Thesis pillars
- Strong Revenue Growth Profile→Stable
- Earnings Beat Consistency→Stable
- Pullback Entry Technical Setup↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Wait for pullback to $217.93. At $240.20 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $217.93 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).
Five Below is a specialty value retailer selling trend-right merchandise mostly priced at $5 and below across eight category worlds — Candy, Style, Party, Room, Create, Tech, Sports and New & Now — operating 1,921 stores across 46 states as of January 31, 2026. Net sales grew... Read more
Wait for pullback to $217.93. At $240.20 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $217.93 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
About Five Below, Inc.
About Five Below, Inc.
Five Below operated 1,921 stores across 46 states as of January 31, 2026, after opening 150 net new locations during fiscal 2025, and targets more than 3,500 U.S. locations over time. Comparable sales rose 12.8% in fiscal 2025 (following a 2.7% decline in fiscal 2024), driving net sales from $3.6 billion in fiscal 2023 to $4.8 billion in fiscal 2025, a 15.7% compounded annual growth rate.
Five Below organizes merchandise into eight category worlds — Candy, Style, Party, Room, Create, Tech, Sports and New & Now — which roll up into three reporting groups: Leisure (44.5% of fiscal 2025 net sales), Fashion and home (30.9%) and Snack and seasonal (24.6%). The company sources from roughly 1,000 vendors, with no single vendor representing more than 5% of purchases and about 60% of purchases from domestic vendors, though China remains the single largest country of origin for imported merchandise. Five shipcenters in Pedricktown, New Jersey, Forsyth, Georgia, Conroe, Texas, Buckeye, Arizona and Indianapolis, Indiana support distribution to stores that average roughly $2 million in first-year sales on a $0.4 million initial cash investment, targeting a one-year payback period.
Show full overview
Five Below's value positioning is now hostage to trade policy: China is the single largest source of the merchandise it imports, and the 10-K discloses that the U.S. Supreme Court's invalidation of certain International Emergency Economic Powers Act tariffs left significant uncertainty over whether affected duties will be refunded or simply replaced under different legal authority. Because the company's brand identity rests on most items pricing at or below $5, any tariff-driven cost increase it cannot absorb through vendor negotiation risks damaging its positioning as an extreme-value retailer and making it less competitive, exactly the trade-off the filing itself warns against.
See also: Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
From Five Below, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 3, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-29Recent Developments — Five Below, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Visa stock up with five blockchains added to stablecoin settlement pilot; CRCL, BLSH, GEMI down (V:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha neutral
- NEWS Five Below (FIVE) reports next week: Wall Street expects earnings growth - MSN — MSN positive
- NEWS Truist Lifts Price Target on Five Below to $265 From $261, Keeps Buy Rating - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com positive
- NEWS Five Below Q1 Preview: Shares A Hold, Strong Results Expected (NASDAQ:FIVE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS Five Below (FIVE) Expected to Announce Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
Generated 2026-08-29T09:07:27Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMSupplierChina10-K Item 1A: 'A significant majority of our merchandise is manufactured outside of the United States, with China as the single largest source of merchandise we import and source from domestic vendors.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $217.93. At $240.20 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $217.93 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $245.23 (+2.1%), stop $199.59 (−20.3%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $245.23 (+1.4% upside). Target $245.23 (+2.1%), stop $199.59 (−20.3%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $199.59.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Negative momentum.
Five Below, Inc. trades at a P/E of 32.5 (forward 24.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
33 analysts cover FIVE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $272.
What does Five Below, Inc. do?Five Below is a specialty value retailer selling trend-right merchandise mostly priced at $5 and below across eight...
Five Below is a specialty value retailer selling trend-right merchandise mostly priced at $5 and below across eight category worlds — Candy, Style, Party, Room, Create, Tech, Sports and New & Now — operating 1,921 stores across 46 states as of January 31, 2026. Net sales grew from $3.6 billion in fiscal 2023 to $4.8 billion in fiscal 2025 (a 15.7% CAGR), with plans to expand the store base beyond 3,500 locations, sourcing merchandise from roughly 1,000 vendors with China as the single largest country of origin.