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WYNNWynn Resorts, LimitedSell5.5·$95.91-0.21%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Wynn Resorts has delivered strong revenue growth with a Piotroski score of 8/9 and carries 28% analyst upside potential, but has missed earnings estimates in all four of the last quarters by an average of nearly 14%, is trading below its 200-day moving average in a confirmed death cross, and carries an elevated put/call ratio of 2.25 — creating a high-uncertainty setup despite the growth profile.

Thesis pillars

  • Elevated Put Call Bearish PositioningStable
  • Four Quarter Earnings Miss StreakStable
  • Analyst Upside Vs Death CrossStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $95.91 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum.

Wynn Resorts, Limited ("Wynn Resorts," "Wynn," or together with its subsidiaries, "we" or the "Company") is a preeminent designer, developer, and operator of integrated resorts featuring luxury hotel rooms, high-end retail space, an array of dining and entertainment options,... Read more

$95.91+27.5% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#5 of 13 Resorts & Casinos
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.59%
IncomeYield1.04%(5y avg 2.28%)Payout28.65%sustainable
Stop $91.98Target $122.30(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.8:1
Analyst target$135.89+41.7%18 analysts
$122.30our TP
$95.91price
$135.89mean
$150

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $95.91 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 22, MACD bearish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 28%
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.5
P/E (Fwd)17.8
Mkt Cap$10.0B
EV/EBITDA11.0
Profit Mgn5.1%
ROE
Rev Growth9.2%
Beta0.99
Dividend1.04%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.25bearish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.7
Capitulation risk (RSI 22, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 104.0%
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
22 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $94.82Resistance $111.29

Price Targets

$92
$122
A.Upside+27.5%
A.R:R3.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WYNN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $95.91 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 22, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $91.98. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WYNN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $122.30 (+27.5% upside). Prior stop was $91.98. Stop-loss: $91.98.

What are the risks of investing in WYNN?

Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is WYNN overvalued or undervalued?

Wynn Resorts, Limited trades at a P/E of 27.5 (forward 17.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WYNN?

27 analysts cover WYNN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $136.

What does Wynn Resorts, Limited do?Wynn Resorts, Limited ("Wynn Resorts," "Wynn," or together with its subsidiaries, "we" or the "Company") is a...

Wynn Resorts, Limited ("Wynn Resorts," "Wynn," or together with its subsidiaries, "we" or the "Company") is a preeminent designer, developer, and operator of integrated resorts featuring luxury hotel rooms, high-end retail space, an array of dining and entertainment options, meeting and convention facilities, and gaming, all supported by an unparalleled focus on our guests, our people, and our community.

Related stocks: LVS (Las Vegas Sands Corp.) · MLCO (Melco Resorts & Entertainment L) · MCRI (Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.) · RRR (Red Rock Resorts, Inc.) · HGV (Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.)
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