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CSX Corporation (CSX) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Industrials · Railroads

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.90 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.8% away).

The Company provides rail-based freight transportation services including traditional rail service, the transport of intermodal containers and trailers, as well as other transportation services such as rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. CSX and the rail... Read more

$45.90-1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#4 of 8 Railroads
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.32%
IncomeYield1.21%(5y avg 1.31%)Payout32.52%sustainable
Stop $44.58Target $45.62(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$45.70-0.4%22 analysts
$45.62our TP
$45.90price
$45.70mean
$30
$52

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.90 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.8% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — CSX Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.8% away)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.3
P/E (Fwd)21.5
Mkt Cap$85.8B
EV/EBITDA15.7
Profit Mgn21.6%
ROE23.7%
Rev Growth1.7%
Beta1.24
Dividend1.21%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C6.69bearish
IV38%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.2
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $42.88Resistance $46.55

Price Targets

$45
$46
A.Upside-0.6%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.0% upside)
! Momentum score 3.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.90 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.8% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $44.58. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the CSX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.62 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $44.58. Stop-loss: $44.58.

What are the risks of investing in CSX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.8% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is CSX overvalued or undervalued?

CSX Corporation trades at a P/E of 28.3 (forward 21.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CSX?

29 analysts cover CSX with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $46.

What does CSX Corporation do?The Company provides rail-based freight transportation services including traditional rail service, the transport of...

The Company provides rail-based freight transportation services including traditional rail service, the transport of intermodal containers and trailers, as well as other transportation services such as rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. CSX and the rail industry provide customers with access to an expansive and interconnected transportation network that plays a key role in North American commerce and is critical to the long-term economic success and improved glob

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