Skip to main content
MHKMohawk Industries, Inc.Hold5.6·$116.19-2.65%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Mohawk Industries combines four consecutive earnings beats, an attractively priced forward multiple at 11.3x, and improving momentum signals — but with the stock essentially at near-term resistance with less than 2% headroom, the setup rewards current holders more than it justifies adding new capital.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak ValuationStable
  • Cash Conversion Financial StrengthStable
  • Recovery Momentum EmergingStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $116.19, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Mohawk Industries manufactures and distributes flooring products globally through three segments — Global Ceramic (40% of 2025 net sales), Flooring North America (34%), and Flooring Rest of World (26%) — generating $10.8 billion in total 2025 net sales. Revenue comes from... Read more

$116.19+3.8% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#4 of 13 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield11.81%
Stop $108.06Target $120.56(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$119.93+3.2%14 analysts
$120.56our TP
$116.19price
$119.93mean
$96
$146

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $116.19, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.9
P/E (Fwd)12.1
Mkt Cap$7.3B
EV/EBITDA6.3
Profit Mgn3.8%
ROE5.1%
Rev Growth8.0%
Beta1.18
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.81neutral
IV58%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierone or a small number of suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'the Company is dependent on one or a small number of suppliers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-21Item 5.02LOW
    May 21, 2026: Stockholders approved the Mohawk Industries 2026 Incentive Plan, effective May 21, 2026 (term through May 21, 2036), with 3,500,000 shares reserved for options, RSUs, and other equity awards. Replaces the prior 2017 Incentive Plan.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $101.27Resistance $123.02

Price Targets

$108
$121
A.Upside+3.8%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MHK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $116.19, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $120.56 (+3.8%), stop $108.06 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MHK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $120.56 (+3.8% upside). Target $120.56 (+3.8%), stop $108.06 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $108.06.

What are the risks of investing in MHK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is MHK overvalued or undervalued?

Mohawk Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.9 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MHK?

21 analysts cover MHK with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $120.

What does Mohawk Industries, Inc. do?Mohawk Industries manufactures and distributes flooring products globally through three segments — Global Ceramic (40%...

Mohawk Industries manufactures and distributes flooring products globally through three segments — Global Ceramic (40% of 2025 net sales), Flooring North America (34%), and Flooring Rest of World (26%) — generating $10.8 billion in total 2025 net sales. Revenue comes from residential and commercial construction and remodeling through floor covering retailers, home centers, and other channels; 54% of sales were from the US and 46% international.

Related stocks: HNI (HNI Corporation) · TILE (Interface, Inc.) · SGI (Somnigroup International Inc.) · LZB (La-Z-Boy Incorporated) · ALH (Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.)
Home Stocks MHK

Latest news

Latest News

StockStory69d agoEarnings
MarketWatch13d ago
Yahoo Finance13d ago
MarketBeat76d ago
MSN76d ago
The Globe and Mail76d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat70d agoEarnings
MarketBeat70d ago
MarketWatch14d ago
GuruFocus77d ago
Benzinga77d ago
Yahoo Finance77d ago
Investing.com Australia77d agoAnalyst
Msn.com77d ago
Yahoo Finance68d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance68d ago
StockStory68d agoEarnings
Quiver Quantitative68d ago
Marketscreener.com68d agoEarnings
MarketBeat68d ago
Loading more...