Winmark Corporation (WINA) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup · Temp Headwind edge
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $382.15 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 4.3/10.
Winmark Corporation, a resale company, operates as a franchisor in the United States and Canada. It is involved in the operation of Plato's Closet, which franchisees buy and sell gently used clothing and accessories for the teenage and young adult market; Once Upon A Child,... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $382.15 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 4.3/10. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Revenue shrinking — -4.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $382.15 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 4.3/10. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $355.40. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $463.25 (+21.2% upside). Prior stop was $355.40. Stop-loss: $355.40.
Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak overall score: 4.3/10; Expensive valuation.
Winmark Corporation trades at a P/E of 33.8 (forward 31.0). TrendMatrix value score: 2.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
7 analysts cover WINA with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $545.
What does Winmark Corporation do?Winmark Corporation, a resale company, operates as a franchisor in the United States and Canada. It is involved in the...
Winmark Corporation, a resale company, operates as a franchisor in the United States and Canada. It is involved in the operation of Plato's Closet, which franchisees buy and sell gently used clothing and accessories for the teenage and young adult market; Once Upon A Child, which franchisees buy and sell gently used and, to a lesser extent, new children's clothing, toys, furniture, equipment, and accessories; and Style Encore, which franchisees buy and sell gently used women's and men's apparel, shoes, and accessories. The company also operates Play It Again Sports, which franchisees buy, sell and trade gently used and new sporting goods, equipment, and accessories for various athletic activities, including team sports, fitness, ski and snowboard, and golf; Music Go Round, which franchisees buy, sell, and trade gently used and, to a lesser extent, new musical instruments, speakers, amplifiers, music-related electronics, and related accessories. In addition, it engages in the operation of a middle-market equipment leasing business under the Winmark Capital brand; and provision of point-of-sale system hardware to its franchisees and certain merchandise to its Play It Again Sports franchisees. The company was formerly known as Grow Biz International, Inc. and changed its name to Winmark Corporation in November 2001. Winmark Corporation was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.