Skip to main content
SGHCSuper Group (SGHC) LimitedHold6.8·$11.55
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Super Group is a high-quality online gaming company with a 36% return on equity, a perfect Piotroski score of 9/9, and 33% analyst upside, but consecutive earnings misses and 12% short interest reflect real execution concerns that must be resolved before the investment case is fully validated.

Thesis pillars

  • Consecutive Earnings Misses Execution Risk↓Deteriorating
  • Attractive Valuation High Analyst Upside→Stable
  • Elite Returns And Piotroski Perfection→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Super Group (SGHC) Limited (SGHC) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Gambling

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Super Group (SGHC) Limited operates as an online sports betting and gaming operator. The company provides Betway, an online sports betting and casino offering; and Spin, a multi-brand online casino. It operates in Africa, the Middle East, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, North America,... Read more

$11.55+40.6% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#1 of 8 Gambling
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.99%
IncomeYield1.79%Payout18.01%sustainable
Stop $10.74Analyst target $16.24(−13% haircut)A.R:R 4.0:1
Analyst consensus$18.67+61.6%9 analysts with price targets
$16.24Analyst target
$11.55price
$18.67mean
$22

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, earnings proximity 110d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — Super Group (SGHC) Limited

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:29:01Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Feb 23, 2027110d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.8 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.3
P/E (Fwd)13.4
Mkt Cap$5.9B
EV/EBITDA9.0
Profit Mgn15.1%
ROE49.5%
Rev Growth18.1%
Beta1.10
Dividend1.79%
Analysts with ratings15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.07bearish
IV52%elevated
Max Pain$8-30.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.8
Support Resistance
1.3
52w Position
4.6
GatesMomentum 8.0>=5.5A.R:R 4.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 110d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.38Resistance $11.73

Price Targets

$11
$16
A.Upside+40.6%
A.R:R4.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts with ratings15
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$19

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-23 (110d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SGHC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Analyst target $16.24 (+40.6%), stop $10.74 (−7.5%), A.R:R 4.0:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SGHC stock price target?

Analyst target: $16.24 (+40.6% upside). Analyst target $16.24 (+40.6%), stop $10.74 (−7.5%), A.R:R 4.0:1. Stop-loss: $10.74.

What are the risks of investing in SGHC?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is SGHC overvalued or undervalued?

Super Group (SGHC) Limited trades at a P/E of 14.3 (forward 13.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SGHC?

15 analysts rate SGHC, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 9 analysts publish price targets averaging $19.

What does Super Group (SGHC) Limited do?Super Group (SGHC) Limited operates as an online sports betting and gaming operator. The company provides Betway, an...

Super Group (SGHC) Limited operates as an online sports betting and gaming operator. The company provides Betway, an online sports betting and casino offering; and Spin, a multi-brand online casino. It operates in Africa, the Middle East, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, North America, and South/Latin America. Super Group (SGHC) Limited is based in Saint Peter Port, Guernsey.

Related stocks: RSI (Rush Street Interactive, Inc.) · ACEL (Accel Entertainment, Inc.) · CHDN (Churchill Downs, Incorporated) · BRSL (Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading ) · DKNG (DraftKings Inc.)
Home › Stocks › SGHC

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat8d ago
MarketBeat15d ago
Vinanet.vn78d ago
Dars.gov.et78d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance22d ago
Dars.gov.et85d ago
Simplywall.st85d ago
Yahoo Finance Singapore183d ago
MarketBeat183d agoAnalyst
GuruFocus92d ago
The Globe and Mail92d ago
The Globe and Mail92d ago
Yahoo Finance92d ago
Slipcase37d agoLegal
MarketBeat100d agoEarnings
MarketBeat100d ago
Yahoo Finance9d agoEarnings
MarketBeat9d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance44d ago
Yahoo Finance44d ago
Loading more...