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Vontier Corporation (VNT) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $35.18 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Vontier is an industrial technology company serving convenience retail, fleet solutions, and auto repair via three segments: Mobility Technologies (Invenco, DRB, Teletrac Navman), Repair Solutions (Matco Tools), and Environmental & Fueling Solutions (Gilbarco Veeder-Root).... Read more

$35.18+18.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#5 of 14 Scientific & Technical Instruments
Stop $33.40Target $41.68(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$47.91+36.2%11 analysts
$41.68our TP
$35.18price
$47.91mean
$53

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $35.18 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.6
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$4.9B
EV/EBITDA9.4
Profit Mgn13.2%
ROE35.1%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta1.32
Dividend0.29%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$30-14.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSuppliersole or limited source suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'some of our businesses purchase certain requirements from sole or limited source suppliers for reasons such as quality assurance, contractual commitment, cost effectiveness, availability or uniqueness of design'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-02Item 5.02LOW
    Christopher J. Klein notified Board he will not stand for re-election at the 2026 Annual Meeting; retires effective the annual meeting date. Decision not the result of any disagreement with the Company; natural conclusion of post-spin board support.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.3
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.9
Revenue Growth
3.5
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dA.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $34.43Resistance $37.96

Price Targets

$33
$42
A.Upside+18.5%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VNT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $35.18 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $33.40. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VNT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $41.68 (+18.4% upside). Prior stop was $33.40. Stop-loss: $33.40.

What are the risks of investing in VNT?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0; Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Weak growth.

Is VNT overvalued or undervalued?

Vontier Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.6 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VNT?

15 analysts cover VNT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $48.

What does Vontier Corporation do?Vontier is an industrial technology company serving convenience retail, fleet solutions, and auto repair via three...

Vontier is an industrial technology company serving convenience retail, fleet solutions, and auto repair via three segments: Mobility Technologies (Invenco, DRB, Teletrac Navman), Repair Solutions (Matco Tools), and Environmental & Fueling Solutions (Gilbarco Veeder-Root). Revenue spans SaaS/subscription and hardware. The company carries approximately $2.1B in outstanding debt.

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