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FIVEFive Below, Inc.Hold6.4·$188.37+0.95%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Four consecutive earnings beats averaging 56% above estimates and 32% year-over-year revenue growth combine with a sub-1 PEG ratio to offer compelling fundamental value 21% below analyst targets, though momentum remains soft and no clear near-term catalyst has been identified.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth ProfileStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyStable
  • Pullback Entry Technical SetupStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $188.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative news sentiment (-0.67); Negative momentum.

Our principal executive office is located at 701 Market Street, Suite 300, Philadelphia, PA 19106 and our telephone number is (215) 546-7909. Our corporate website address is www.fivebelow.com. The information contained on, or accessible through, our corporate website does not... Read more

$188.37+25.0% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#2 of 18 Specialty Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.10%
Stop $179.14Target $235.41(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$261.57+38.9%21 analysts
$235.41our TP
$188.37price
$261.57mean
$325

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $188.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative news sentiment (-0.67); Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 26, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 25%
Risks
Negative news sentiment (-0.67)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.8
P/E (Fwd)19.4
Mkt Cap$10.4B
EV/EBITDA14.9
Profit Mgn8.7%
ROE21.1%
Rev Growth32.5%
Beta0.97
DividendNone
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.04bearish
IV46%normal
Max Pain$135-28.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.3
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+5.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $184.68Resistance $232.50

Price Targets

$179
$235
A.Upside+25.0%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-26 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FIVE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $188.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative news sentiment (-0.67); Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $235.41 (+25.0%), stop $179.14 (−5.2%), A.R:R 3.3:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FIVE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $235.41 (+25.0% upside). Target $235.41 (+25.0%), stop $179.14 (−5.2%), A.R:R 3.3:1. Stop-loss: $179.14.

What are the risks of investing in FIVE?

Negative news sentiment (-0.67); Negative momentum.

Is FIVE overvalued or undervalued?

Five Below, Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.8 (forward 19.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FIVE?

32 analysts cover FIVE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $262.

What does Five Below, Inc. do?Our principal executive office is located at 701 Market Street, Suite 300, Philadelphia, PA 19106 and our telephone...

Our principal executive office is located at 701 Market Street, Suite 300, Philadelphia, PA 19106 and our telephone number is (215) 546-7909. Our corporate website address is www.fivebelow.com. The information contained on, or accessible through, our corporate website does not constitute part of this Annual Report. As used herein, "Five Below," the "Company," "we," "us," "our" or "our business" refers to Five Below, Inc.

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