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GMEGameStop CorporationSell6.0·$24.27
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak with an average upside surprise of 123% demonstrates disciplined execution against expectations, but negative free cash flow, elevated short interest, a put/call ratio above 1.3, and zero upside to the technical target create a setup where fundamental progress and tactical conditions are pointing in opposite directions.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
  • Negative Free Cash Flow Quality Risk→Stable
  • Momentum And Technical Deterioration↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 24, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

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GameStop Corporation (GME) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $24.27: Concentration risk — Supplier: Nintendo, Sony, and Pokemon; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

GameStop retails games, collectibles, and entertainment products through 2,206 stores (1,598 in the U.S., 308 in Europe, 300 in Australia) and ecommerce platforms, generating roughly 30% of annual sales in Q4 fiscal 2025. Revenue comes from hardware, software, and collectibles... Read more

$24.27+15.6% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#6 of 23 Specialty Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.70%
Stop $22.57Analyst target $28.05(−15% haircut)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst consensus$33.00+36.0%1 analysts with price targets
Range unavailable (1 analysts with price targets)

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $24.27: Concentration risk — Supplier: Nintendo, Sony, and Pokemon; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About GameStop Corporation

About GameStop Corporation

GameStop operated 2,206 stores at January 31, 2026 — 1,598 in the United States, 308 in Europe (France), and 300 in Australia — after closing 727 domestic stores in fiscal 2025 and exiting Canada, Ireland, Switzerland, Austria, Germany, New Zealand, and Italy in recent years. The three largest vendors, Nintendo, Sony, and Pokémon, collectively supplied a majority of new product purchases in fiscal 2025. Fourth-quarter sales represented approximately 30% of annual revenue in fiscal 2025, down from 34% in fiscal 2024.

GameStop earns revenue across three product categories — hardware and accessories (consoles, controllers, headsets), software (new and pre-owned games, digital downloads), and collectibles (trading cards, apparel, toys, gadgets) — through retail stores and ecommerce platforms operating under the GameStop, EB Games, and Micromania brand names. The trade-in program purchases pre-owned gaming hardware and collectibles from customers in exchange for cash or store credit, then refurbishes and resells the inventory through centers in the United States, Australia, and Europe. Beyond traditional retail, GameStop has adopted a capital allocation strategy — the Board's Investment Committee is authorized to deploy cash into equity securities, fixed income, derivatives, and certain cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin. The company is also evaluating a potential sale of its France operations to a strategic buyer. GameStop competes against Walmart, Target, Best Buy, Amazon.com, Sony's PlayStation Network, Microsoft's Xbox Live, and Nintendo's digital storefront in the U.S.

Show full overview

Vendor concentration and the platform shift to digital distribution are the most material structural risks. Nintendo, Sony, and Pokémon collectively supply a majority of new product purchases, and the 10-K separately calls out Pokémon trading cards: a significant portion of collectibles revenue and profit depends on that single franchise's popularity. Concurrently, Sony and Microsoft now offer consoles that operate exclusively with digital games, eliminating the physical software purchase for a growing share of the installed base — a structural channel shift that may reduce demand for physical software independent of broader gaming industry trends.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

From GameStop Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 2, 2026

Recent Developments — GameStop Corporation

Latest item Nov 2, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:39:49Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Dec 8, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Nintendo, Sony, and Pokemon
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.0
P/E (Fwd)15.7
Mkt Cap$12.2B
EV/EBITDA22.8
Profit Mgn25.2%
ROE15.8%
Rev Growth-18.7%
Beta1.66
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.51bullish
IV60%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierNintendo, Sony, and Pokemon
    10-K Item 1: 'Our largest vendors are Nintendo, Sony, and Pokemon, which collectively accounted for a majority of our new product purchases in fiscal 2025'
  • MEDIUMProductPokemon trading cards
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of revenue and profit in our collectibles product category is generated from the sale of trading cards, including Pokemon trading cards'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
28 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.07Resistance $28.30

Price Targets

$23
$28
A.Upside+15.6%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts with ratings8
Consensus2.0/5
Avg Target$33

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-08 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GME stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $24.27: Concentration risk — Supplier: Nintendo, Sony, and Pokemon; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $22.57. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GME stock price target?

Analyst target: $28.05 (+15.6% upside). Prior stop was $22.57. Stop-loss: $22.57.

What are the risks of investing in GME?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Nintendo, Sony, and Pokemon; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is GME overvalued or undervalued?

GameStop Corporation trades at a P/E of 16.0 (forward 15.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GME?

8 analysts rate GME, with a consensus score of 2.0/5. 1 analysts publish price targets averaging $33.

What does GameStop Corporation do?GameStop retails games, collectibles, and entertainment products through 2,206 stores (1,598 in the U.S., 308 in...

GameStop retails games, collectibles, and entertainment products through 2,206 stores (1,598 in the U.S., 308 in Europe, 300 in Australia) and ecommerce platforms, generating roughly 30% of annual sales in Q4 fiscal 2025. Revenue comes from hardware, software, and collectibles sales plus a trade-in program; Nintendo, Sony, and Pokémon collectively supplied a majority of new product purchases. The company is pivoting toward capital allocation — evaluating acquisitions and deploying cash into securities including Bitcoin.

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