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Vontier Corporation (VNT) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $28.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Vontier provides industrial technology across Mobility Technologies (Invenco, DRB, Teletrac Navman, ANGI, Driivz), Repair Solutions (Matco Tools), and Environmental & Fueling Solutions (Gilbarco Veeder-Root) for convenience retail, fleet, and auto repair markets globally.... Read more

$28.00+27.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#9 of 14 Scientific & Technical Instruments
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.39%
IncomeYield0.36%Payout3.53%sustainable
Stop $26.93Target $35.59(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$40.91+46.1%11 analysts
$35.59our TP
$28.00price
$40.91mean
$48

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $28.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 14, MACD bearish. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Vontier Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 34%
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.9
P/E (Fwd)7.5
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA8.1
Profit Mgn13.4%
ROE34.8%
Rev Growth1.3%
Beta1.24
Dividend0.36%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C11.00bearish
IV49%normal
Max Pain$25-10.7% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-02Item 5.02LOW
    Christopher J. Klein notified the Board he will retire from the Board at the 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders and will not stand for re-election. Decision not a result of any disagreement with the Company; described as natural conclusion of post-spin support.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.9
Capitulation risk (RSI 14, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.8
Earnings Growth
4.4
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
14 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $27.76Resistance $37.95

Price Targets

$27
$36
A.Upside+27.1%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VNT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $28.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 14, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $26.93. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the VNT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.59 (+27.2% upside). Prior stop was $26.93. Stop-loss: $26.93.

What are the risks of investing in VNT?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Weak growth.

Is VNT overvalued or undervalued?

Vontier Corporation trades at a P/E of 9.9 (forward 7.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VNT?

15 analysts cover VNT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Vontier Corporation do?Vontier provides industrial technology across Mobility Technologies (Invenco, DRB, Teletrac Navman, ANGI, Driivz),...

Vontier provides industrial technology across Mobility Technologies (Invenco, DRB, Teletrac Navman, ANGI, Driivz), Repair Solutions (Matco Tools), and Environmental & Fueling Solutions (Gilbarco Veeder-Root) for convenience retail, fleet, and auto repair markets globally. Revenue comes from equipment sales, services, and growing SaaS/subscriptions; backlog was $615.7M at year-end 2025 with ~7,800 employees.

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