Skip to main content

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Li (CP) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Railroads

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $87.00 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.7% away).

CPKC owns and operates the only freight railway spanning Canada, the U.S., and Mexico, with ~20,000 miles of network and $14.8B in 2025 freight revenues across Bulk (36%), Merchandise (46%), and Intermodal (18%) business lines. No single customer represents a material portion of... Read more

$87.00-0.8% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#4 of 8 Railroads
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.49%
IncomeYield0.80%(5y avg 0.76%)Payout20.36%sustainable
Stop $83.12Target $86.32(resistance)A.R:R -1.7:1
Analyst target$91.55+5.2%11 analysts
$86.32our TP
$87.00price
$91.55mean
$74
$99

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $87.00 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.7% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Canadian Pacific Kansas City Li

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.7% away)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.4
P/E (Fwd)20.1
Mkt Cap$76.5B
EV/EBITDA12.6
Profit Mgn27.2%
ROE8.4%
Rev Growth-2.5%
Beta1.22
Dividend0.80%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C7.07bearish
IV34%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
3.1
Value Rank
3.8

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.5
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R -1.7=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $82.65Resistance $88.08

Price Targets

$83
$86
A.Upside-0.8%
A.R:R-1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.5% upside)
! Momentum score 3.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $87.00 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.7% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $83.12. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $86.32 (-0.8% upside). Prior stop was $83.12. Stop-loss: $83.12.

What are the risks of investing in CP?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is CP overvalued or undervalued?

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Li trades at a P/E of 26.4 (forward 20.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CP?

33 analysts cover CP with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $92.

What does Canadian Pacific Kansas City Li do?CPKC owns and operates the only freight railway spanning Canada, the U.S., and Mexico, with ~20,000 miles of network...

CPKC owns and operates the only freight railway spanning Canada, the U.S., and Mexico, with ~20,000 miles of network and $14.8B in 2025 freight revenues across Bulk (36%), Merchandise (46%), and Intermodal (18%) business lines. No single customer represents a material portion of revenues. CPKCM's Mexican operations are governed by a 50-year government concession with exclusive freight rights through 2037.

Related stocks: UNP (Union Pacific Corporation) · CNI (Canadian National Railway Compa) · WAB (Westinghouse Air Brake Technolo) · CSX (CSX Corporation) · NSC (Norfolk Southern Corporation)