Tapestry, Inc. (TPR) Stock Analysis
Temp Headwind edge
Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods
Wait for pullback to $123.15. At $143.69 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $123.15 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: Coach (79.9%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Tapestry is a global accessories company whose Coach brand represented 79.9% of total fiscal 2025 net sales of ~$7.0B; Kate Spade represented 17.1% and Stuart Weitzman (divested August 2025) 3.0%. DTC revenues (stores and e-commerce) represented 86% of total net sales.... Read more
Wait for pullback to $123.15. At $143.69 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $123.15 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: Coach (79.9%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.32, quality 7.9/10, growth 8.0/10). Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductCoach80%10-K Item 1: 'Coach...This segment represented 79.9% of total net sales in fiscal 2025.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-06Item 5.02LOWMatthew Madrigal elected to Board of Directors on April 6, 2026 as Board expanded from 10 to 11 members. Independent director; standard non-employee director compensation. No arrangements with other persons cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $123.15. At $143.69 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $123.15 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: Coach (79.9%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.32, quality 7.9/10, growth 8.0/10). Target $145.85 (+1.5%), stop $114.92 (−25.0%), Setup A.R:R 2.7:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $145.85 (+18.0% upside). Target $145.85 (+1.5%), stop $114.92 (−25.0%), Setup A.R:R 2.7:1. Stop-loss: $114.92.
Concentration risk — Product: Coach (79.9%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 7.2): -1.5.
Tapestry, Inc. trades at a P/E of 54.9 (forward 19.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
28 analysts cover TPR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $162.
What does Tapestry, Inc. do?Tapestry is a global accessories company whose Coach brand represented 79.9% of total fiscal 2025 net sales of ~$7.0B;...
Tapestry is a global accessories company whose Coach brand represented 79.9% of total fiscal 2025 net sales of ~$7.0B; Kate Spade represented 17.1% and Stuart Weitzman (divested August 2025) 3.0%. DTC revenues (stores and e-commerce) represented 86% of total net sales. Approximately 40% of revenues came from outside the U.S.