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Autoliv, Inc. (ALV) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $116.51, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Autoliv develops and manufactures passive safety systems (airbags, seatbelts, steering wheels) for automotive OEMs, with 62 production facilities in 23 countries and $10.8 billion in 2025 revenues. Sales are approximately 68% airbag and steering wheel products and 32% seatbelts;... Read more

$116.51+2.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#6 of 26 Auto Parts
Stop $109.05Target $118.96(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$132.18+13.4%17 analysts
$118.96our TP
$116.51price
$132.18mean
$110
$150

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $116.51, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.2
P/E (Fwd)9.5
Mkt Cap$8.5B
EV/EBITDA6.8
Profit Mgn6.5%
ROE28.4%
Rev Growth6.8%
Beta1.36
Dividend2.90%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV42%normal
Max Pain$85-27.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop five customers44%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top five customers represented around 44% of our consolidated sales'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-11Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On March 6, 2026, Autoliv announced appointment of Monika Grama as new CFO effective April 1, 2026, succeeding Fredrik Westin who is leaving March 31, 2026. Grama has served as VP Finance, EMEA division since 2020. Annual base salary 5,750,000 SEK. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-20Item 5.02LOW
    On February 19, 2026, Martin Lundstedt announced he will not stand for re-election; Franz-Josef Kortum reached mandatory retirement age and will not stand for re-election. Both terms end at 2026 Annual Meeting. Board size reduced from 11 to 9 members. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $103.47Resistance $126.06

Price Targets

$109
$119
A.Upside+2.1%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.2% upside)
! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-17 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALV stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $116.51, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $118.96 (+2.1%), stop $109.05 (−6.8%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $118.96 (+2.2% upside). Target $118.96 (+2.1%), stop $109.05 (−6.8%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $109.05.

What are the risks of investing in ALV?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is ALV overvalued or undervalued?

Autoliv, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.2 (forward 9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ALV?

23 analysts cover ALV with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $132.

What does Autoliv, Inc. do?Autoliv develops and manufactures passive safety systems (airbags, seatbelts, steering wheels) for automotive OEMs,...

Autoliv develops and manufactures passive safety systems (airbags, seatbelts, steering wheels) for automotive OEMs, with 62 production facilities in 23 countries and $10.8 billion in 2025 revenues. Sales are approximately 68% airbag and steering wheel products and 32% seatbelts; the company held ~44% global market share in passive safety as of 2025.

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