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Polaris Inc. (PII) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $65.63: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality.

Polaris designs, engineers, manufactures, and markets powersports vehicles including ORVs (ATVs and side-by-sides), snowmobiles, and boats across Off Road, On Road, and Marine segments, sold through approximately 2,400 North American dealers and 1,500+ international dealers.... Read more

$65.63+1.4% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#6 of 7 Recreational Vehicles
Stop $60.85Target $66.34(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$68.33+4.1%15 analysts
$66.34our TP
$65.63price
$68.33mean
$43
$84

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $65.63: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.60, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Earnings detected in news
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-6.0% upside)
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)21.8
Mkt Cap$3.8B
EV/EBITDA17.0
Profit Mgn-6.1%
ROE-44.9%
Rev Growth7.5%
Beta1.18
Dividend4.05%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.24bullish
IV61%elevated
Max Pain$30-54.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.2
Roa
0.5
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
4.6
Moat
5.0
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.1
Bollinger
1.2
52w Position
7.7

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
2.9
Value Rank
5.7
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.60NEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $47.14Resistance $67.69

Price Targets

$61
$66
A.Upside+1.1%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PII stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $65.63: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $60.85. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PII stock price target?

Take-profit target: $66.34 (+1.4% upside). Prior stop was $60.85. Stop-loss: $60.85.

What are the risks of investing in PII?

Target reached (-6.0% upside); Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is PII overvalued or undervalued?

Polaris Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 21.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PII?

22 analysts cover PII with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $68.

What does Polaris Inc. do?Polaris designs, engineers, manufactures, and markets powersports vehicles including ORVs (ATVs and side-by-sides),...

Polaris designs, engineers, manufactures, and markets powersports vehicles including ORVs (ATVs and side-by-sides), snowmobiles, and boats across Off Road, On Road, and Marine segments, sold through approximately 2,400 North American dealers and 1,500+ international dealers. Polaris was the North America market share leader in off-road vehicles in 2025. The company recently completed the separation of Indian Motorcycle.

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