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Hesai Group (HSAI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Earnings in 0 days (2026-05-19). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.00: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.08; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Hesai Group, through with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of three-dimensional light detection and ranging solutions (LiDAR) in Mainland China, Europe, North America, and internationally. The company offers gas detection products, validation... Read more

$23.00+24.7% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#17 of 27 Auto Parts
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-19.86%
Stop $20.47Target $27.45(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$30.50+32.6%21 analysts
$27.45our TP
$23.00price
$30.50mean
$38

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.00: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.08; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.80, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Hesai Group

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)50.0
P/E (Fwd)23.6
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA-1.9
Profit Mgn14.4%
ROE6.8%
Rev Growth39.0%
Beta1.51
DividendNone
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.08bearish
IV91%elevated
Max Pain$13-45.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dA.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.80SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $20.48Resistance $24.41

Price Targets

$20
$27
A.Upside+19.3%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0)
! Momentum score 4.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-19 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HSAI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.00: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.08; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Prior stop was $20.47. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HSAI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.45 (+24.7% upside). Prior stop was $20.47. Stop-loss: $20.47.

What are the risks of investing in HSAI?

Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0).

Is HSAI overvalued or undervalued?

Hesai Group trades at a P/E of 50.0 (forward 23.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HSAI?

32 analysts cover HSAI with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Hesai Group do?Hesai Group, through with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of three-dimensional...

Hesai Group, through with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of three-dimensional light detection and ranging solutions (LiDAR) in Mainland China, Europe, North America, and internationally. The company offers gas detection products, validation services, solution service, and other services, as well as designs and develops engineering products. Its LiDAR products are used in passenger and commercial vehicles with advanced driver assistance systems; autonomous vehicle fleets providing passenger and freight mobility services; and other applications, such as last-mile delivery robots, street sweeping robots, and logistics robots in restricted areas. Hesai Group was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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