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Melco Resorts & Entertainment L (MLCO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $5.29: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited develops, owns, and operates casino gaming and resort facilities in Macau, the Philippines, Cyprus, and internationally. It operates through City of Dreams, Studio City, Altira Macau, Mocha, City of Dreams Manila, City of Dreams... Read more

$5.29+38.2% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#2 of 12 Resorts & Casinos
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
Stop $5.09Target $7.52(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.1:1
Analyst target$8.65+63.4%13 analysts
$7.52our TP
$5.29price
$8.65mean
$13

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $5.29: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Melco Resorts & Entertainment L

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.5
P/E (Fwd)6.5
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA10.3
Profit Mgn4.3%
ROE
Rev Growth10.9%
Beta0.59
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.23bullish
IV95%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5A.R:R 5.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.25Resistance $6.07

Price Targets

$5
$8
A.Upside+42.2%
A.R:R5.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MLCO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $5.29: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Prior stop was $5.09. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MLCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.52 (+38.2% upside). Prior stop was $5.09. Stop-loss: $5.09.

What are the risks of investing in MLCO?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is MLCO overvalued or undervalued?

Melco Resorts & Entertainment L trades at a P/E of 9.5 (forward 6.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MLCO?

20 analysts cover MLCO with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Melco Resorts & Entertainment L do?Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited develops, owns, and operates casino gaming and resort facilities in Macau, the...

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited develops, owns, and operates casino gaming and resort facilities in Macau, the Philippines, Cyprus, and internationally. It operates through City of Dreams, Studio City, Altira Macau, Mocha, City of Dreams Manila, City of Dreams Mediterranean and Other, Other Operations, and Corporate and Other segments. The company owns and operates City of Dreams, an integrated resort that has gaming tables and gaming machines; suites and villas; food and beverage outlets; retail outlets; a wet stage performance theater; and recreation and leisure facilities, including health and fitness clubs, swimming pools, spas and salons, and banquet and meeting facilities in Cotai, Macau. It also operates Studio City, a cinematically themed integrated resort with gaming facilities, hotel, entertainment, retail, and food and beverage outlets in Cotai, Macau; and Altira Macau, an integrated resort, which offers gaming tables and gaming machines, hotel rooms, dining and casual restaurants, and recreation and leisure facilities in Taipa, Macau. In addition, the company owns and operates Mocha Clubs, which are clubs with gaming machines in Macau; City of Dreams Manila, an integrated resort in the Entertainment City complex in Manila; City of Dreams Mediterranean, an integrated resort in Limassol, Cyprus; and three satellite casinos in Nicosia, Ayia Napa, and Paphos in Cyprus. Further, it is involved in the operation of the Sri Lanka Casino and management of Nüwa Sri Lanka located in City of Dreams Sri Lanka, as well as development projects in other countries. The company was formerly known as Melco Crown Entertainment Limited and changed its name to Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited in April 2017. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Central, Hong Kong. Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited is a subsidiary of Melco Leisure and Entertainment Group Limited.

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