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Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Farm Products

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $64.08: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.41; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Tyson Foods is a large protein company operating Beef, Pork, Chicken, and Prepared Foods segments with ~133,000 employees. Revenue is earned from selling fresh, frozen, and value-added meats to retailers, foodservice operators, and internationally; Walmart accounted for 18.7% of... Read more

$64.08+0.4% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#6 of 7 Farm Products
Stop $61.27Target $64.33(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$68.54+7.0%13 analysts
$64.33our TP
$64.08price
$68.54mean
$58
$78

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $64.08: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.41; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: corn, soybean meal and other feed ingredients (53.0%)
Target reached (-6.9% upside)
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)113.5
P/E (Fwd)14.4
Mkt Cap$22.4B
EV/EBITDA11.4
Profit Mgn0.4%
ROE1.3%
Rev Growth5.1%
Beta0.43
Dividend3.21%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.41bearish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$45-29.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerWalmart Inc.19%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Walmart Inc., which accounted for 18.7% of our sales in fiscal 2025'
  • HIGHCommoditycorn, soybean meal and other feed ingredients53%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Corn, soybean meal and other feed ingredients, for instance, represented roughly 53% of our cost of growing a live chicken in fiscal 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-02Item 5.02LOW
    Phillip Thomas appointed VP, Controller and CAO effective April 6, 2026. Lori Bondar steps down as CAO but remains SVP to assist transition, plans to retire before end of fiscal year. Clean handoff named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.8

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.7
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.4
Value Rank
2.9
Growth Rank
4.3

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.2
Roe
0.4
Operating Margin
1.2
Roa
1.4
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.6
Piotroski F
7.8
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 576% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $62.98Resistance $65.64

Price Targets

$61
$64
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TSN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $64.08: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.41; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $61.27. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TSN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $64.33 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $61.27. Stop-loss: $61.27.

What are the risks of investing in TSN?

Concentration risk — Commodity: corn, soybean meal and other feed ingredients (53.0%); Target reached (-6.9% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is TSN overvalued or undervalued?

Tyson Foods, Inc. trades at a P/E of 113.5 (forward 14.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TSN?

20 analysts cover TSN with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $69.

What does Tyson Foods, Inc. do?Tyson Foods is a large protein company operating Beef, Pork, Chicken, and Prepared Foods segments with ~133,000...

Tyson Foods is a large protein company operating Beef, Pork, Chicken, and Prepared Foods segments with ~133,000 employees. Revenue is earned from selling fresh, frozen, and value-added meats to retailers, foodservice operators, and internationally; Walmart accounted for 18.7% of fiscal 2025 sales.

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