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MillerKnoll, Inc. (MLKN) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.77 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

MillerKnoll, Inc. researches, designs, manufactures, sells, and distributes interior furnishings worldwide. It operates through North America Contract, International Contract, and Global Retail segments. The company also provides seating products, furniture systems, other... Read more

$14.77+85.4% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#8 of 11 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield19.47%
IncomeYield5.11%(5y avg 3.22%)Payout500.00%at-risk
Stop $14.02Target $27.20(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 10.3:1
Analyst target$32.00+116.7%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.77 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 85%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)97.8
P/E (Fwd)7.3
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA7.0
Profit Mgn0.3%
ROE1.1%
Rev Growth5.8%
Beta1.41
Dividend5.11%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.20bearish
IV52%elevated
Max Pain$3-83.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Ma Position
1.0
Macd
1.1
Obv
1.1
Volume
2.5
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 28, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.8
Growth Rank
3.6
Value Rank
4.6

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.9
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 10.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.45Resistance $18.20

Price Targets

$14
$27
A.Upside+84.2%
A.R:R10.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-24 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MLKN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.77 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $14.02. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the MLKN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.20 (+85.4% upside). Prior stop was $14.02. Stop-loss: $14.02.

What are the risks of investing in MLKN?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Is MLKN overvalued or undervalued?

MillerKnoll, Inc. trades at a P/E of 97.8 (forward 7.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MLKN?

8 analysts cover MLKN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $32.

What does MillerKnoll, Inc. do?MillerKnoll, Inc. researches, designs, manufactures, sells, and distributes interior furnishings worldwide. It operates...

MillerKnoll, Inc. researches, designs, manufactures, sells, and distributes interior furnishings worldwide. It operates through North America Contract, International Contract, and Global Retail segments. The company also provides seating products, furniture systems, other freestanding furniture elements, textiles, leather, felt, home furnishings and related services, casegoods, storage products, as well as residential, education, and healthcare furniture solutions. It offers its products under the MillerKnoll, Herman Miller, Knoll, Maharam, Geiger, Design Within Reach, DWR, HAY, NaughtOne, Colebrook Bosson Saunders, Holly Hunt, Vladimir Kagan, Muuto, FilzFelt, Edelman, Spinneybeck, DatesWeiser, the Herman Miller “Circled Symbolic M” logo, Aeron, Mirra, Embody, Setu, Sayl, Cosm, Caper, Eames, KnollExtra, Knoll Luxe, KnollStudio, KnollTextiles, Remix, Dividends, Generation by Knoll, Regeneration by Knoll, MultiGeneration by Knoll, Barcelona, and Womb brand names. The company offers its products through independent contract furniture dealers, direct contract sales, owned and independent retailers, direct-mail catalogs, and e-commerce platforms. Its products are used in institutional, health/science, industrial and educational settings, and residential and other environments. The company was formerly known as Herman Miller, Inc. and changed its name to MillerKnoll, Inc. in November 2021. MillerKnoll, Inc. was incorporated in 1905 and is headquartered in Zeeland, Michigan.

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