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TEXTerex CorporationSell6.0·$68.16-0.79%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Terex Corporation delivered 41% revenue growth year-over-year and has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters, but the stock has essentially reached its analyst price target leaving only 1.3% upside against 7% downside, and an extreme put-to-call ratio of 19x signals hedging pressure.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Growth LeadershipStable
  • Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Options Market Hedging PressureStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Terex Corporation (TEX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $68.16: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Terex manufactures industrial equipment across three segments—Environmental Solutions (refuse/recycling/utility), Materials Processing (crushing/screening/specialty), and Aerials (aerial work platforms/telehandlers)—sold globally through distributors and rental companies.... Read more

$68.16+7.4% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#2 of 17 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.09%
IncomeYield1.00%(5y avg 1.22%)Payout33.17%sustainable
Stop $63.39Target $73.20(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$77.29+13.4%12 analysts
$73.20our TP
$68.16price
$77.29mean
$65
$95

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $68.16: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202626d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-1.3% upside)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.2
P/E (Fwd)11.7
Mkt Cap$7.8B
EV/EBITDA19.7
Profit Mgn1.9%
ROE3.2%
Rev Growth41.1%
Beta1.49
Dividend1.00%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV93%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.9
Roe
1.1
Roa
1.7
Moat
5.6
Current Ratio
6.5
Piotroski F
8.9
Fcf Quality
9.9
Excellent cash conversion: 147% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $59.47Resistance $74.69

Price Targets

$63
$73
A.Upside+7.4%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $68.16: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $63.39. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TEX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $73.20 (+7.4% upside). Prior stop was $63.39. Stop-loss: $63.39.

What are the risks of investing in TEX?

Target reached (-1.3% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is TEX overvalued or undervalued?

Terex Corporation trades at a P/E of 33.2 (forward 11.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TEX?

18 analysts cover TEX with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $77.

What does Terex Corporation do?Terex manufactures industrial equipment across three segments—Environmental Solutions (refuse/recycling/utility),...

Terex manufactures industrial equipment across three segments—Environmental Solutions (refuse/recycling/utility), Materials Processing (crushing/screening/specialty), and Aerials (aerial work platforms/telehandlers)—sold globally through distributors and rental companies. Revenue comes from new equipment sales and lifecycle parts/service support. In February 2026, Terex completed its merger with REV Group.

Related stocks: FSS (Federal Signal Corporation) · OSK (Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co) · AEBI (Aebi Schmidt Holding AG) · BLBD (Blue Bird Corporation) · AGCO (AGCO Corporation)
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