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Canadian National Railway Compa (CNI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Railroads

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $111.05 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.1% away).

Canadian National Railway Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the rail, intermodal, trucking, and related transportation businesses in Canada and the United States. The company provides rail services, which include equipment, customs brokerage, transloading and... Read more

$111.05+2.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#2 of 8 Railroads
Stop $106.13Target $113.48(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$116.39+4.8%12 analysts
$113.48our TP
$111.05price
$116.39mean
$99
$132

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $111.05 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.1% away). Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.1% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.4
P/E (Fwd)16.9
Mkt Cap$66.1B
EV/EBITDA9.6
Profit Mgn27.3%
ROE22.1%
Rev Growth2.4%
Beta0.96
Dividend2.49%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C14.75bearish
IV45%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.1
Earnings Growth
4.3

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Macd
2.3
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $102.55Resistance $115.80

Price Targets

$106
$113
A.Upside+2.2%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.8% upside)
! Momentum score 3.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $111.05 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.1% away). Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $106.13. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CNI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $113.48 (+2.2% upside). Prior stop was $106.13. Stop-loss: $106.13.

What are the risks of investing in CNI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.1% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

Is CNI overvalued or undervalued?

Canadian National Railway Compa trades at a P/E of 19.4 (forward 16.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CNI?

28 analysts cover CNI with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $116.

What does Canadian National Railway Compa do?Canadian National Railway Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the rail, intermodal, trucking, and...

Canadian National Railway Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the rail, intermodal, trucking, and related transportation businesses in Canada and the United States. The company provides rail services, which include equipment, customs brokerage, transloading and warehousing, business development, dimensional loads, and private railcar storage, less-than-truckload, and mexico services; intermodal services, such as temperature controlled multimodal, mobile transport trays, port partnerships, transloading and distribution, logistics parks, trucking, and supply chain services. It also offers connecting to rail, short lines, maps and network services. The company serves automotive, coal, fertilizers, temperature controlled cargo, forest products, dimensional, grain, metal and minerals, petroleum and chemicals, consumer goods, and third party logistics applications. Canadian National Railway Company was incorporated in 1919 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

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