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Bunge Limited (BG) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Farm Products

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $129.77: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

We are a premier agribusiness solutions company, connecting farmers to consumers and delivering essential food, feed and fuel to the world. Our dedicated employees, integrated operations and global footprint give us access to key markets and a diverse agricultural network... Read more

$129.77-0.3% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#1 of 7 Farm Products
Stop $121.99Target $129.29(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$136.25+5.0%8 analysts
$129.29our TP
$129.77price
$136.25mean
$116
$150

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $129.77: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-8.6% upside)
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.2
P/E (Fwd)12.2
Mkt Cap$24.5B
EV/EBITDA18.0
Profit Mgn0.8%
ROE4.9%
Rev Growth87.8%
Beta
Dividend2.22%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV42%normal
Max Pain$100-22.9% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-01Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
0.4
Net Margin
0.4
Roe
1.6
Roa
1.6
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.8
Piotroski F
6.7
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -1112% FCF/NINo competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $117.74Resistance $131.93

Price Targets

$122
$129
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $129.77: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $121.99. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $129.29 (-0.3% upside). Prior stop was $121.99. Stop-loss: $121.99.

What are the risks of investing in BG?

Target reached (-8.6% upside); Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is BG overvalued or undervalued?

Bunge Limited trades at a P/E of 33.2 (forward 12.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BG?

21 analysts cover BG with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $136.

What does Bunge Limited do?We are a premier agribusiness solutions company, connecting farmers to consumers and delivering essential food, feed...

We are a premier agribusiness solutions company, connecting farmers to consumers and delivering essential food, feed and fuel to the world. Our dedicated employees, integrated operations and global footprint give us access to key markets and a diverse agricultural network covering major crops. These capabilities help us manage seasonal cycles, weather variability and other risks as we partner with farmers to move crops from where they are grown to where they are needed.

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