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HNI Corporation (HNI) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.25: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 9.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

HNI is a manufacturer of workplace furnishings and residential building products. Within workplace furnishings, the Corporation is the thought leader in commercial furnishings and the preeminent global designer, innovator, and provider of workplace solutions going to market... Read more

$29.25+100.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#3 of 11 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-0.26%
IncomeYield4.79%(5y avg 3.34%)Payout503.70%at-risk
Stop $28.35Target $58.65(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 9.5:1
Analyst target$69.00+135.9%4 analysts
$58.65our TP
$29.25price
$69.00mean
$73

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.25: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 9.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 25, MACD bearish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — HNI Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -1.3%), High leverage (D/E 9.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)108.3
P/E (Fwd)6.0
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA10.4
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE0.1%
Rev Growth124.7%
Beta1.00
Dividend4.79%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C5.00bearish
IV73%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
0.6
Roa
2.9
Gross Margin
4.2
Current Ratio
5.2
Moat
5.6
Piotroski F
6.7
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -362% FCF/NIQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.9
Rsi
3.0
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 25, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 9.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
25 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $29.23Resistance $37.99

Price Targets

$28
$59
A.Upside+100.5%
A.R:R9.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -1.3%), High leverage (D/E 9.2)
! Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HNI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.25: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 9.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 25, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $28.35. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HNI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $58.65 (+100.5% upside). Prior stop was $28.35. Stop-loss: $28.35.

What are the risks of investing in HNI?

Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -1.3%), High leverage (D/E 9.2).

Is HNI overvalued or undervalued?

HNI Corporation trades at a P/E of 108.3 (forward 6.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HNI?

6 analysts cover HNI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $69.

What does HNI Corporation do?HNI is a manufacturer of workplace furnishings and residential building products. Within workplace furnishings, the...

HNI is a manufacturer of workplace furnishings and residential building products. Within workplace furnishings, the Corporation is the thought leader in commercial furnishings and the preeminent global designer, innovator, and provider of workplace solutions going to market under unique brands serving multiple channels and customers from the largest multinational companies to small local businesses.

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