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MHKMohawk Industries, Inc.Sell5.7·$153.36
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Mohawk Industries combines four consecutive earnings beats, an attractively priced forward multiple at 11.3x, and improving momentum signals — but with the stock essentially at near-term resistance with less than 2% headroom, the setup rewards current holders more than it justifies adding new capital.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak Valuation↑Improving
  • Cash Conversion Financial Strength→Stable
  • Recovery Momentum Emerging→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 24, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $153.36 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.7% away).

Mohawk Industries manufactures and distributes flooring products globally through three segments — Global Ceramic (40% of 2025 net sales), Flooring North America (34%), and Flooring Rest of World (26%) — generating $10.8 billion in total 2025 net sales. Revenue comes from... Read more

$153.36-12.5% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#6 of 13 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield11.73%
Stop $142.62Analyst target $134.22(reached)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst consensus$149.13-2.8%15 analysts with price targets
$153.36price
$149.13mean
$112
$183

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $153.36 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 3, 2026

Recent Developments — Mohawk Industries, Inc.

Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:08Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 4, 202791d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.7% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.0
P/E (Fwd)15.7
Mkt Cap$8.9B
EV/EBITDA6.9
Profit Mgn4.6%
ROE6.2%
Rev Growth1.0%
Beta1.18
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.53bearish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$85-44.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierone or a small number of suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'the Company is dependent on one or a small number of suppliers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-21Item 5.02LOW
    May 21, 2026: Stockholders approved the Mohawk Industries 2026 Incentive Plan, effective May 21, 2026 (term through May 21, 2036), with 3,500,000 shares reserved for options, RSUs, and other equity awards. Replaces the prior 2017 Incentive Plan.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.3
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 91d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
73 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $114.37Resistance $154.46

Price Targets

A.Upside-12.5%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-04 (91d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MHK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $153.36 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $142.62. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.

What is the MHK stock price target?

Analyst target $134.22 reached (−12.5% from $153.36); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $142.62. Stop-loss: $142.62.

What are the risks of investing in MHK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).

Is MHK overvalued or undervalued?

Mohawk Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.0 (forward 15.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MHK?

22 analysts rate MHK, with a consensus score of 3.5/5. 15 analysts publish price targets averaging $149.

What does Mohawk Industries, Inc. do?Mohawk Industries manufactures and distributes flooring products globally through three segments — Global Ceramic (40%...

Mohawk Industries manufactures and distributes flooring products globally through three segments — Global Ceramic (40% of 2025 net sales), Flooring North America (34%), and Flooring Rest of World (26%) — generating $10.8 billion in total 2025 net sales. Revenue comes from residential and commercial construction and remodeling through floor covering retailers, home centers, and other channels; 54% of sales were from the US and 46% international.

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