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Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.51, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: North America (74.0%); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Alliance Laundry Holdings is the largest designer and manufacturer of commercial laundry systems globally, with ~40% North American market share and an estimated installed base of ~8 million units. Revenue of $1.7B in 2025 comes from equipment sales and aftermarket parts via... Read more

$23.51+15.7% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#2 of 11 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.95%
Stop $22.32Target $27.19(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$31.25+32.9%8 analysts
$27.19our TP
$23.51price
$31.25mean
$37

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.51, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: North America (74.0%); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.80, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: North America (74.0%)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.5): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.6
P/E (Fwd)16.2
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA15.6
Profit Mgn8.1%
ROE185.1%
Rev Growth9.6%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV44%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicNorth America74%
    10-K Item 1: 'North America segment representing 74% of 2025 revenue and our International segment representing the remaining 26%.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.3
Rsi
3.5
Ma Position
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.80EARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $23.01Resistance $26.43

Price Targets

$22
$27
A.Upside+15.7%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALH stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.51, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: North America (74.0%); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $27.19 (+15.7%), stop $22.32 (−5.3%), A.R:R 2.0:1. Score 6.2/10, high confidence.

What is the ALH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.19 (+15.7% upside). Target $27.19 (+15.7%), stop $22.32 (−5.3%), A.R:R 2.0:1. Stop-loss: $22.32.

What are the risks of investing in ALH?

Concentration risk — Geographic: North America (74.0%); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.5): -1.5.

Is ALH overvalued or undervalued?

Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 33.6 (forward 16.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ALH?

12 analysts cover ALH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. do?Alliance Laundry Holdings is the largest designer and manufacturer of commercial laundry systems globally, with ~40%...

Alliance Laundry Holdings is the largest designer and manufacturer of commercial laundry systems globally, with ~40% North American market share and an estimated installed base of ~8 million units. Revenue of $1.7B in 2025 comes from equipment sales and aftermarket parts via ~600 global distributors; the North America segment represents 74% of revenue.

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