Tyson Foods has delivered a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak with an average 17.2% positive surprise and exceptional 227% free cash flow conversion, but momentum is deeply negative with RSI at 28 near capitulation territory and a confirmed downtrend — a value-oriented setup contingent on an operational recovery from depressed levels.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Free Cash Flow Conversion→Stable
- Perfect Beat Streak High Surprise↓Deteriorating
- Rsi Capitulation Potential Trough↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN) Stock Analysis
Oversold Bounce setup
Consumer Defensive · Farm Products
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $51.46: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Tyson Foods processes and markets beef, pork, chicken, and prepared foods through four reportable segments, serving grocery retailers, foodservice operators, and export markets across approximately 140 countries in fiscal 2025. The company employs approximately 133,000 team... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $51.46: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 18, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-06Recent Developments — Tyson Foods, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Trump Says Tariff-Free Beef From Brazil, Argentina Coming — Also Targets 'Monopoly' in Industry — benzinga Sep 4, 2026 negative
- NEWS 'Trump Expected To Sign A Beef-Related Executive Order On Friday' - Reuters News — benzinga Sep 4, 2026 neutral
- NEWS BMO Capital Maintains Outperform on Tyson Foods, Lowers Price Target to $65 — benzinga Sep 4, 2026 positive
- NEWS Tyson Foods Stock Is Trending Friday: What's Going On? — benzinga Sep 4, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Barclays Maintains Overweight on Tyson Foods, Lowers Price Target to $75 — benzinga Sep 4, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-09-06T06:51:59Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerWalmart Inc.19%10-K Item 1: 'Walmart Inc. accounted for approximately 18.7% of our fiscal 2025 consolidated sales. Sales to Walmart Inc. were included in all of our segments.'
- MEDIUMCommoditycorn and soybean meal feed ingredients10-K Item 1: 'corn, soybean meal and other feed ingredients were major production costs, representing roughly 53% of our cost of growing a live chicken domestically.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-08Item 5.02MEDIUMJune 8, 2026: Tyson Foods appointed Wes Morris as COO effective June 15, 2026, replacing Devin Cole who steps down the same day. Morris previously served as Group President, Poultry (Jan 2023–Feb 2025). No reason cited for Cole's departure.SEC filing →
- 2026-05-28Item 5.02MEDIUMMay 28, 2026: Tyson Foods named Jeffrey K. Schomburger as CEO effective October 4, 2026 (joining as senior executive July 1, 2026). Schomburger is a current board member and former Global Sales Officer at Procter & Gamble. No reason given for departing CEO.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-02Item 5.02MEDIUMApril 2, 2026: Phillip Thomas appointed VP, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer effective April 6, 2026, replacing Lori Bondar who steps down as CAO but remains SVP to assist transition before planned retirement. Clean handoff.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $51.46: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 18, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $49.19. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $57.49 (+11.8% upside). Prior stop was $49.19. Stop-loss: $49.19.
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).
Tyson Foods, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.9 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts cover TSN with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $66.
What does Tyson Foods, Inc. do?Tyson Foods processes and markets beef, pork, chicken, and prepared foods through four reportable segments, serving...
Tyson Foods processes and markets beef, pork, chicken, and prepared foods through four reportable segments, serving grocery retailers, foodservice operators, and export markets across approximately 140 countries in fiscal 2025. The company employs approximately 133,000 team members globally and is headquartered in Springdale, Arkansas. Corn, soybean meal and other feed ingredients represented roughly 53% of the cost of growing a live chicken domestically in fiscal 2025.