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Westinghouse Air Brake Technolo (WAB) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Railroads

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $267.99 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: key customers.

Wabtec is a global provider of technology-based locomotives, equipment, systems, and services for freight rail, transit, mining, marine, and industrial markets, with 31,000 employees in 50+ countries. Revenue comes through Freight and Transit segments via equipment sales,... Read more

$267.99+0.9% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#5 of 8 Railroads
Stop $253.58Target $270.32(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$300.00+11.9%11 analysts
$270.32our TP
$267.99price
$300.00mean
$318

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $267.99 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: key customers. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: key customers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.9% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.9
P/E (Fwd)21.6
Mkt Cap$44.3B
EV/EBITDA20.2
Profit Mgn10.5%
ROE11.3%
Rev Growth13.0%
Beta0.99
Dividend0.41%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C3.13bearish
IV40%normal
Max Pain$200-25.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerkey customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on several key customers who represent a significant portion of our business.'
  • MEDIUMSuppliersingle-sourced suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'we rely upon third-party suppliers, including certain single-sourced suppliers, for various components for our products.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $246.88Resistance $275.84

Price Targets

$254
$270
A.Upside+0.9%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.5% upside)
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WAB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $267.99 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: key customers. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $253.58. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WAB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $270.32 (+0.9% upside). Prior stop was $253.58. Stop-loss: $253.58.

What are the risks of investing in WAB?

Concentration risk — Customer: key customers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.9% away).

Is WAB overvalued or undervalued?

Westinghouse Air Brake Technolo trades at a P/E of 36.9 (forward 21.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WAB?

18 analysts cover WAB with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $300.

What does Westinghouse Air Brake Technolo do?Wabtec is a global provider of technology-based locomotives, equipment, systems, and services for freight rail,...

Wabtec is a global provider of technology-based locomotives, equipment, systems, and services for freight rail, transit, mining, marine, and industrial markets, with 31,000 employees in 50+ countries. Revenue comes through Freight and Transit segments via equipment sales, aftermarket services, and digital solutions. Approximately half of net sales were to customers outside the United States in 2025.

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