Super Group (SGHC) Limited (SGHC) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the SGHC stock price target?

Take-profit $15.12 (+20.0% upside). Prior stop was $11.72.

Q: What are the risks of investing in SGHC?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Overbought (RSI 80); NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING; Reward/Risk 1.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum.

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Consumer Cyclical · Gambling

Super Group (SGHC) Limited operates as an online sports betting and gaming operator. The company provides Betway, an online sports betting and casino offering; and Spin, a multi-brand online casino. It operates in Africa, the Middle East, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, North America,... Read more

$12.58+20.0% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#4 of 6 Gambling

Stop $11.72Target $15.12(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1

Analyst target$17.38+38.1%8 analysts

$15.12our TP

$12.58price

$17.38mean

$20

Sell if holding. At $12.58, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Overbought (RSI 80). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Attractive valuation

Risks

Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Overbought (RSI 80)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.7

P/E (Fwd)14.7

Mkt Cap$6.5B

EV/EBITDA13.5

Profit Mgn9.7%

ROE31.6%

Rev Growth-3.0%

Beta1.07

Dividend1.33%

Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.34bullish

IV79%elevated

Max Pain$3-76.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.315%1.09

Quality6.415%0.96

Growth5.915%0.89

Momentum5.710%0.57

Sentiment7.410%0.74

Insider Activity3.910%0.39

Peer Rank3.310%0.33

Technical Setup4.05%0.20

Risk Profile5.15%0.26

Catalyst5.25%0.26

Overall (Σ contributions)5.68

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank

0.0

Value Rank

2.5

Quality Rank

5.8

GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Momentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate

RSI

80 · Overbought

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.03Resistance $13.02

Price Targets

$12

$15

A.Upside+20.2%

A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING

! Reward/Risk 1.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-11 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is SGHC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $12.58, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Overbought (RSI 80). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $11.72. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SGHC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.12 (+20.0% upside). Prior stop was $11.72. Stop-loss: $11.72.

What are the risks of investing in SGHC?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Overbought (RSI 80).

Is SGHC overvalued or undervalued?

Super Group (SGHC) Limited trades at a P/E of 29.7 (forward 14.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SGHC?

14 analysts cover SGHC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Super Group (SGHC) Limited do?Super Group (SGHC) Limited operates as an online sports betting and gaming operator. The company provides Betway, an...