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CSX Corporation (CSX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Railroads

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.15 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.0% away).

The Company provides rail-based freight transportation services including traditional rail service, the transport of intermodal containers and trailers, as well as other transportation services such as rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. CSX and the rail... Read more

$45.15+1.1% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#3 of 8 Railroads
Stop $43.27Target $45.62(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$45.54+0.9%23 analysts
$45.62our TP
$45.15price
$45.54mean
$30
$52

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.15 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.0% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.0% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.4
P/E (Fwd)20.8
Mkt Cap$83.0B
EV/EBITDA15.3
Profit Mgn21.6%
ROE23.7%
Rev Growth1.7%
Beta1.25
Dividend1.25%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.81neutral
IV45%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $40.34Resistance $46.55

Price Targets

$43
$46
A.Upside+1.0%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $45.15 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.0% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $43.27. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CSX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.62 (+1.1% upside). Prior stop was $43.27. Stop-loss: $43.27.

What are the risks of investing in CSX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.0% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is CSX overvalued or undervalued?

CSX Corporation trades at a P/E of 27.4 (forward 20.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CSX?

30 analysts cover CSX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $46.

What does CSX Corporation do?The Company provides rail-based freight transportation services including traditional rail service, the transport of...

The Company provides rail-based freight transportation services including traditional rail service, the transport of intermodal containers and trailers, as well as other transportation services such as rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. CSX and the rail industry provide customers with access to an expansive and interconnected transportation network that plays a key role in North American commerce and is critical to the long-term economic success and improved glob

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