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TPRTapestry, Inc.Hold6.6·$153.22+3.93%
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Tapestry, Inc. (TPR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $153.22, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5.

Tapestry operates two luxury accessories brands: Coach (79.9% of FY2025 net sales, 931 stores globally) and kate spade new york (17.1%), after divesting Stuart Weitzman in August 2025. The company generated $7.0B in FY2025 net revenues, with 86% from direct-to-consumer channels... Read more

$153.22+17.4% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#2 of 5 Luxury Goods
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.14%
IncomeYield1.09%(5y avg 4.06%)Payout47.26%sustainable
Entry $130.88(support + ATR)Stop $124.34Target $153.61(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1Setup A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst target$164.47+7.3%19 analysts
$153.61our TP
$153.22price
$164.47mean
$88
$205

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $153.22, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $153.13 has reached target $153.61. No upside to wait for. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202659d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)45.1
P/E (Fwd)19.0
Mkt Cap$29.8B
EV/EBITDA16.6
Profit Mgn8.4%
ROE60.9%
Rev Growth21.2%
Beta1.45
Dividend1.09%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.47bearish
IV53%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.3
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.0
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 59d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $128.19Resistance $156.74

Price Targets

$124
$131
$154
A.Upside+0.3%
A.R:R-0.2:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.2%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.3% upside)
! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (59d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TPR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $153.22, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $153.13 has reached target $153.61. No upside to wait for. Target $153.61 (+0.3%), stop $124.34 (−23.2%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TPR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $153.61 (+17.4% upside). Target $153.61 (+0.3%), stop $124.34 (−23.2%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $124.34.

What are the risks of investing in TPR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.7): -1.5; Elevated risk factors.

Is TPR overvalued or undervalued?

Tapestry, Inc. trades at a P/E of 45.1 (forward 19.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TPR?

28 analysts cover TPR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $164.

What does Tapestry, Inc. do?Tapestry operates two luxury accessories brands: Coach (79.9% of FY2025 net sales, 931 stores globally) and kate spade...

Tapestry operates two luxury accessories brands: Coach (79.9% of FY2025 net sales, 931 stores globally) and kate spade new york (17.1%), after divesting Stuart Weitzman in August 2025. The company generated $7.0B in FY2025 net revenues, with 86% from direct-to-consumer channels and approximately 40% of net sales from international operations. No single wholesale customer exceeded 10% of any segment's net sales.

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