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WABWestinghouse Air Brake TechnoloBuy Wait5.8·$299.02+0.35%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Westinghouse Air Brake has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters and holds a leading growth position within its industry peer group, though the stock has reached its analyst price target and the reward-to-risk ratio has turned negative at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakDeteriorating
  • Breakout Technical MomentumDeteriorating
  • Concentration Risk Supplier DependencyImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Westinghouse Air Brake Technolo (WAB) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Railroads

Wait for pullback to $291.36. BUY gates pass at $299.02, but concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced component suppliers and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $291.36 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Wabtec manufactures locomotives, rail equipment, digital intelligence systems, and components for global freight and passenger transit markets, with 31,000 employees and operations in over 50 countries. The Freight Segment generates approximately 72% of net sales (roughly 58%... Read more

$299.02-4.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#2 of 9 Railroads
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.18%
IncomeYield0.41%(5y avg 0.52%)Payout15.07%sustainable
Entry $291.36(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $278.68Target $343.87(default +15%)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$329.17+10.1%12 analysts
$343.87our TP
$299.02price
$329.17mean
$292
$355

Wait for pullback to $291.36. BUY gates pass at $299.02, but concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced component suppliers and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $291.36 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 66d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 21, 202666d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced component suppliers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.5% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.3
P/E (Fwd)24.0
Mkt Cap$50.5B
EV/EBITDA21.4
Profit Mgn10.6%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth17.5%
Beta0.93
Dividend0.41%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.37bullish
IV46%normal
Max Pain$410+37.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicinternational (outside U.S.) revenue
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately half of our consolidated net sales were to customers outside of the United States'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle-sourced component suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'we rely upon third-party suppliers, including certain single-sourced suppliers, for various components for our products'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 66d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $255.76Resistance $306.64

Price Targets

$279
$291
$344
A.Upside-4.2%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.2% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-21 (66d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WAB stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $291.36. BUY gates pass at $299.02, but concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced component suppliers and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $291.36 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $343.87 (+15.0%), stop $278.68 (−7.3%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WAB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $343.87 (-4.2% upside). Target $343.87 (+15.0%), stop $278.68 (−7.3%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $278.68.

What are the risks of investing in WAB?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced component suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.5% away).

Is WAB overvalued or undervalued?

Westinghouse Air Brake Technolo trades at a P/E of 40.3 (forward 24.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about WAB?

18 analysts cover WAB with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $329.

What does Westinghouse Air Brake Technolo do?Wabtec manufactures locomotives, rail equipment, digital intelligence systems, and components for global freight and...

Wabtec manufactures locomotives, rail equipment, digital intelligence systems, and components for global freight and passenger transit markets, with 31,000 employees and operations in over 50 countries. The Freight Segment generates approximately 72% of net sales (roughly 58% from aftermarket), while the Transit Segment contributes 28% (roughly 56% aftermarket); combined aftermarket revenue represents approximately 60% of total net sales. An installed base of nearly 24,600 locomotives drives recurring replacement-part demand.

Related stocks: CP (Canadian Pacific Kansas City Li) · CNI (Canadian National Railway Compa) · CSX (CSX Corporation) · UNP (Union Pacific Corporation) · NSC (Norfolk Southern Corporation)
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