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Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $235.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Our principal executive office is located at 701 Market Street, Suite 300, Philadelphia, PA 19106 and our telephone number is (215) 546-7909. Our corporate website address is www.fivebelow.com. The information contained on, or accessible through, our corporate website does not... Read more

$235.56+4.6% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#2 of 18 Specialty Retail
Stop $219.31Target $246.60(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$261.77+11.1%22 analysts
$246.60our TP
$235.56price
$261.77mean
$223
$305

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $235.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.2
P/E (Fwd)25.2
Mkt Cap$12.6B
EV/EBITDA21.1
Profit Mgn7.5%
ROE17.9%
Rev Growth24.3%
Beta1.07
DividendNone
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.07bearish
IV50%elevated
Max Pain$75-68.2% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-09Item 5.02MEDIUM
    George S. Hill's employment with the Company ceased on February 3, 2026. On February 8, 2026, the Company and Mr.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $213.18Resistance $251.63

Price Targets

$219
$247
A.Upside+4.7%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-03 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FIVE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $235.56, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $246.60 (+4.7%), stop $219.31 (−7.4%), A.R:R -0.0:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FIVE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $246.60 (+4.6% upside). Target $246.60 (+4.7%), stop $219.31 (−7.4%), A.R:R -0.0:1. Stop-loss: $219.31.

What are the risks of investing in FIVE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is FIVE overvalued or undervalued?

Five Below, Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.2 (forward 25.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FIVE?

33 analysts cover FIVE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $262.

What does Five Below, Inc. do?Our principal executive office is located at 701 Market Street, Suite 300, Philadelphia, PA 19106 and our telephone...

Our principal executive office is located at 701 Market Street, Suite 300, Philadelphia, PA 19106 and our telephone number is (215) 546-7909. Our corporate website address is www.fivebelow.com. The information contained on, or accessible through, our corporate website does not constitute part of this Annual Report. As used herein, "Five Below," the "Company," "we," "us," "our" or "our business" refers to Five Below, Inc.

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