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MLCOMelco Resorts & Entertainment LSell5.7·$4.71
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Melco Resorts is a deeply discounted casino operator (forward P/E 6.5x, 61% analyst upside) in a confirmed downtrend with borderline quality and shrinking revenue, so the valuation case is unconfirmed by price action.

Thesis pillars

  • Declining Revenue Borderline Quality→Stable
  • Mostly Strong Earnings Record→Stable
  • Deep Value With Analyst Upside↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Melco Resorts & Entertainment L (MLCO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.71: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 7.86; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited develops, owns, and operates casino gaming and resort facilities in Macau, the Philippines, Cyprus, and internationally. It operates through City of Dreams, Studio City, Altira Macau, Mocha, City of Dreams Manila, City of Dreams... Read more

$4.71+14.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#6 of 13 Resorts & Casinos
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $4.38Analyst target $5.37(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst consensus$6.18+31.1%13 analysts with price targets
$5.37Analyst target
$4.71price
$6.18mean
$4
$9

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.71: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 7.86; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 5, 2026

Recent Developments — Melco Resorts & Entertainment L

Latest item Nov 5, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:08Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.0
P/E (Fwd)7.8
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA6.8
Profit Mgn4.5%
ROE—
Rev Growth-5.7%
Beta0.47
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C7.86bearish
IV95%elevated
Max Pain$3-36.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
0.3
Gap
5.0
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
60 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $3.67Resistance $4.74

Price Targets

$4
$5
A.Upside+14.1%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MLCO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.71: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 7.86; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Prior stop was $4.38. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MLCO stock price target?

Analyst target: $5.37 (+14.1% upside). Prior stop was $4.38. Stop-loss: $4.38.

What are the risks of investing in MLCO?

Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is MLCO overvalued or undervalued?

Melco Resorts & Entertainment L trades at a P/E of 8.0 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MLCO?

20 analysts rate MLCO, with a consensus score of 3.9/5. 13 analysts publish price targets averaging $6.

What does Melco Resorts & Entertainment L do?Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited develops, owns, and operates casino gaming and resort facilities in Macau, the...

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited develops, owns, and operates casino gaming and resort facilities in Macau, the Philippines, Cyprus, and internationally. It operates through City of Dreams, Studio City, Altira Macau, Mocha, City of Dreams Manila, City of Dreams Mediterranean and Other, Other Operations, and Corporate and Other segments. The company owns and operates City of Dreams, an integrated resort that has gaming tables and gaming machines; suites and villas; food and beverage outlets; retail outlets; a wet stage performance theater; and recreation and leisure facilities, including health and fitness clubs, swimming pools, spas and salons, and banquet and meeting facilities in Cotai, Macau. It also operates Studio City, a cinematically themed integrated resort with gaming facilities, hotel, entertainment, retail, and food and beverage outlets in Cotai, Macau; and Altira Macau, an integrated resort, which offers gaming tables and gaming machines, hotel rooms, dining and casual restaurants, and recreation and leisure facilities in Taipa, Macau. In addition, the company owns and operates Mocha Clubs, which are clubs with gaming machines in Macau; City of Dreams Manila, an integrated resort in the Entertainment City complex in Manila; City of Dreams Mediterranean, an integrated resort in Limassol, Cyprus; and three satellite casinos in Nicosia, Ayia Napa, and Paphos in Cyprus. Further, it is involved in the operation of the Sri Lanka Casino and management of Nüwa Sri Lanka located in City of Dreams Sri Lanka, as well as development projects in other countries. The company was formerly known as Melco Crown Entertainment Limited and changed its name to Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited in April 2017. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Central, Hong Kong. Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited is a subsidiary of Melco Leisure and Entertainment Group Limited.

Related stocks: HGV (Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.) · WYNN (Wynn Resorts, Limited) · RRR (Red Rock Resorts, Inc.) · PENN (PENN Entertainment, Inc.) · BYD (Boyd Gaming Corporation)
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