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PIIPolaris Inc.Sell4.3·$69.47+2.64%
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Polaris Inc. (PII) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $69.47: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality.

Polaris designs, manufactures, and markets powersports vehicles (ORVs, snowmobiles, boats, moto-roadsters) and aftermarket PG&A through ~2,400 NA dealers and international distributors. Revenue comes from vehicle sales and PG&A across Off Road, On Road, and Marine segments;... Read more

$69.47+0.5% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#6 of 7 Recreational Vehicles
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield9.99%
IncomeYield4.02%(5y avg 3.32%)Payout373.24%at-risk
Stop $64.61Target $69.79(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$68.00-2.1%15 analysts
$69.79our TP
$69.47price
$68.00mean
$43
$84

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $69.47: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 48d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — Polaris Inc.

Generated 2026-06-09T22:11:40Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202648d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-11.9% upside)
Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)21.7
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA14.7
Profit Mgn-6.1%
ROE-44.9%
Rev Growth7.5%
Beta1.26
Dividend4.02%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.21bullish
IV63%elevated
Max Pain$30-56.8% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-01Item 5.02LOW
    At the 2026 Annual Meeting on April 30, 2026, stockholders approved amendment to the 2024 Omnibus Incentive Plan adding 4,580,000 shares (to 8,905,000 total). Routine equity plan increase; no officer departures.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.2
Roa
0.9
Moat
3.6
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
4.6
No competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 48d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
75 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $58.24Resistance $71.21

Price Targets

$65
$70
A.Upside+0.5%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (48d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PII stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $69.47: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $64.61. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PII stock price target?

Take-profit target: $69.79 (+0.5% upside). Prior stop was $64.61. Stop-loss: $64.61.

What are the risks of investing in PII?

Target reached (-11.9% upside); Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0).

Is PII overvalued or undervalued?

Polaris Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 21.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PII?

22 analysts cover PII with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $68.

What does Polaris Inc. do?Polaris designs, manufactures, and markets powersports vehicles (ORVs, snowmobiles, boats, moto-roadsters) and...

Polaris designs, manufactures, and markets powersports vehicles (ORVs, snowmobiles, boats, moto-roadsters) and aftermarket PG&A through ~2,400 NA dealers and international distributors. Revenue comes from vehicle sales and PG&A across Off Road, On Road, and Marine segments; Indian Motorcycle was separated in Q1 2026, and the company had ~14,500 employees globally as of December 31, 2025.

Related stocks: LCII (LCI Industries) · PATK (Patrick Industries, Inc.) · DOO (BRP Inc.) · BC (Brunswick Corporation) · THO (Thor Industries, Inc.)
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