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Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite (ATAT) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops lifestyle brands in the People's Republic of China. The company operates hospitality and retail businesses; and provides hotel management services, including day-to-day management services for the hotels on... Read more

$36.30+25.2% A.UpsideScore 7.3/10#1 of 8 Lodging
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield37.52%
IncomeYield1.41%Payout42.22%sustainable
Stop $34.77Target $45.60(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$50.67+39.6%16 analysts
$45.60our TP
$36.30price
$50.67mean
$58

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.15, quality 8.3/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 7.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 98d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Val9.0Qual8.3Grw10.0Mom1.9Sent7.6Ins5.0Peer6.8Tech8.3Risk7.97.3OVERALL

Recent Developments — Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.3 in RISK_OFF)
Strong overall score: 7.3/10
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.1
P/E (Fwd)13.7
Mkt Cap$5.1B
EV/EBITDA4.0
Profit Mgn17.2%
ROE52.9%
Rev Growth47.5%
Beta0.72
Dividend1.41%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.21bullish
IV42%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 98d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $35.85Resistance $41.25

Price Targets

$35
$46
A.Upside+25.6%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-25 (98d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATAT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.15, quality 8.3/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $45.60 (+25.6%), stop $34.77 (−4.4%), A.R:R 3.2:1. Score 7.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ATAT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.60 (+25.2% upside). Target $45.60 (+25.6%), stop $34.77 (−4.4%), A.R:R 3.2:1. Stop-loss: $34.77.

What are the risks of investing in ATAT?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is ATAT overvalued or undervalued?

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite trades at a P/E of 19.1 (forward 13.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ATAT?

25 analysts cover ATAT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite do?Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops lifestyle brands in the People's Republic of...

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops lifestyle brands in the People's Republic of China. The company operates hospitality and retail businesses; and provides hotel management services, including day-to-day management services for the hotels on behalf of franchisees, as well as sells hotel supplies and other products. It also operates travel agency. Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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