Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup
Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $110.82 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5.
Dollar Tree operates approximately 9,000 discount retail stores across 48 states and DC and approximately 275 stores in Canada under a single banner, after completing the sale of Family Dollar in July 2025. The company sells everyday consumables and seasonal discretionary... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $110.82 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-17Recent Developments — Dollar Tree, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Dollar Tree (DLTR) Reports Q1: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Dollar Tree (DLTR) Reports Q1: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Dollar Tree (DLTR) Reports Q1: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) - Assessing Headwinds to the Expected Trade-Down Tailwind - Financial Data - Cổng thông tin điện — Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Lào Cai negative
- NEWS A Look at Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) After 3.2% Gain -- GF Value $14 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
Generated 2026-06-17T09:07:23Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMSupplierChina10-K Item 1A: 'Among our foreign suppliers, China is the source of the majority of our direct imports'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-23Item 1.02MEDIUMOn March 19, 2026, Dollar Tree terminated a material definitive agreement (specific agreement not identified; body truncated). Simultaneously entered a new $500 million term loan with Bank of America, N.A., maturing March 19, 2029. No further reason cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $110.82 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $102.99. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $112.50 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $102.99. Stop-loss: $102.99.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5.
Dollar Tree, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.1 (forward 14.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
35 analysts cover DLTR with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $125.
What does Dollar Tree, Inc. do?Dollar Tree operates approximately 9,000 discount retail stores across 48 states and DC and approximately 275 stores in...
Dollar Tree operates approximately 9,000 discount retail stores across 48 states and DC and approximately 275 stores in Canada under a single banner, after completing the sale of Family Dollar in July 2025. The company sells everyday consumables and seasonal discretionary merchandise at low price points — roughly 85% of products at $2.00 or less — with about 40% of merchandise imported, primarily from China.