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PriceSmart, Inc. (PSMT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $162.90: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

PriceSmart was founded in 1996 by Sol and Robert Price, the creators of Price Club, the original warehouse club operator. The mission of PriceSmart is to operate its warehouse club business in Central America, the Caribbean and South America at operating standards as good as, or... Read more

$162.90-0.6% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#7 of 9 Discount Stores
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.40%
IncomeYield0.88%(5y avg 1.14%)Payout26.23%sustainable
Stop $154.28Target $161.94(resistance)A.R:R -3.2:1
Analyst target$153.33-5.9%3 analysts
$161.94our TP
$162.90price
$153.33mean
$135

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $162.90: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — PriceSmart, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-20.0% upside)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.5
P/E (Fwd)22.6
Mkt Cap$4.9B
EV/EBITDA13.9
Profit Mgn2.8%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth9.7%
Beta0.78
Dividend0.88%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
1.4
Operating Margin
2.0
Fcf Quality
3.5
Roe
4.1
Roa
4.6
Current Ratio
4.9
Moat
6.2
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: 44% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.7
Value Rank
3.5
Growth Rank
5.6
GatesA.R:R -3.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $152.65Resistance $165.25

Price Targets

$154
$162
A.Upside-0.6%
A.R:R-3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-20.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-09 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PSMT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $162.90: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $154.28. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PSMT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $161.94 (-0.6% upside). Prior stop was $154.28. Stop-loss: $154.28.

What are the risks of investing in PSMT?

Target reached (-20.0% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is PSMT overvalued or undervalued?

PriceSmart, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.5 (forward 22.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PSMT?

10 analysts cover PSMT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $153.

What does PriceSmart, Inc. do?PriceSmart was founded in 1996 by Sol and Robert Price, the creators of Price Club, the original warehouse club...

PriceSmart was founded in 1996 by Sol and Robert Price, the creators of Price Club, the original warehouse club operator. The mission of PriceSmart is to operate its warehouse club business in Central America, the Caribbean and South America at operating standards as good as, or superior to, warehouse club operations in the United States.

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