overvalued or undervalued?

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, I trades at a P/E of 20.9 (forward 18.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BJ?

32 analysts cover BJ with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $105.

What does BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, I do?BJ's Wholesale Club operates 263 membership warehouse clubs and 199 gas stations concentrated in the eastern U.S....