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ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $318.97 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.9% away).

ESCO Technologies provides engineered components and systems for aerospace/defense (A&D segment, ~44% of fiscal 2025 revenue), utility diagnostic instruments (USG segment) and RF test/measurement systems (Test segment); fiscal year ends September 30. Revenue comes from U.S.... Read more

$318.97-0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#3 of 14 Scientific & Technical Instruments
Stop $298.44Target $319.03(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$365.00+14.4%3 analysts
$319.03our TP
$318.97price
$365.00mean
$400

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $318.97 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.9% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.9% away)
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)65.0
P/E (Fwd)34.1
Mkt Cap$8.1B
EV/EBITDA30.0
Profit Mgn26.0%
ROE8.9%
Rev Growth35.0%
Beta1.14
Dividend0.10%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.52bullish
IV50%elevated
Max Pain$200-37.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerU.S. Government23%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 23% of our revenues from continuing operations were generated from sales to the U.S. Government or its contractors'
  • MEDIUMGeographicnon-U.S. sales34%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 34% of our net sales from continuing operations were to customers outside the United States'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
1.8
Forward Pe
3.2
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
4.9
Ps
5.6
Forward P/E: 34.1xPEG: 1.56
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $282.09Resistance $325.54

Price Targets

$298
$319
A.Upside+0.0%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.8% upside)
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ESE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $318.97 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.9% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $298.44. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ESE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $319.03 (-0.1% upside). Prior stop was $298.44. Stop-loss: $298.44.

What are the risks of investing in ESE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.9% away); Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Is ESE overvalued or undervalued?

ESCO Technologies Inc. trades at a P/E of 65.0 (forward 34.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ESE?

7 analysts cover ESE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $365.

What does ESCO Technologies Inc. do?ESCO Technologies provides engineered components and systems for aerospace/defense (A&D segment, ~44% of fiscal 2025...

ESCO Technologies provides engineered components and systems for aerospace/defense (A&D segment, ~44% of fiscal 2025 revenue), utility diagnostic instruments (USG segment) and RF test/measurement systems (Test segment); fiscal year ends September 30. Revenue comes from U.S. government contracts (~23%), international sales (~34%) and commercial markets.

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