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GTXGarrett Motion Inc.Hold6.0·$34.71+1.70%
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Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.3% away).

Garrett Motion designs and manufactures turbochargers, electric compressors, and boosting technologies for OEM vehicle makers and industrial customers globally. OEM sales were ~86% of 2025 revenues, with the top ten customers at ~62% of net sales; aftermarket products distribute... Read more

$34.71-0.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#6 of 27 Auto Parts
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.37%
IncomeYield0.94%Payout16.37%sustainable
Stop $32.19Target $34.35(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$35.67+2.8%6 analysts
$34.35our TP
$34.71price
$35.67mean
$33
$42

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.3% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-0.3% away)
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.0
P/E (Fwd)15.3
Mkt Cap$6.4B
EV/EBITDA12.3
Profit Mgn9.3%
ROE
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta0.80
Dividend0.94%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.55bullish
IV73%elevated
Max Pain$40+15.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop ten customers62%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our top ten customers accounted for approximately 62% of net sales and our largest customer represented approximately 12% of our net sales in 2025.'
  • LOWCustomerStellantis12%
    10-K Item 1: 'our sales to Stellantis accounted for 12%, 9% and 9%, respectively, of our total sales'
  • LOWCustomerBMW11%
    10-K Item 1: 'our sales to Bayerische Motoren Werke AG ("BMW"), our second largest customer, were 11%, 12%, and 12%, respectively, of our total sales'
  • LOWCustomerFord Motor Company11%
    10-K Item 1: 'our sales to Ford Motor Company ("Ford"), our third largest customer, were 11%, 10%, and 9%, respectively, of our total sales'
  • MEDIUMSuppliermainland China supply chain
    10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our supply chain is concentrated in mainland China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.7
Bollinger
0.9
52w Position
9.7
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $29.08Resistance $35.05

Price Targets

$32
$34
A.Upside-1.0%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GTX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.3% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $34.35 (-1.0%), stop $32.19 (−7.8%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GTX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.35 (-0.8% upside). Target $34.35 (-1.0%), stop $32.19 (−7.8%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $32.19.

What are the risks of investing in GTX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.3% away); Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is GTX overvalued or undervalued?

Garrett Motion Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.0 (forward 15.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GTX?

10 analysts cover GTX with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $36.

What does Garrett Motion Inc. do?Garrett Motion designs and manufactures turbochargers, electric compressors, and boosting technologies for OEM vehicle...

Garrett Motion designs and manufactures turbochargers, electric compressors, and boosting technologies for OEM vehicle makers and industrial customers globally. OEM sales were ~86% of 2025 revenues, with the top ten customers at ~62% of net sales; aftermarket products distribute through 370+ distributors in 165 countries.

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