Skip to main content

Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $75.86 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Somnigroup International is a global bedding holding company owning Tempur-Pedic, Sealy, and Stearns & Foster brands plus Mattress Firm (acquired February 2025 for approximately $5.1B), with 2,800+ retail stores and 70+ manufacturing facilities. Approximately 20.6% of 2025 net... Read more

$75.86+17.3% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#1 of 11 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
Stop $70.44Target $88.85(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$102.13+34.6%8 analysts
$88.85our TP
$75.86price
$102.13mean
$115

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $75.86 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.9
P/E (Fwd)18.6
Mkt Cap$15.8B
EV/EBITDA18.9
Profit Mgn5.1%
ROE20.9%
Rev Growth54.7%
Beta1.33
Dividend0.90%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.01bullish
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$130+71.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dA.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $70.78Resistance $86.42

Price Targets

$70
$89
A.Upside+17.1%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SGI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $75.86 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $70.44. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SGI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $88.85 (+17.3% upside). Prior stop was $70.44. Stop-loss: $70.44.

What are the risks of investing in SGI?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Is SGI overvalued or undervalued?

Somnigroup International Inc. trades at a P/E of 40.9 (forward 18.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SGI?

14 analysts cover SGI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $102.

What does Somnigroup International Inc. do?Somnigroup International is a global bedding holding company owning Tempur-Pedic, Sealy, and Stearns & Foster brands...

Somnigroup International is a global bedding holding company owning Tempur-Pedic, Sealy, and Stearns & Foster brands plus Mattress Firm (acquired February 2025 for approximately $5.1B), with 2,800+ retail stores and 70+ manufacturing facilities. Approximately 20.6% of 2025 net sales were generated outside the US.

Related stocks: HNI (HNI Corporation) · SN (SharkNinja, Inc.) · ALH (Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.) · MHK (Mohawk Industries, Inc.) · WHR (Whirlpool Corporation)