Skip to main content
PSMTPriceSmart, Inc.Sell4.7·$176.26-0.43%
Open full analysis

PriceSmart, Inc. (PSMT) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $176.26: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

PriceSmart was founded in 1996 by Sol and Robert Price, the creators of Price Club, the original warehouse club operator. The mission of PriceSmart is to operate its warehouse club business in Central America, the Caribbean and South America at operating standards as good as, or... Read more

$176.26+1.7% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#7 of 9 Discount Stores
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.26%
IncomeYield0.79%(5y avg 1.14%)Payout26.23%sustainable
Stop $165.96Target $179.34(resistance)A.R:R -2.0:1
Analyst target$153.33-13.0%3 analysts
$179.34our TP
$176.26price
$153.33mean
$135

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $176.26: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 29d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — PriceSmart, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-06-09T22:21:41Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 8, 202629d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-26.1% upside)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.0
P/E (Fwd)25.1
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA15.5
Profit Mgn2.8%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth9.7%
Beta0.79
Dividend0.79%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.26bullish
IV49%normal
Max Pain$145-17.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.7
Value Rank
3.5
Growth Rank
4.4

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
1.4
Operating Margin
2.0
Fcf Quality
3.5
Roe
4.1
Roa
4.6
Current Ratio
4.9
Moat
6.2
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: 44% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesA.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 29d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
79 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $153.63Resistance $183.00

Price Targets

$166
$179
A.Upside+1.7%
A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-26.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-08 (29d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PSMT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $176.26: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $165.96. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PSMT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $179.34 (+1.7% upside). Prior stop was $165.96. Stop-loss: $165.96.

What are the risks of investing in PSMT?

Target reached (-26.1% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is PSMT overvalued or undervalued?

PriceSmart, Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.0 (forward 25.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PSMT?

10 analysts cover PSMT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $153.

What does PriceSmart, Inc. do?PriceSmart was founded in 1996 by Sol and Robert Price, the creators of Price Club, the original warehouse club...

PriceSmart was founded in 1996 by Sol and Robert Price, the creators of Price Club, the original warehouse club operator. The mission of PriceSmart is to operate its warehouse club business in Central America, the Caribbean and South America at operating standards as good as, or superior to, warehouse club operations in the United States.

Related stocks: OLLI (Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings) · TBBB (BBB Foods Inc.) · DLTR (Dollar Tree, Inc.) · DG (Dollar General Corporation) · BJ (BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, I)
Home Stocks PSMT

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga62d ago
Benzinga62d agoEarnings