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WABWestinghouse Air Brake TechnoloSell5.0·$261.31-0.34%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Westinghouse Air Brake has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters and holds a leading growth position within its industry peer group, though the stock has reached its analyst price target and the reward-to-risk ratio has turned negative at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Breakout Technical MomentumStable
  • Concentration Risk Supplier DependencyStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Westinghouse Air Brake Technolo (WAB) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Railroads

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $261.31 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced component suppliers.

Wabtec manufactures locomotives, rail equipment, digital intelligence systems, and components for global freight and passenger transit markets, with 31,000 employees and operations in over 50 countries. The Freight Segment generates approximately 72% of net sales (roughly 58%... Read more

$261.31+6.9% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#6 of 9 Railroads
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.52%
IncomeYield0.47%(5y avg 0.52%)Payout14.99%sustainable
Stop $246.81Target $279.21(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$300.00+14.8%11 analysts
$279.21our TP
$261.31price
$300.00mean
$318

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $261.31 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced component suppliers. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 16d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202616d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced component suppliers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 5.0/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.0
P/E (Fwd)21.6
Mkt Cap$44.5B
EV/EBITDA20.2
Profit Mgn10.5%
ROE11.3%
Rev Growth13.0%
Beta0.94
Dividend0.47%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.91neutral
IV44%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicinternational (outside U.S.) revenue
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately half of our consolidated net sales were to customers outside of the United States'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle-sourced component suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'we rely upon third-party suppliers, including certain single-sourced suppliers, for various components for our products'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.8
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 16d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $254.44Resistance $284.91

Price Targets

$247
$279
A.Upside+6.9%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.1% upside)
! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (16d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WAB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $261.31 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced component suppliers. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $246.81. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WAB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $279.21 (+6.9% upside). Prior stop was $246.81. Stop-loss: $246.81.

What are the risks of investing in WAB?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-sourced component suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 5.0/10.

Is WAB overvalued or undervalued?

Westinghouse Air Brake Technolo trades at a P/E of 37.0 (forward 21.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WAB?

17 analysts cover WAB with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $300.

What does Westinghouse Air Brake Technolo do?Wabtec manufactures locomotives, rail equipment, digital intelligence systems, and components for global freight and...

Wabtec manufactures locomotives, rail equipment, digital intelligence systems, and components for global freight and passenger transit markets, with 31,000 employees and operations in over 50 countries. The Freight Segment generates approximately 72% of net sales (roughly 58% from aftermarket), while the Transit Segment contributes 28% (roughly 56% aftermarket); combined aftermarket revenue represents approximately 60% of total net sales. An installed base of nearly 24,600 locomotives drives recurring replacement-part demand.

Related stocks: CSX (CSX Corporation) · UNP (Union Pacific Corporation) · CNI (Canadian National Railway Compa) · CP (Canadian Pacific Kansas City Li) · NSC (Norfolk Southern Corporation)
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