Vontier Corporation trades at an attractive forward price-to-earnings of 8x with an excellent return on equity of 35% and analyst consensus implying 38% upside, but carries significant debt leverage, declining earnings estimates, the most recent quarter missed estimates, and the stock is in a confirmed downtrend below its 200-day moving average.
Thesis pillars
- Attractive Low Forward Pe Valuation→Stable
- High Return On Equity Quality→Stable
- Earnings Estimate Decline Trend→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Vontier Corporation (VNT) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $28.62 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole or limited source suppliers.
Vontier provides digitally enabled mobility infrastructure across three segments — Mobility Technologies (Invenco, DRB, Teletrac Navman), Repair Solutions (Matco Tools), and Environmental & Fueling Solutions (Gilbarco Veeder-Root) — to fueling operators, fleet owners,... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $28.62 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole or limited source suppliers. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
About Vontier Corporation
About Vontier Corporation
Vontier Corporation's three reportable segments — Mobility Technologies, Repair Solutions (Matco Tools), and Environmental & Fueling Solutions (Gilbarco Veeder-Root) — serve fueling operators, fleet owners, convenience stores, car wash operators, and vehicle repair businesses across approximately 25 countries, with 7,800 employees and an order backlog of $615.7 million at December 31, 2025, down from $702.4 million a year earlier. The substantial majority of 2025 revenue came from non-governmental customers.
Vontier generates revenue through equipment sales, multi-year SaaS subscriptions, and franchise-based distribution. Mobility Technologies combines convenience retail POS and payment platforms (Invenco), car wash integrated technology (DRB), fleet telematics hardware and software (Teletrac Navman), alternative fuel dispensing systems for CNG, RNG, and biogas (ANGI), and EV charging and energy management software (Driivz); subscription and service contracts typically run three to five years, with renewal rates influencing recurring revenue. Matco Tools operates through independent mobile franchisees who purchase tools, toolboxes, and automotive diagnostic equipment from the company and resell to professional mechanics, generating additional revenue through franchise fees and installment-sales financing. Gilbarco Veeder-Root sells petroleum monitoring, leak detection, forecourt controllers, and fuel dispenser systems to retail and commercial fueling operators globally, with a large installed base producing aftermarket parts and service revenue. Raw materials — electronic components, steel, plastics, cast iron, aluminum, and copper — are purchased from many independent suppliers, with some components requiring sole or limited sources due to specifications, quality requirements, or contractual commitment.
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Vontier's 10-K identifies reliance on sole or limited-source suppliers for certain materials, components, and services as a past and potential future source of production interruptions, delays, and extended lead times — a supply risk compounded by the 2025 U.S. government tariff announcements, to which the company responded by diversifying its supply chain away from high-tariff countries. With approximately $2.1 billion in outstanding indebtedness at December 31, 2025 and a $750 million revolving credit facility, restrictive debt covenants may limit flexibility to absorb supply disruptions or pursue acquisitions. An increasing share of revenue from software maintenance and subscription services under contracts typically lasting three to five years adds customer retention risk: if renewal rates decline, recurring revenue could fall and weigh on the financial results that support the company's debt obligations.
See also: Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments
From Vontier Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-06Recent Developments — Vontier Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Vontier (VNT) Reports Q1: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Vontier (VNT) Reports Q1: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Vontier (VNT) Reports Q1: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings - FinancialContent — FinancialContent neutral
- NEWS Vontier (NYSE:VNT) Powers Stronger Mobility Innovation In Nyse Composite Today - Kalkine Media — Kalkine Media positive
- NEWS Vontier (NYSE:VNT) Given New $50.00 Price Target at Barclays - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
Generated 2026-07-06T04:40:27Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSuppliersole or limited source suppliers10-K Item 1A: 'our reliance upon sole or limited sources of supply for certain materials, components and services has in the past, and could in the future, cause production interruptions'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $28.62 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole or limited source suppliers. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Prior stop was $26.97. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $35.23 (+23.1% upside). Prior stop was $26.97. Stop-loss: $26.97.
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole or limited source suppliers; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.
Vontier Corporation trades at a P/E of 10.1 (forward 7.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
15 analysts cover VNT with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $41.
What does Vontier Corporation do?Vontier provides digitally enabled mobility infrastructure across three segments — Mobility Technologies (Invenco, DRB,...
Vontier provides digitally enabled mobility infrastructure across three segments — Mobility Technologies (Invenco, DRB, Teletrac Navman), Repair Solutions (Matco Tools), and Environmental & Fueling Solutions (Gilbarco Veeder-Root) — to fueling operators, fleet owners, convenience stores, car washes, and vehicle repair businesses. Revenue comes from equipment sales, software subscriptions, and Matco franchise fees, with approximately 7,800 employees and a $615.7 million backlog at year-end 2025.