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Canadian National Railway Compa (CNI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellHigh Confidence

Industrials · Railroads

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $111.96 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.7% away).

Canadian National Railway Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the rail, intermodal, trucking, and related transportation businesses in Canada and the United States. The company provides rail services, which include equipment, customs brokerage, transloading and... Read more

$111.96+0.8% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#5 of 8 Railroads
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield3.80%
IncomeYield2.39%(5y avg 2.03%)Payout47.13%sustainable
Stop $107.45Target $113.48(resistance)A.R:R -2.1:1
Analyst target$115.77+3.4%12 analysts
$113.48our TP
$111.96price
$115.77mean
$98
$129

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $111.96 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.7% away). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Canadian National Railway Compa

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.7% away)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.4
P/E (Fwd)17.7
Mkt Cap$68.3B
EV/EBITDA10.1
Profit Mgn27.2%
ROE21.8%
Rev Growth-0.5%
Beta0.99
Dividend2.39%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.38bearish
IV32%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
2.2
Revenue Growth
2.4
Declining revenue: -0%

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
1.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R -2.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 65d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $107.00Resistance $115.80

Price Targets

$107
$113
A.Upside+1.4%
A.R:R-2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.6% upside)
! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-24 (65d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $111.96 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.7% away). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $107.45. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the CNI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $113.48 (+0.8% upside). Prior stop was $107.45. Stop-loss: $107.45.

What are the risks of investing in CNI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is CNI overvalued or undervalued?

Canadian National Railway Compa trades at a P/E of 20.4 (forward 17.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CNI?

27 analysts cover CNI with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $116.

What does Canadian National Railway Compa do?Canadian National Railway Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the rail, intermodal, trucking, and...

Canadian National Railway Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the rail, intermodal, trucking, and related transportation businesses in Canada and the United States. The company provides rail services, which include equipment, customs brokerage, transloading and warehousing, business development, dimensional loads, and private railcar storage, less-than-truckload, and mexico services; intermodal services, such as temperature controlled multimodal, mobile transport trays, port partnerships, transloading and distribution, logistics parks, trucking, and supply chain services. It also offers connecting to rail, short lines, maps and network services. The company serves automotive, coal, fertilizers, temperature controlled cargo, forest products, dimensional, grain, metal and minerals, petroleum and chemicals, consumer goods, and third party logistics applications. Canadian National Railway Company was incorporated in 1919 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

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