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ESEESCO Technologies Inc.Sell5.9·$239.86
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ESCO Technologies has achieved industry-leading revenue growth of 34% year-over-year with margins of 25% and three beats in the past four quarters, but the stock has traded above its near-term price target at a forward earnings multiple of 35.9x—pricing in a level of continued growth that leaves little room for error, particularly given a single-supplier dependency for critical materials.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Top Line Growth→Stable
  • Stretched Valuation Above Target↑Improving
  • Industry Leading Margins→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Dec 1, 2025· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $239.86: Concentration risk — Supplier: Globe single supplier of critical materials; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

ESCO Technologies operates three segments: Aerospace & Defense (44% of FY2025 revenue from continuing operations), Utility Solutions Group (35%), and RF Test & Measurement (21%), with total firm-order backlog of $1.13 billion at September 30, 2025. The company sells to U.S.... Read more

$239.86+25.0% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#8 of 17 Scientific & Technical Instruments
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.76%
IncomeYield0.13%(5y avg 0.22%)Payout5.94%sustainable
Stop $223.07Analyst target $299.84(−15% haircut)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst consensus$352.75+47.1%4 analysts with price targets
$299.84Analyst target
$239.86price
$352.75mean
$385

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $239.86: Concentration risk — Supplier: Globe single supplier of critical materials; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Oct 21, 2026

Recent Developments — ESCO Technologies Inc.

Latest item Oct 21, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:39:29Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 19, 202614d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Analyst upside: 25%
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Globe single supplier of critical materials
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)44.5
P/E (Fwd)26.0
Mkt Cap$6.2B
EV/EBITDA20.4
Profit Mgn24.4%
ROE9.5%
Rev Growth14.4%
Beta1.05
Dividend0.13%
Analysts with ratings9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.89bearish
IV52%elevated
Max Pain$220-8.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerU.S. Government23%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, approximately 23% of our revenues from continuing operations were generated from sales to the U.S. Government or its contractors, primarily within our A&D segment.'
  • MEDIUMProductAerospace & Defense segment44%
    10-K Item 1: 'The A&D segment accounted for approximately 44%, 37% and 34% of our total revenue from continuing operations in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
  • HIGHSupplierGlobe single supplier of critical materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'Globe has a single supplier of critical materials for a significant military production program'
  • LOWSupplierDoble single-location supplier
    10-K Item 1A: 'one of these suppliers produces approximately 23% of Doble's products from a single location within the United States'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-03Item 1.01MEDIUM
    ESCO entered into new credit agreement with JPMorgan Chase as administrative agent on May 29, 2026, to finance approximately $2.35 billion acquisition of Megger Group Limited (cash portion ~$922M plus 5.10M shares). Agreement effective upon acquisition closing.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-03Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Prior credit agreement terminated concurrent with entry into new acquisition credit facility on May 29, 2026. Termination connected to Megger Group acquisition refinancing. No other reason cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-03Item 2.03MEDIUM
    Direct financial obligation created under new acquisition credit agreement entered May 29, 2026, to finance approximately $2.35 billion Megger Group Limited purchase. JPMorgan Chase as administrative agent; effective upon acquisition consummation.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)8K FLAG 1.02EARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)Momentum 5.4>=4.5A.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $225.04Resistance $262.95

Price Targets

$223
$300
A.Upside+25.0%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts with ratings9
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$353

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-19 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ESE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $239.86: Concentration risk — Supplier: Globe single supplier of critical materials; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $223.07. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ESE stock price target?

Analyst target: $299.84 (+25.0% upside). Prior stop was $223.07. Stop-loss: $223.07.

What are the risks of investing in ESE?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Globe single supplier of critical materials; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is ESE overvalued or undervalued?

ESCO Technologies Inc. trades at a P/E of 44.5 (forward 26.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ESE?

9 analysts rate ESE, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 4 analysts publish price targets averaging $353.

What does ESCO Technologies Inc. do?ESCO Technologies operates three segments: Aerospace & Defense (44% of FY2025 revenue from continuing operations),...

ESCO Technologies operates three segments: Aerospace & Defense (44% of FY2025 revenue from continuing operations), Utility Solutions Group (35%), and RF Test & Measurement (21%), with total firm-order backlog of $1.13 billion at September 30, 2025. The company sells to U.S. Government and its contractors (23% of 2025 revenues) and international customers (34%), employing 3,425 persons across domestic and 16 international offices.

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