Mohawk Industries combines four consecutive earnings beats, an attractively priced forward multiple at 11.3x, and improving momentum signals — but with the stock essentially at near-term resistance with less than 2% headroom, the setup rewards current holders more than it justifies adding new capital.
Thesis pillars
- Earnings Beat Streak Valuation↑Improving
- Cash Conversion Financial Strength→Stable
- Recovery Momentum Emerging↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
Sell if holding. At $119.97, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.3%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8).
Mohawk Industries manufactures and distributes flooring products globally through three segments — Global Ceramic (40% of 2025 net sales), Flooring North America (34%), and Flooring Rest of World (26%) — generating $10.8 billion in total 2025 net sales. Revenue comes from... Read more
Sell if holding. At $119.97, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.3%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (news events none recent, earnings proximity 15d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-15Recent Developments — Mohawk Industries, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Mohawk Industries Market Sentiment - Benzinga España — Benzinga España neutral
- NEWS Mohawk Industries (MHK) Q2 Earnings: What To Expect - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Mohawk Industries (MHK) Q2 Earnings: What To Expect - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Mohawk Industries (MHK) Reports Earnings Tomorrow: What To Expect - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Mohawk Industries (MHK) Reports Earnings Tomorrow: What To Expect - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail neutral
Generated 2026-10-15T11:37:20Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMSupplierone or a small number of suppliers10-K Item 1A: 'the Company is dependent on one or a small number of suppliers'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-21Item 5.02LOWMay 21, 2026: Stockholders approved the Mohawk Industries 2026 Incentive Plan, effective May 21, 2026 (term through May 21, 2036), with 3,500,000 shares reserved for options, RSUs, and other equity awards. Replaces the prior 2017 Incentive Plan.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $119.97, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.3%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $112.23. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $123.90 (+3.3% upside). Prior stop was $112.23. Stop-loss: $112.23.
Thin upside margin: 3.3%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Mohawk Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.8 (forward 11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
21 analysts cover MHK with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $138.
What does Mohawk Industries, Inc. do?Mohawk Industries manufactures and distributes flooring products globally through three segments — Global Ceramic (40%...
Mohawk Industries manufactures and distributes flooring products globally through three segments — Global Ceramic (40% of 2025 net sales), Flooring North America (34%), and Flooring Rest of World (26%) — generating $10.8 billion in total 2025 net sales. Revenue comes from residential and commercial construction and remodeling through floor covering retailers, home centers, and other channels; 54% of sales were from the US and 46% international.