Winmark Corporation is a best-in-class specialty retailer with 48% operating margins, a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9, and best-in-class peer quality rankings — but 3 consecutive earnings misses, a rich valuation at a forward price-to-earnings of 33.3x, and revenue declining 5% year-over-year create a tension between exceptional quality and near-term execution concerns.
Thesis pillars
- Three Consecutive Earnings Misses→Stable
- Best In Class Operating Margins→Stable
- Rich Valuation Declining Revenue→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Winmark Corporation (WINA) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Sell if holding. At $424.31, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 9.2%.
We champion and guide entrepreneurs interested in operating one of our award winning resale franchises: Plato's Closet®, Once Upon A Child®, Play It Again Sports®, Style Encore® and Music Go Round®. At December 27, 2025, there were 1,378 franchises in operation in the United... Read more
Sell if holding. At $424.31, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 9.2%. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/11 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-06Recent Developments — Winmark Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Winmark Q1 EPS $2.50 Misses $2.70 Estimate, Sales $20.850M Miss $21.091M Estimate — benzinga Apr 15, 2026 negative
Generated 2026-07-06T13:32:00Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-06Item 5.02MEDIUM (b) On May 5, 2026, Lawrence A. Barbetta, a member of the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Winmark Corporation (the "Company") notified the Company that he will not stand for re-election at the Company's Annual Meeting of Shareholders to be held on or about April 21, 2027, in accordance with...SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
5 floor-breakers
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Revenue shrinking — -4.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $424.31, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 9.2%. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $394.59. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $463.25 (+9.2% upside). Prior stop was $394.59. Stop-loss: $394.59.
Thin upside margin: 9.2%; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 4.6/10.
Winmark Corporation trades at a P/E of 38.3 (forward 35.1). TrendMatrix value score: 2.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
7 analysts cover WINA with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $545.
What does Winmark Corporation do?We champion and guide entrepreneurs interested in operating one of our award winning resale franchises: Plato's...
We champion and guide entrepreneurs interested in operating one of our award winning resale franchises: Plato's Closet®, Once Upon A Child®, Play It Again Sports®, Style Encore® and Music Go Round®. At December 27, 2025, there were 1,378 franchises in operation in the United States and Canada and over 2,800 available territories. Our mission is to provide Resale for Everyone®.