Union Pacific delivers 41% ROE, 29% operating margins, and ranks best-in-class on both return and margin metrics within the railroad peer group, with a 3-out-of-4 earnings beat streak, but trades near analyst resistance with negative asymmetry and a PEG of 3.26 suggesting the quality is already fully priced in.
Thesis pillars
- Best In Class Roe And Margins→Stable
- Earnings Beat Streak Consistency→Stable
- Price At Resistance Negative Asymmetry→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Industrials · Railroads
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $282.25 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.2% away).
Company is the principal operating company of Union Pacific Corporation. One of America's most recognized companies, Union Pacific Railroad Company connects 23 states in the western two-thirds of the country by rail, providing a critical link in the global supply chain. The... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $282.25 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-06Recent Developments — Union Pacific Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Union Pacific (UNP) Set to Report Q1 Earnings with Mixed Expecta - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS Union Pacific (UNP) Could Be a Great Choice - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS UNP (Union Pacific Corporation) posts narrow Q4 2025 EPS miss, shares trade nearly flat in muted investor reaction. - Co — UBND thành phố Hải Phòng negative
- NEWS Ruffer LLP Buys New Holdings in Union Pacific Corporation $UNP - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) – Q1 2026 Earnings Preview: Resilient Operational Trends Point to Bullish Long-Term Traj — UBND thành phố Hải Phòng positive
Generated 2026-07-06T04:40:27Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $282.25 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $269.59. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $277.14 (-1.8% upside). Prior stop was $269.59. Stop-loss: $269.59.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.2% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.
Union Pacific Corporation trades at a P/E of 23.2 (forward 20.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
29 analysts cover UNP with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $293.
What does Union Pacific Corporation do?Company is the principal operating company of Union Pacific Corporation. One of America's most recognized companies,...
Company is the principal operating company of Union Pacific Corporation. One of America's most recognized companies, Union Pacific Railroad Company connects 23 states in the western two-thirds of the country by rail, providing a critical link in the global supply chain. The Railroad's diversified business mix includes Bulk, Industrial, and Premium. Union Pacific serves many of the fastest-growing U.S.