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Super Group (SGHC) Limited (SGHC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Gambling

Sell if holding. At $13.87, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.5% away); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Super Group (SGHC) Limited operates as an online sports betting and gaming operator. The company provides Betway, an online sports betting and casino offering; and Spin, a multi-brand online casino. It operates in Africa, the Middle East, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, North America,... Read more

$13.87+12.9% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#1 of 6 Gambling
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield1.24%Payout35.23%sustainable
Stop $12.90Target $15.66(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$18.00+29.8%8 analysts
$15.66our TP
$13.87price
$18.00mean
$22

Sell if holding. At $13.87, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.5% away); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val7.0Qual7.3Grw8.6Mom6.6Sent7.2Ins3.9Peer5.8Tech3.5Risk4.06.4OVERALL

Recent Developments — Super Group (SGHC) Limited

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.3 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Near 52-week high (3.5% away)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.6
P/E (Fwd)15.4
Mkt Cap$7.0B
EV/EBITDA13.5
Profit Mgn10.5%
ROE35.9%
Rev Growth18.4%
Beta1.13
Dividend1.24%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C2.38bearish
IV61%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.9
52w Position
9.7
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
71 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.92Resistance $14.07

Price Targets

$13
$16
A.Upside+12.9%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 0.9:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SGHC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $13.87, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.5% away); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $12.90. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SGHC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.66 (+12.9% upside). Prior stop was $12.90. Stop-loss: $12.90.

What are the risks of investing in SGHC?

Near 52-week high (3.5% away); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is SGHC overvalued or undervalued?

Super Group (SGHC) Limited trades at a P/E of 28.6 (forward 15.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SGHC?

14 analysts cover SGHC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Super Group (SGHC) Limited do?Super Group (SGHC) Limited operates as an online sports betting and gaming operator. The company provides Betway, an...

Super Group (SGHC) Limited operates as an online sports betting and gaming operator. The company provides Betway, an online sports betting and casino offering; and Spin, a multi-brand online casino. It operates in Africa, the Middle East, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, North America, and South/Latin America. Super Group (SGHC) Limited is based in Saint Peter Port, Guernsey.

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