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CPCanadian Pacific Kansas City LiSell5.4·$90.05+0.13%
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Canadian Pacific Kansas City Li (CP) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Railroads

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $90.05 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.6% away).

CPKC owns and operates the only freight railway spanning Canada, the U.S., and Mexico, with ~20,000 miles of network and $14.8B in 2025 freight revenues across Bulk (36%), Merchandise (46%), and Intermodal (18%) business lines. No single customer represents a material portion of... Read more

$90.05-0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#1 of 8 Railroads
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.38%
IncomeYield0.77%(5y avg 0.76%)Payout20.36%sustainable
Stop $85.85Target $89.67(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$91.27+1.4%13 analysts
$89.67our TP
$90.05price
$91.27mean
$73
$104

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $90.05 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.6% away)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.1
P/E (Fwd)21.3
Mkt Cap$79.9B
EV/EBITDA13.0
Profit Mgn27.2%
ROE8.4%
Rev Growth-2.5%
Beta1.21
Dividend0.77%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.48bullish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.5
Value Rank
3.1
Quality Rank
3.1
GatesA.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $84.13Resistance $91.50

Price Targets

$86
$90
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $90.05 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $85.85. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $89.67 (-0.4% upside). Prior stop was $85.85. Stop-loss: $85.85.

What are the risks of investing in CP?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.6% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is CP overvalued or undervalued?

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Li trades at a P/E of 28.1 (forward 21.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CP?

33 analysts cover CP with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $91.

What does Canadian Pacific Kansas City Li do?CPKC owns and operates the only freight railway spanning Canada, the U.S., and Mexico, with ~20,000 miles of network...

CPKC owns and operates the only freight railway spanning Canada, the U.S., and Mexico, with ~20,000 miles of network and $14.8B in 2025 freight revenues across Bulk (36%), Merchandise (46%), and Intermodal (18%) business lines. No single customer represents a material portion of revenues. CPKCM's Mexican operations are governed by a 50-year government concession with exclusive freight rights through 2037.

Related stocks: CNI (Canadian National Railway Compa) · CSX (CSX Corporation) · UNP (Union Pacific Corporation) · WAB (Westinghouse Air Brake Technolo) · NSC (Norfolk Southern Corporation)
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