Winmark Corporation is a best-in-class specialty retailer with 48% operating margins, a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9, and best-in-class peer quality rankings — but 3 consecutive earnings misses, a rich valuation at a forward price-to-earnings of 33.3x, and revenue declining 5% year-over-year create a tension between exceptional quality and near-term execution concerns.
Thesis pillars
- Three Consecutive Earnings Misses→Stable
- Best In Class Operating Margins→Stable
- Rich Valuation Declining Revenue→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026· older than 90 days
Winmark Corporation (WINA) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup · Temporary headwind edge
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $277.51 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
We champion and guide entrepreneurs interested in operating one of our award winning resale franchises: Plato's Closet®, Once Upon A Child®, Play It Again Sports®, Style Encore® and Music Go Round®. At December 27, 2025, there were 1,378 franchises in operation in the United... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $277.51 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 104d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
No fresh coverage since Oct 15, 2026
Recent Developments — Winmark Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Penske Automotive, OPKO Health, Ericsson And Other Big Stocks Moving Higher On Thursday — benzinga Oct 15, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Winmark (NASDAQ:WINA) Shares Climb 3.2% - What's Next? - MarketBeat — MarketBeat Oct 14, 2026 positive
- NEWS Winmark Reports Strong Q3 Results and Special Dividend - TipRanks — TipRanks Oct 14, 2026 positive
- NEWS Earnings Flash (WINA) Winmark Corporation Reports Q3 Revenue $27.9M, vs. FactSet Est of $24.0M - www.marketscreener.com — www.marketscreener.com Oct 14, 2026 positive
- NEWS Winmark Fiscal Q3 Earnings, Revenue Rise - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com Oct 14, 2026 positive
Latest item Oct 15, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:54:13Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $277.51 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $258.51. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $463.25 (+66.9% upside). Prior stop was $258.51. Stop-loss: $258.51.
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Expensive valuation.
Winmark Corporation trades at a P/E of 24.8 (forward 23.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
7 analysts rate WINA, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 1 analysts publish price targets averaging $545.
What does Winmark Corporation do?We champion and guide entrepreneurs interested in operating one of our award winning resale franchises: Plato's...
We champion and guide entrepreneurs interested in operating one of our award winning resale franchises: Plato's Closet®, Once Upon A Child®, Play It Again Sports®, Style Encore® and Music Go Round®. At December 27, 2025, there were 1,378 franchises in operation in the United States and Canada and over 2,800 available territories. Our mission is to provide Resale for Everyone®.