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BWMXBetterware de Mexico, S.A.P.I. Sell6.7·$16.75
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

BWMX screens cheap with an excellent return on equity and bullish insider buying, though its elevated leverage remains the key balance-sheet risk to watch.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Cheap ValuationStable
  • Excellent Roe QualityStable
  • Modest Insider BuyingStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Betterware de Mexico, S.A.P.I. (BWMX) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $16.75: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. operates as a direct-to-consumer selling company in the United States and Mexico. It operates through Home Organization Products; and Beauty and Personal Care Products segments. The Home Organization Products segment provides a portfolio of... Read more

$16.75+47.9% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#1 of 23 Specialty Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-249.66%
IncomeYield7.33%(5y avg 10.00%)Payout48.70%sustainable
Stop $15.58Target $24.77(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 5.0:1
Analyst target$29.14+74.0%3 analysts
$24.77our TP
$16.75price
$29.14mean
$31

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $16.75: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 6.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-23
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 22, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Positive insider activity
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.5
P/E (Fwd)6.0
Mkt Cap$659M
EV/EBITDA3.0
Profit Mgn8.5%
ROE73.0%
Rev Growth16.8%
Beta1.04
Dividend7.33%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.07bullish
IV73%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
1.1
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
3.7
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.1
Support Resistance
2.8
52w Position
7.7
GatesMomentum 7.3>=5.5A.R:R 5.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $15.15Resistance $17.36

Price Targets

$16
$25
A.Upside+47.9%
A.R:R5.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts8
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$29

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-22 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BWMX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $16.75: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $15.58. Score 6.7/10, high confidence.

What is the BWMX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.77 (+47.9% upside). Prior stop was $15.58. Stop-loss: $15.58.

What are the risks of investing in BWMX?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is BWMX overvalued or undervalued?

Betterware de Mexico, S.A.P.I. trades at a P/E of 6.5 (forward 6.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BWMX?

8 analysts cover BWMX with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $29.

What does Betterware de Mexico, S.A.P.I. do?Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. operates as a direct-to-consumer selling company in the United States and...

Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. operates as a direct-to-consumer selling company in the United States and Mexico. It operates through Home Organization Products; and Beauty and Personal Care Products segments. The Home Organization Products segment provides a portfolio of products comprising kitchen and food preservation; home solutions; bedroom; bathroom; laundry and cleaning; wellness; and technology and mobility. The Beauty and Personal Care Products segment offers fragrances, color, skin care products, and toiletries. It sells its products through catalogues, as well as distributes through a network of distributors, associates, leaders, and consultants to the end customers. Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. is headquartered in El Arenal, Mexico. The company operates as a subsidiary of Campalier S.A. de C.V.

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