PriceSmart, Inc. (PSMT) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the PSMT stock price target?

Take-profit $162.15 (+4.0% upside). Prior stop was $146.94.

Q: What are the risks of investing in PSMT?

Target reached (-16.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0); Target reached (-16.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Q: Is PSMT overvalued or undervalued?

PriceSmart, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.4 (forward 21.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about PSMT?

10 analysts cover PSMT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $153.

Range Bound setup

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-01

Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $156.09: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

PriceSmart was founded in 1996 by Sol and Robert Price, the creators of Price Club, the original warehouse club operator. The mission of PriceSmart is to operate its warehouse club business in Central America, the Caribbean and South America at operating standards as good as, or... Read more

$156.09+4.0% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#7 of 9 Discount Stores

Stop $146.94Target $162.15(resistance)A.R:R -2.9:1

Analyst target$153.33-1.8%3 analysts

$162.15our TP

$156.09price

$153.33mean

$135

$165

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (-16.4% upside)

Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.4

P/E (Fwd)21.8

Mkt Cap$4.8B

EV/EBITDA13.4

Profit Mgn2.8%

ROE12.4%

Rev Growth9.7%

Beta0.75

Dividend0.91%

Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C3.50bearish

IV46%normal

Max Pain$125-19.9% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-02-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
Votes For | | Votes Withheld | | Broker Non-Votes Sherry S. Bahrambeygui | | 27,584,486 | | [... truncated]
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.115%0.76

Quality3.715%0.56

Growth4.615%0.69

Momentum2.510%0.25

Sentiment4.910%0.49

Insider Activity3.810%0.38

Peer Rank3.910%0.39

Technical Setup6.85%0.34

Risk Profile5.25%0.26

Catalyst6.05%0.30

Overall (Σ contributions)4.42

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd

0.0

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Rsi

5.5

Ma Position

6.0

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin

0.0

Net Margin

1.4

Operating Margin

2.0

Fcf Quality

3.5

Roe

4.1

Roa

4.6

Current Ratio

4.9

Moat

5.0

Piotroski F

7.8

Earnings quality RED FLAG: 44% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank

1.7

Value Rank

3.5

Growth Rank

5.6

GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R -2.9=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

48 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $148.30Resistance $165.46

Price Targets

$147

$162

A.Upside+3.9%

A.R:R-2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.4% upside)

! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-07-09 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is PSMT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $156.09: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $146.94. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PSMT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $162.15 (+4.0% upside). Prior stop was $146.94. Stop-loss: $146.94.

What are the risks of investing in PSMT?

Target reached (-16.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is PSMT overvalued or undervalued?

PriceSmart, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.4 (forward 21.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PSMT?

10 analysts cover PSMT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $153.

What does PriceSmart, Inc. do?PriceSmart was founded in 1996 by Sol and Robert Price, the creators of Price Club, the original warehouse club...