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MLKNMillerKnoll, Inc.Sell5.7·$20.72+3.81%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

MillerKnoll trades roughly 43% below the analyst consensus price target with exceptional free cash flow conversion relative to near-zero GAAP earnings, but a confirmed downtrend, elevated leverage, and an imminent earnings report create material near-term binary risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Risk Reward Wide DiscountStable
  • Strong Cash Conversion Vs GaapStable
  • Upcoming Earnings Binary CatalystStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

MillerKnoll, Inc. (MLKN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $20.72: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+0.87) + overbought RSI 83.

MillerKnoll, Inc. researches, designs, manufactures, sells, and distributes interior furnishings worldwide. It operates through North America Contract, International Contract, and Global Retail segments. The company also provides seating products, furniture systems, other... Read more

$20.72+45.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#7 of 11 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield16.56%
IncomeYield3.81%(5y avg 3.28%)Payout56.82%sustainable
Stop $19.03Target $29.75(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$35.00+68.9%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $20.72: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+0.87) + overbought RSI 83. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 83. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 86d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Sep 23, 202686d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5
Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+0.87) + overbought RSI 83
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.1
P/E (Fwd)8.4
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA8.5
Profit Mgn2.4%
ROE7.0%
Rev Growth4.4%
Beta1.40
Dividend3.81%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.6
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.8
Gap
6.0
52w Position
8.0
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.2>=5.5A.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 86d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
83 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.41Resistance $20.98

Price Targets

$19
$30
A.Upside+43.6%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts8
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$35

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-23 (86d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MLKN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $20.72: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+0.87) + overbought RSI 83. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 83. Prior stop was $19.03. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MLKN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.75 (+45.4% upside). Prior stop was $19.03. Stop-loss: $19.03.

What are the risks of investing in MLKN?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+0.87) + overbought RSI 83; Weak growth.

Is MLKN overvalued or undervalued?

MillerKnoll, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.1 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MLKN?

8 analysts cover MLKN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $35.

What does MillerKnoll, Inc. do?MillerKnoll, Inc. researches, designs, manufactures, sells, and distributes interior furnishings worldwide. It operates...

MillerKnoll, Inc. researches, designs, manufactures, sells, and distributes interior furnishings worldwide. It operates through North America Contract, International Contract, and Global Retail segments. The company also provides seating products, furniture systems, other freestanding furniture elements, textiles, leather, felt, home furnishings and related services, casegoods, storage products, as well as residential, education, and healthcare furniture solutions. It offers its products under the MillerKnoll, Herman Miller, Knoll, Maharam, Geiger, Design Within Reach, DWR, HAY, NaughtOne, Colebrook Bosson Saunders, Holly Hunt, Vladimir Kagan, Muuto, FilzFelt, Edelman, Spinneybeck, DatesWeiser, the Herman Miller “Circled Symbolic M” logo, Aeron, Mirra, Embody, Setu, Sayl, Cosm, Caper, Eames, KnollExtra, Knoll Luxe, KnollStudio, KnollTextiles, Remix, Dividends, Generation by Knoll, Regeneration by Knoll, MultiGeneration by Knoll, Barcelona, and Womb brand names. The company offers its products through independent contract furniture dealers, direct contract sales, owned and independent retailers, direct-mail catalogs, and e-commerce platforms. Its products are used in institutional, health/science, industrial and educational settings, and residential and other environments. The company was formerly known as Herman Miller, Inc. and changed its name to MillerKnoll, Inc. in November 2021. MillerKnoll, Inc. was incorporated in 1905 and is headquartered in Zeeland, Michigan.

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