Tyson Foods has delivered a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak with an average 17.2% positive surprise and exceptional 227% free cash flow conversion, but momentum is deeply negative with RSI at 28 near capitulation territory and a confirmed downtrend — a value-oriented setup contingent on an operational recovery from depressed levels.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Free Cash Flow Conversion→Stable
- Perfect Beat Streak High Surprise↑Improving
- Rsi Capitulation Potential Trough↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN) Stock Analysis
Catalyst-Driven edge
Consumer Defensive · Farm Products
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $58.02: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.08; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Tyson Foods processes and markets beef, pork, chicken, and prepared foods through four reportable segments, serving grocery retailers, foodservice operators, and export markets across approximately 140 countries in fiscal 2025. The company employs approximately 133,000 team... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $58.02: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.08; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-27Recent Developments — Tyson Foods, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS JP Morgan Maintains Neutral on Tyson Foods, Lowers Price Target to $65 — benzinga Jul 14, 2026 negative
- NEWS 'White House Pressures Top U.S. Grocers on Beef Prices' - WSJ — benzinga Jul 8, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Trump Touts Walmart Price Cuts on White House Request to Mark America 250, Pushes Other Retailers to Follow 'Absolute Pa — benzinga Jul 7, 2026 neutral
- NEWS B of A Securities Maintains Neutral on Tyson Foods, Lowers Price Target to $68 — benzinga Jul 2, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Trump Rolls Out $500 Million Lifeline for Smaller Meatpackers as Beeflation Spirals Out of Control — But Tyson Foods and — benzinga Jul 1, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-07-27T14:03:02Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerWalmart Inc.19%10-K Item 1: 'Walmart Inc. accounted for approximately 18.7% of our fiscal 2025 consolidated sales. Sales to Walmart Inc. were included in all of our segments.'
- MEDIUMCommoditycorn and soybean meal feed ingredients10-K Item 1: 'corn, soybean meal and other feed ingredients were major production costs, representing roughly 53% of our cost of growing a live chicken domestically.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-08Item 5.02MEDIUMJune 8, 2026: Tyson Foods appointed Wes Morris as COO effective June 15, 2026, replacing Devin Cole who steps down the same day. Morris previously served as Group President, Poultry (Jan 2023–Feb 2025). No reason cited for Cole's departure.SEC filing →
- 2026-05-28Item 5.02MEDIUMMay 28, 2026: Tyson Foods named Jeffrey K. Schomburger as CEO effective October 4, 2026 (joining as senior executive July 1, 2026). Schomburger is a current board member and former Global Sales Officer at Procter & Gamble. No reason given for departing CEO.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-02Item 5.02MEDIUMApril 2, 2026: Phillip Thomas appointed VP, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer effective April 6, 2026, replacing Lori Bondar who steps down as CAO but remains SVP to assist transition before planned retirement. Clean handoff.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $58.02: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.08; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $55.41. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $59.96 (+4.4% upside). Prior stop was $55.41. Stop-loss: $55.41.
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.2%), Material insider selling (25 sells, 0.12% of cap).
Tyson Foods, Inc. trades at a P/E of 45.2 (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
19 analysts cover TSN with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $69.
What does Tyson Foods, Inc. do?Tyson Foods processes and markets beef, pork, chicken, and prepared foods through four reportable segments, serving...
Tyson Foods processes and markets beef, pork, chicken, and prepared foods through four reportable segments, serving grocery retailers, foodservice operators, and export markets across approximately 140 countries in fiscal 2025. The company employs approximately 133,000 team members globally and is headquartered in Springdale, Arkansas. Corn, soybean meal and other feed ingredients represented roughly 53% of the cost of growing a live chicken domestically in fiscal 2025.