Skip to main content
OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet HoldingsHold6.0·$94.11
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Ollie's Bargain Outlet holds a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, a PEG ratio of 0.85, and analysts projecting 43% upside, with the discount retail model showing 3-of-4 earnings beats, though the stock is in a confirmed technical downtrend with the 200-day moving average declining at 7% per 30 days.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Piotroski Financial Health→Stable
  • Attractive Valuation Peg↓Deteriorating
  • Earnings Beat Consistency→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 19, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $94.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. and subsidiaries (collectively referred to as the "Company" or "Ollie's") is a leading off-price retailer of brand name household products. Since our founding in 1982, the Company's mission has been to sell Good Stuff Cheap®. We do this... Read more

$94.11-2.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#1 of 9 Discount Stores
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.14%
Stop $87.52Analyst target $91.50(reached)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst consensus$101.67+8.0%15 analysts with price targets
$94.11price
$101.67mean
$76
$130

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $94.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Oct 21, 2026

Recent Developments — Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings

Latest item Oct 21, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:39:31Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Dec 9, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.1
P/E (Fwd)19.0
Mkt Cap$5.6B
EV/EBITDA16.4
Profit Mgn9.8%
ROE14.9%
Rev Growth9.1%
Beta0.35
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.06bullish
IV55%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.6
Bollinger
2.0
52w Position
4.1
Gap
5.0
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $83.51Resistance $96.11

Price Targets

A.Upside-2.8%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-09 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OLLI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $94.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $91.50 reached (−2.8%), stop $87.52 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OLLI stock price target?

Analyst target $91.50 reached (−2.8% from $94.11); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $91.50 reached (−2.8%), stop $87.52 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $87.52.

What are the risks of investing in OLLI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is OLLI overvalued or undervalued?

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings trades at a P/E of 21.1 (forward 19.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about OLLI?

22 analysts rate OLLI, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 15 analysts publish price targets averaging $102.

What does Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings do?Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. and subsidiaries (collectively referred to as the "Company" or "Ollie's") is a...

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. and subsidiaries (collectively referred to as the "Company" or "Ollie's") is a leading off-price retailer of brand name household products. Since our founding in 1982, the Company's mission has been to sell Good Stuff Cheap®. We do this through a flexible buying model that focuses on closeout merchandise and excess inventory from suppliers and manufacturers around the world.

Related stocks: DLTR (Dollar Tree, Inc.) · TBBB (BBB Foods Inc.) · BJ (BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, I) · DG (Dollar General Corporation) · PSMT (PriceSmart, Inc.)
Home › Stocks › OLLI

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat99d ago
MarketBeat99d ago
TradingKey99d ago
TradingKey99d ago
Yahoo Finance190d ago
Marketscreener.com190d ago
Marketscreener.com162d ago
Yahoo Finance162d agoEarnings
MarketBeat162d agoEarnings
MarketBeat71d ago
MarketBeat71d ago
TradingView134d ago
TradingView134d ago
Yahoo Finance134d ago
MSN134d ago
MarketBeat15d ago
MarketBeat78d ago
Yahoo Finance22d ago
Yahoo Finance176d ago
Yahoo Finance176d ago
Loading more...