Hesai Group (HSAI) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the HSAI stock price target?

Take-profit $27.45 (+21.7% upside). Prior stop was $20.98.

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $22.56: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

$22.56+21.7% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#11 of 26 Auto Parts

Stop $20.98Target $27.45(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.8:1

Analyst target$30.50+35.2%21 analysts

$27.45our TP

$22.56price

$30.50mean

$37

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $22.56: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

Positive insider activity

Analyst upside: 22%

Risks

Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5

Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)50.6

P/E (Fwd)23.9

Mkt Cap$3.5B

EV/EBITDA-1.7

Profit Mgn14.4%

ROE6.8%

Rev Growth39.0%

Beta1.47

DividendNone

Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.37bearish

IV74%elevated

Max Pain$13-44.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value6.615%0.99

Quality4.215%0.63

Growth5.015%0.75

Momentum4.610%0.46

Sentiment7.110%0.71

Insider Activity7.310%0.73

Peer Rank4.710%0.47

Technical Setup4.55%0.23

Risk Profile3.75%0.19

Catalyst6.15%0.30

Overall (Σ contributions)5.45

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

GatesMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive

RSI

50 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $19.81Resistance $24.96

Price Targets

$21

$27

A.Upside+21.7%

A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Analyst Consensus

Analysts32

Consensus4.3/5

Avg Target$31

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-19 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is HSAI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $22.56: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Prior stop was $20.98. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

What is the HSAI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.45 (+21.7% upside). Prior stop was $20.98. Stop-loss: $20.98.

What are the risks of investing in HSAI?

Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Elevated risk factors.

Is HSAI overvalued or undervalued?

Hesai Group trades at a P/E of 50.6 (forward 23.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HSAI?

32 analysts cover HSAI with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Hesai Group do?Hesai Group, through with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of three-dimensional...

Hesai Group, through with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of three-dimensional light detection and ranging solutions (LiDAR) in Mainland China, Europe, North America, and internationally. The company offers gas detection products, validation services, solution service, and other services, as well as designs and develops engineering products. Its LiDAR products are used in passenger and commercial vehicles with advanced driver assistance systems; autonomous vehicle fleets providing passenger and freight mobility services; and other applications, such as last-mile delivery robots, street sweeping robots, and logistics robots in restricted areas. Hesai Group was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.