Tyson Foods has delivered a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak with an average 17.2% positive surprise and exceptional 227% free cash flow conversion, but momentum is deeply negative with RSI at 28 near capitulation territory and a confirmed downtrend — a value-oriented setup contingent on an operational recovery from depressed levels.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Free Cash Flow Conversion→Stable
- Perfect Beat Streak High Surprise↑Improving
- Rsi Capitulation Potential Trough↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN) Stock Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Farm Products
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $58.17: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
Tyson Foods processes and markets beef, pork, chicken, and prepared foods through four reportable segments, serving grocery retailers, foodservice operators, and export markets across approximately 140 countries in fiscal 2025. The company employs approximately 133,000 team... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $58.17: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 86d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-16Recent Developments — Tyson Foods, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Tyson Foods Closes 2 Beef Plants, Puts Third Up for Sale as Historic Cattle Shortage Deepens — benzinga Aug 14, 2026 negative
- NEWS Tyson Foods Confirms It Will Center Beef Business Around Three Strategically Located U.S. Facilities In Nebraska, Kansas — benzinga Aug 13, 2026 neutral
- NEWS 'Tyson Foods to Exit More Beef Plants, with Cattle In Short Supply'- WSJ Exclusive — benzinga Aug 13, 2026 negative
- NEWS Reported Earlier, Tyson Foods Prices $500M 5.100% Senior Notes Due 2031 And $500M 5.600% Senior Notes Due 2037 — benzinga Aug 11, 2026 neutral
- NEWS 'CEOs Pushed White House to Delay Ultra-Processed Food Definition' - Bloomberg — benzinga Aug 10, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-08-16T17:12:04Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerWalmart Inc.19%10-K Item 1: 'Walmart Inc. accounted for approximately 18.7% of our fiscal 2025 consolidated sales. Sales to Walmart Inc. were included in all of our segments.'
- MEDIUMCommoditycorn and soybean meal feed ingredients10-K Item 1: 'corn, soybean meal and other feed ingredients were major production costs, representing roughly 53% of our cost of growing a live chicken domestically.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-08Item 5.02MEDIUMJune 8, 2026: Tyson Foods appointed Wes Morris as COO effective June 15, 2026, replacing Devin Cole who steps down the same day. Morris previously served as Group President, Poultry (Jan 2023–Feb 2025). No reason cited for Cole's departure.SEC filing →
- 2026-05-28Item 5.02MEDIUMMay 28, 2026: Tyson Foods named Jeffrey K. Schomburger as CEO effective October 4, 2026 (joining as senior executive July 1, 2026). Schomburger is a current board member and former Global Sales Officer at Procter & Gamble. No reason given for departing CEO.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-02Item 5.02MEDIUMApril 2, 2026: Phillip Thomas appointed VP, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer effective April 6, 2026, replacing Lori Bondar who steps down as CAO but remains SVP to assist transition before planned retirement. Clean handoff.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $58.17: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $54.69. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $59.81 (+2.8% upside). Prior stop was $54.69. Stop-loss: $54.69.
Target reached (2.8% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).
Tyson Foods, Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.8 (forward 13.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
19 analysts cover TSN with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $69.
What does Tyson Foods, Inc. do?Tyson Foods processes and markets beef, pork, chicken, and prepared foods through four reportable segments, serving...
Tyson Foods processes and markets beef, pork, chicken, and prepared foods through four reportable segments, serving grocery retailers, foodservice operators, and export markets across approximately 140 countries in fiscal 2025. The company employs approximately 133,000 team members globally and is headquartered in Springdale, Arkansas. Corn, soybean meal and other feed ingredients represented roughly 53% of the cost of growing a live chicken domestically in fiscal 2025.