Garrett Motion has demonstrated consistent earnings execution — beating estimates in each of the last four quarters by an average of 15% — at a valuation that still screens inexpensive with a PEG of 0.24; however, the stock has traded past its near-term price target with a negative reward-to-risk ratio, suggesting existing holders should maintain but not add at current levels.
Thesis pillars
- Consistent Earnings Outperformance↓Deteriorating
- Attractive Valuation With Growth↑Improving
- Price Above Target Unfavorable Geometry↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026· older than 90 days
Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) Stock Analysis
Oversold Bounce setup
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Garrett Motion designs and manufactures turbochargers, electric compressors, and boosting technologies for OEM vehicle makers and industrial customers globally. OEM sales were ~86% of 2025 revenues, with the top ten customers at ~62% of net sales; aftermarket products distribute... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 24, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 104d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated Oct 28, 2026Recent Developments — Garrett Motion Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Garrett Motion (GTX) reports Q3: everything you need to know ahead of earnings - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 28, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Garrett Motion Announces Retirement of Steven Tesoriere from Board of Directors - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 28, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Garrett Motion (GTX) reports Q3: everything you need to know ahead of earnings - StockStory — StockStory Oct 28, 2026 neutral
- NEWS FMR LLC Acquires 16.65 Million Shares of Garrett Motion Inc (GTXAP.PFD) in New Position - GuruFocus — GuruFocus Aug 12, 2026 positive
- NEWS Garrett Motion (GTX) Lifts Outlook As Investors Weigh An Undervalued Story - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Aug 5, 2026 positive
Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:39:30Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop ten customers62%10-K Item 1: 'Our top ten customers accounted for approximately 62% of net sales and our largest customer represented approximately 12% of our net sales in 2025.'
- LOWCustomerStellantis12%10-K Item 1: 'our sales to Stellantis accounted for 12%, 9% and 9%, respectively, of our total sales'
- LOWCustomerBMW11%10-K Item 1: 'our sales to Bayerische Motoren Werke AG ("BMW"), our second largest customer, were 11%, 12%, and 12%, respectively, of our total sales'
- LOWCustomerFord Motor Company11%10-K Item 1: 'our sales to Ford Motor Company ("Ford"), our third largest customer, were 11%, 10%, and 9%, respectively, of our total sales'
- MEDIUMSuppliermainland China supply chain10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our supply chain is concentrated in mainland China'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 24, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $29.58 (+49.6%), stop $18.99 (−4.1%), A.R:R 4.5:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $29.58 (+49.6% upside). Analyst target $29.58 (+49.6%), stop $18.99 (−4.1%), A.R:R 4.5:1. Stop-loss: $18.99.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum.
Garrett Motion Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.1 (forward 8.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Hold.
10 analysts rate GTX, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 6 analysts publish price targets averaging $34.
What does Garrett Motion Inc. do?Garrett Motion designs and manufactures turbochargers, electric compressors, and boosting technologies for OEM vehicle...
Garrett Motion designs and manufactures turbochargers, electric compressors, and boosting technologies for OEM vehicle makers and industrial customers globally. OEM sales were ~86% of 2025 revenues, with the top ten customers at ~62% of net sales; aftermarket products distribute through 370+ distributors in 165 countries.