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ALHAlliance Laundry Holdings Inc.Sell6.0·$22.96
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Alliance Laundry is a highly profitable appliance maker (ROE of 110%) with a steady earnings beat record and 23.2% analyst upside, but insiders have sold about $594M, equal to 13.6% of market cap, and the business depends on North America and sole-source suppliers.

Thesis pillars

  • North America And Supplier Concentration↑Improving
  • High Return Quality→Stable
  • Consistent Earnings Beats↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 13, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Earnings in 4 days (2026-11-10). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $22.96: Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (74.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source component suppliers.

Alliance Laundry Holdings designs and manufactures commercial laundry systems under five brands—Speed Queen, Huebsch, UniMac, IPSO, and Primus—holding approximately 40% of the commercial laundry market in North America. The company generated $1.7 billion in 2025 net revenue... Read more

$22.96+17.9% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#4 of 13 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.35%
Stop $21.58Analyst target $27.08(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst consensus$31.13+35.6%8 analysts with price targets
$27.08Analyst target
$22.96price
$31.13mean
$37

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $22.96: Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (74.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source component suppliers. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.

About Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.

Alliance Laundry Holdings generated $1.7 billion in 2025 net revenue across two geographic segments — North America (74% of revenue) and International (26%) — and holds approximately 40% of the commercial laundry market in North America. The company sells five brands including Speed Queen, Huebsch, and UniMac through roughly 600 independent distributors into approximately 4,000 retail locations globally, with direct sales offices in France, Spain, Italy, and Brazil, and an installed base estimated at eight million units across roughly 150 countries.

Alliance Laundry generates revenue from initial equipment sales — washers, dryers, and combination units ranging up to 400-pound load capacity — supplemented by aftermarket parts supporting an estimated eight-million-unit installed base, consumables, and digital subscription services. The replacement cycle for commercial laundry equipment runs seven to thirteen years, generating a recurring revenue stream anchored in the large installed base. About 94% of North American distributors have partnered with the company for more than ten years, strengthening channel retention. Major input costs include carbon and stainless steel, motors, aluminum castings, and electronic controls, which have fluctuated due to supply and demand trends, tariffs, and global economic factors. Single-source and sole-source supplier arrangements expose the company to pricing and supply disruption risk on certain proprietary component parts, with no alternate sourcing available for sole-source components.

Show full overview

Alliance Laundry's end-market mix spans non-discretionary users — healthcare facilities and fire stations that require continuously functioning laundry systems — as well as more cyclically sensitive customers including laundromats and hotels, whose equipment investment decisions can be deferred during economic downturns. The 10-K acknowledges that global economic downturns could impair customers' credit access, prompting distributor cancellations or deferrals of purchase commitments. The absence of firm long-term purchase commitments from distributors means revenue visibility diminishes materially in periods of market stress, and recent distributor consolidation may reduce the company's bargaining power in pricing and order terms.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

From Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 27, 2026

Recent Developments — Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.

Latest item Oct 27, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:39:29Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 10, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (74.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source component suppliers
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.8
P/E (Fwd)15.4
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA14.6
Profit Mgn10.1%
ROE109.8%
Rev Growth6.6%
Beta—
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV66%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicNorth America segment74%
    10-K Item 1: 'our North America segment representing 74% of 2025 revenue and our International segment representing the remaining 26%'
  • HIGHSuppliersole-source component suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'A sole-source supplier is a supplier...the supplier is the only source of that particular component in the market.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-02Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Jan Vleugals, Chief Operating Officer International, notified the company on June 2, 2026 of retirement effective September 30, 2026, following more than a decade of service. Bob Calver appointed as successor COO International effective October 1, 2026. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.7
Gap
5.0
52w Position
6.3
GatesINSIDER 12.99%=EXTREMEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.8>=5.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
73 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $20.40Resistance $23.15

Price Targets

$22
$27
A.Upside+17.9%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Insider activity: 12.99%=extreme
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-10 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $22.96: Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (74.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source component suppliers. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Prior stop was $21.58. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.

What is the ALH stock price target?

Analyst target: $27.08 (+17.9% upside). Prior stop was $21.58. Stop-loss: $21.58.

What are the risks of investing in ALH?

Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (74.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source component suppliers; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is ALH overvalued or undervalued?

Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.8 (forward 15.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ALH?

12 analysts rate ALH, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 8 analysts publish price targets averaging $31.

What does Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. do?Alliance Laundry Holdings designs and manufactures commercial laundry systems under five brands—Speed Queen, Huebsch,...

Alliance Laundry Holdings designs and manufactures commercial laundry systems under five brands—Speed Queen, Huebsch, UniMac, IPSO, and Primus—holding approximately 40% of the commercial laundry market in North America. The company generated $1.7 billion in 2025 net revenue selling through roughly 600 distributors worldwide plus direct channels, serving laundromats, healthcare facilities, hotels, and communal laundry operators.

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