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Gentex Corporation (GNTX) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: automotive industry customers (89.0%); Thin upside margin: 8.8%.

Gentex Corporation designs and manufactures electrochromic automotive rearview mirrors, Full Display Mirror systems, HomeLink wireless convenience products, fire protection technologies, and dimmable aircraft windows, shipping to all major auto-producing regions worldwide.... Read more

$23.38+8.7% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#1 of 26 Auto Parts
Stop $22.00Target $25.42(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$29.22+25.0%9 analysts
$25.42our TP
$23.38price
$29.22mean
$42

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: automotive industry customers (89.0%); Thin upside margin: 8.8%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 85d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: automotive industry customers (89.0%)
Thin upside margin: 8.8%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.9
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$4.9B
EV/EBITDA7.8
Profit Mgn14.8%
ROE15.6%
Rev Growth17.1%
Beta0.77
Dividend2.10%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.40bearish
IV73%elevated
Max Pain$13-46.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerautomotive industry customers89%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Customers within the auto industry comprise approximately 89% of our net sales.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerToyota Motor Company, Volkswagen Group, and General Motors
    10-K Item 1A: 'three automotive customers which each account for 10% or more of our annual consolidated net sales in 2025 ... Toyota Motor Company, Volkswagen Group, and General Motors'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 85d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $20.97Resistance $24.82

Price Targets

$22
$25
A.Upside+8.7%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-24 (85d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GNTX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: automotive industry customers (89.0%); Thin upside margin: 8.8%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $25.42 (+8.7%), stop $22.00 (−6.3%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GNTX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.42 (+8.7% upside). Target $25.42 (+8.7%), stop $22.00 (−6.3%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Stop-loss: $22.00.

What are the risks of investing in GNTX?

Concentration risk — Customer: automotive industry customers (89.0%); Thin upside margin: 8.8%.

Is GNTX overvalued or undervalued?

Gentex Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.9 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GNTX?

15 analysts cover GNTX with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $29.

What does Gentex Corporation do?Gentex Corporation designs and manufactures electrochromic automotive rearview mirrors, Full Display Mirror systems,...

Gentex Corporation designs and manufactures electrochromic automotive rearview mirrors, Full Display Mirror systems, HomeLink wireless convenience products, fire protection technologies, and dimmable aircraft windows, shipping to all major auto-producing regions worldwide. Approximately 89% of net sales come from automotive OEM customers, with Toyota, Volkswagen Group, and General Motors each representing 10% or more of annual sales.

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