Skip to main content

Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Sell if holding. At $25.18, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.5%; Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source and sole-source suppliers.

Alliance Laundry Holdings designs and manufactures commercial laundry systems for healthcare, hospitality, laundromats, and other institutional markets, with approximately 40% of the North American commercial laundry market. The company generated $1.7 billion in net revenue for... Read more

$25.18+4.5% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#5 of 11 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
Stop $23.33Target $26.21(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$30.13+19.6%8 analysts
$26.21our TP
$25.18price
$30.13mean
$37

Sell if holding. At $25.18, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.5%; Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source and sole-source suppliers. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source and sole-source suppliers
Thin upside margin: 4.5%
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.1): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)44.2
P/E (Fwd)17.4
Mkt Cap$4.9B
EV/EBITDA16.5
Profit Mgn6.0%
ROE177.3%
Rev Growth10.1%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C4.00bearish
IV67%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle-source and sole-source suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on single-source suppliers for certain proprietary component parts in our products... the supplier is the only source of that particular component in the market.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $20.71Resistance $26.51

Price Targets

$23
$26
A.Upside+4.1%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 0.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-12 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $25.18, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.5%; Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source and sole-source suppliers. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $23.33. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $26.21 (+4.5% upside). Prior stop was $23.33. Stop-loss: $23.33.

What are the risks of investing in ALH?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source and sole-source suppliers; Thin upside margin: 4.5%; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.1): -1.5.

Is ALH overvalued or undervalued?

Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 44.2 (forward 17.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ALH?

12 analysts cover ALH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. do?Alliance Laundry Holdings designs and manufactures commercial laundry systems for healthcare, hospitality, laundromats,...

Alliance Laundry Holdings designs and manufactures commercial laundry systems for healthcare, hospitality, laundromats, and other institutional markets, with approximately 40% of the North American commercial laundry market. The company generated $1.7 billion in net revenue for 2025 with ~26% Adjusted EBITDA margin, sold through ~600 distributors worldwide.

Related stocks: SGI (Somnigroup International Inc.) · HNI (HNI Corporation) · SN (SharkNinja, Inc.) · LZB (La-Z-Boy Incorporated) · LEG (Leggett & Platt, Incorporated)