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Dauch Corporation (DCH) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.64: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality.

Dauch Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, and manufactures driveline and metal forming technologies that supports electric, hybrid, and internal combustion vehicles. It operates through two segments, Driveline and Metal Forming segments. The... Read more

$5.64+43.9% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#2 of 27 Auto Parts
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield31.84%
Stop $5.22Target $8.07(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$9.28+64.5%10 analysts
$8.07our TP
$5.64price
$9.28mean
$17

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.64: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Dauch Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)6.0
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA7.3
Profit Mgn-1.9%
ROE-12.1%
Rev Growth68.6%
Beta1.53
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV85%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Volatile — 7.6% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
1.4
Days To Cover
3.2
Short Interest
4.3
Beta
4.9
Elevated put/call: 2.00High IV: 85%

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.3
Operating Margin
1.7
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
5.2
Piotroski F
5.6
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume
5.1
Macd
6.6
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.31Resistance $7.34

Price Targets

$5
$8
A.Upside+43.1%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DCH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.64: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Prior stop was $5.22. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DCH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.07 (+43.9% upside). Prior stop was $5.22. Stop-loss: $5.22.

What are the risks of investing in DCH?

Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0).

Is DCH overvalued or undervalued?

Dauch Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DCH?

15 analysts cover DCH with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Dauch Corporation do?Dauch Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, and manufactures driveline and metal forming...

Dauch Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, and manufactures driveline and metal forming technologies that supports electric, hybrid, and internal combustion vehicles. It operates through two segments, Driveline and Metal Forming segments. The Driveline segment offers front and rear axles, driveshafts, differential assemblies, clutch modules, balance shaft systems, disconnecting driveline technology, and electric and hybrid driveline products and systems for light trucks, sport utility vehicles, crossover vehicles, passenger cars, and commercial vehicles. The Metal Forming segment provides range of products, such as engine, transmission, driveline, and safety-critical components for traditional internal combustion engine and electric vehicle architectures, including light vehicles, commercial vehicles, and off-highway vehicles, as well as products for industrial markets. It operates in North America, Asia, Europe, and South America. Dauch Corporation was formerly known as American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Dauch Corporation in January 2026. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Detroit, Michigan.

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