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Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Earnings in 0 days (2026-04-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $99.45. At $105.57 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $99.45 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.8%; Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-5.7% YoY), Material insider selling (22 sells, 0.45% of cap).

Mohawk Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, distributes, and markets flooring products for residential and commercial remodeling, and new construction channels in the United States, Europe, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through three segments:... Read more

$105.57+12.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#6 of 11 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
Entry $99.45(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $91.53Target $113.88(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.8:1Setup A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$126.53+19.9%15 analysts
$113.88our TP
$105.57price
$126.53mean
$96
$155

Wait for pullback to $99.45. At $105.57 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $99.45 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.8%; Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-5.7% YoY), Material insider selling (22 sells, 0.45% of cap). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.8%
Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-5.7% YoY), Material insider selling (22 sells, 0.45% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.4
P/E (Fwd)9.7
Mkt Cap$6.3B
EV/EBITDA5.8
Profit Mgn3.4%
ROE4.7%
Rev Growth2.4%
Beta1.25
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C44.00bearish
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$165+56.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $94.56Resistance $112.76

Price Targets

$92
$99
$114
A.Upside+7.9%
A.R:R0.8:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Momentum score 4.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MHK stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $99.45. At $105.57 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $99.45 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.8%; Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-5.7% YoY), Material insider selling (22 sells, 0.45% of cap). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $113.88 (+7.9%), stop $91.53 (−15.3%), Setup A.R:R 1.7:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MHK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $113.88 (+12.0% upside). Target $113.88 (+7.9%), stop $91.53 (−15.3%), Setup A.R:R 1.7:1. Stop-loss: $91.53.

What are the risks of investing in MHK?

Thin upside margin: 7.8%; Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-5.7% YoY), Material insider selling (22 sells, 0.45% of cap).

Is MHK overvalued or undervalued?

Mohawk Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.4 (forward 9.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about MHK?

22 analysts cover MHK with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $127.

What does Mohawk Industries, Inc. do?Mohawk Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, distributes, and markets flooring products for residential and...

Mohawk Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, distributes, and markets flooring products for residential and commercial remodeling, and new construction channels in the United States, Europe, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Global Ceramic, Flooring North America, and Flooring Rest of the World. The company provides ceramic, porcelain, and natural stone tiles products for floor and wall applications; natural stones, porcelain slabs, and quartz countertops, as well as installation materials; floor covering products comprising broadloom carpets, carpet tiles, rugs and mats, carpet pads, laminates, medium-density fiberboards, wood floorings, vinyl tiles, hybrid flooring, and sheet vinyl; and roofing panels, insulation boards, mezzanine flooring products, medium-density fiberboard, decorative panels, and chipboards. It also licenses its intellectual property to flooring manufacturers. The company sells its products under the American Olean, Daltile, Decortiles, Durkan, Eliane, Elizabeth, Feltex, Godfrey Hirst, IVC Home, Karastan, Kerama Marazzi, Marazzi, Moduleo, Mohawk, Pergo, Quick-Step, Unilin, Vitromex, GH Commercial, Hycraft, Lentex Flooring, Leoline, Redbook, EmilGroup, KAI, Ragno, Aladdin Commercial, Durkan, Foss, IVC Resilient Design, Mohawk Group, Mohawk Home, and Portico. It offers its products to home centers, company-owned service centers and stores, floor covering retailers, ceramic tile specialists, e-commerce retailers, residential builders, independent distributors, commercial contractors, and commercial end users. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Calhoun, Georgia.

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