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Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Sell if holding. At $96.87, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Mohawk Industries is the world's largest flooring company with $10.8B in 2025 net sales, manufacturing and distributing ceramic tile, carpet, laminate, LVT, and other flooring products across three segments: Global Ceramic (40%), Flooring North America (34%), and Flooring Rest... Read more

$96.87+11.9% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#6 of 11 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield14.55%
Stop $90.79Target $108.42(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$120.47+24.4%15 analysts
$108.42our TP
$96.87price
$120.47mean
$146

Sell if holding. At $96.87, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Mohawk Industries, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.5
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$5.9B
EV/EBITDA5.3
Profit Mgn3.8%
ROE5.1%
Rev Growth8.0%
Beta1.21
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.65bullish
IV48%normal
Max Pain$70-27.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.4
Ma Position
1.5
Volume
2.1
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $93.60Resistance $111.58

Price Targets

$91
$108
A.Upside+11.9%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MHK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $96.87, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $90.79. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

What is the MHK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $108.42 (+11.9% upside). Prior stop was $90.79. Stop-loss: $90.79.

What are the risks of investing in MHK?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is MHK overvalued or undervalued?

Mohawk Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.5 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MHK?

22 analysts cover MHK with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $120.

What does Mohawk Industries, Inc. do?Mohawk Industries is the world's largest flooring company with $10.8B in 2025 net sales, manufacturing and distributing...

Mohawk Industries is the world's largest flooring company with $10.8B in 2025 net sales, manufacturing and distributing ceramic tile, carpet, laminate, LVT, and other flooring products across three segments: Global Ceramic (40%), Flooring North America (34%), and Flooring Rest of World (26%). Revenue comes from sales to floor covering retailers, home centers, distributors, and commercial customers in approximately 180 countries; 54% of sales are in the United States.

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