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VNTVontier CorporationSell5.5·$29.78+0.81%
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Vontier Corporation (VNT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $29.78: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Vontier provides industrial technology across Mobility Technologies (Invenco, DRB, Teletrac Navman, ANGI, Driivz), Repair Solutions (Matco Tools), and Environmental & Fueling Solutions (Gilbarco Veeder-Root) for convenience retail, fleet, and auto repair markets globally.... Read more

$29.78+19.5% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#9 of 14 Scientific & Technical Instruments
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.01%
IncomeYield0.34%(5y avg 0.30%)Payout3.53%sustainable
Stop $28.20Target $35.59(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$40.91+37.4%11 analysts
$35.59our TP
$29.78price
$40.91mean
$48

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $29.78: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Vontier Corporation

About Vontier Corporation

Vontier Corporation's three reportable segments — Mobility Technologies, Repair Solutions (Matco Tools), and Environmental & Fueling Solutions (Gilbarco Veeder-Root) — serve fueling operators, fleet owners, convenience stores, car wash operators, and vehicle repair businesses across approximately 25 countries, with 7,800 employees and an order backlog of $615.7 million at December 31, 2025, down from $702.4 million a year earlier. The substantial majority of 2025 revenue came from non-governmental customers.

Vontier generates revenue through equipment sales, multi-year SaaS subscriptions, and franchise-based distribution. Mobility Technologies combines convenience retail POS and payment platforms (Invenco), car wash integrated technology (DRB), fleet telematics hardware and software (Teletrac Navman), alternative fuel dispensing systems for CNG, RNG, and biogas (ANGI), and EV charging and energy management software (Driivz); subscription and service contracts typically run three to five years, with renewal rates influencing recurring revenue. Matco Tools operates through independent mobile franchisees who purchase tools, toolboxes, and automotive diagnostic equipment from the company and resell to professional mechanics, generating additional revenue through franchise fees and installment-sales financing. Gilbarco Veeder-Root sells petroleum monitoring, leak detection, forecourt controllers, and fuel dispenser systems to retail and commercial fueling operators globally, with a large installed base producing aftermarket parts and service revenue. Raw materials — electronic components, steel, plastics, cast iron, aluminum, and copper — are purchased from many independent suppliers, with some components requiring sole or limited sources due to specifications, quality requirements, or contractual commitment.

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Vontier's 10-K identifies reliance on sole or limited-source suppliers for certain materials, components, and services as a past and potential future source of production interruptions, delays, and extended lead times — a supply risk compounded by the 2025 U.S. government tariff announcements, to which the company responded by diversifying its supply chain away from high-tariff countries. With approximately $2.1 billion in outstanding indebtedness at December 31, 2025 and a $750 million revolving credit facility, restrictive debt covenants may limit flexibility to absorb supply disruptions or pursue acquisitions. An increasing share of revenue from software maintenance and subscription services under contracts typically lasting three to five years adds customer retention risk: if renewal rates decline, recurring revenue could fall and weigh on the financial results that support the company's debt obligations.

See also: Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

From Vontier Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 30%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0
Earnings estimates trending DOWN
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.4
P/E (Fwd)8.0
Mkt Cap$4.2B
EV/EBITDA8.4
Profit Mgn13.4%
ROE34.8%
Rev Growth1.3%
Beta1.17
Dividend0.34%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.05bullish
IV41%normal
Max Pain$45+51.1% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-02Item 5.02LOW
    Christopher J. Klein notified the Board he will retire from the Board at the 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders and will not stand for re-election. Decision not a result of any disagreement with the Company; described as natural conclusion of post-spin support.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.4
Support Resistance
1.0
52w Position
2.4

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.8
Earnings Growth
4.4
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.0>=5.5A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $27.23Resistance $30.07

Price Targets

$28
$36
A.Upside+19.5%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts15
Consensus3.7/5
Avg Target$41

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VNT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $29.78: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Prior stop was $28.20. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VNT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.59 (+19.5% upside). Prior stop was $28.20. Stop-loss: $28.20.

What are the risks of investing in VNT?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Weak growth.

Is VNT overvalued or undervalued?

Vontier Corporation trades at a P/E of 10.4 (forward 8.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VNT?

15 analysts cover VNT with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Vontier Corporation do?Vontier provides industrial technology across Mobility Technologies (Invenco, DRB, Teletrac Navman, ANGI, Driivz),...

Vontier provides industrial technology across Mobility Technologies (Invenco, DRB, Teletrac Navman, ANGI, Driivz), Repair Solutions (Matco Tools), and Environmental & Fueling Solutions (Gilbarco Veeder-Root) for convenience retail, fleet, and auto repair markets globally. Revenue comes from equipment sales, services, and growing SaaS/subscriptions; backlog was $615.7M at year-end 2025 with ~7,800 employees.

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