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TEXTerex CorporationSell5.4·$62.76+1.54%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Terex Corporation delivered 41% revenue growth year-over-year and has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters, but the stock has essentially reached its analyst price target leaving only 1.3% upside against 7% downside, and an extreme put-to-call ratio of 19x signals hedging pressure.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Growth LeadershipStable
  • Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Options Market Hedging PressureImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Terex Corporation (TEX) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Sell if holding. At $62.76, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Terex manufactures industrial equipment across three segments—Environmental Solutions (refuse/recycling/utility), Materials Processing (crushing/screening/specialty), and Aerials (aerial work platforms/telehandlers)—sold globally through distributors and rental companies.... Read more

$62.76+10.8% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#8 of 18 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.29%
IncomeYield1.10%(5y avg 1.22%)Payout32.54%sustainable
Stop $58.37Target $69.55(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$79.94+27.4%13 analysts
$69.55our TP
$62.76price
$79.94mean
$100

Sell if holding. At $62.76, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.4
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$7.1B
EV/EBITDA14.6
Profit Mgn2.2%
ROE4.2%
Rev Growth50.5%
Beta1.51
Dividend1.10%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.01bullish
IV54%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.2
Rsi
8.0
Uptrend pullback (RSI 35) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $59.10Resistance $68.85

Price Targets

$58
$70
A.Upside+10.8%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $62.76, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $58.37. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TEX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $69.55 (+10.8% upside). Prior stop was $58.37. Stop-loss: $58.37.

What are the risks of investing in TEX?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is TEX overvalued or undervalued?

Terex Corporation trades at a P/E of 28.4 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TEX?

19 analysts cover TEX with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $80.

What does Terex Corporation do?Terex manufactures industrial equipment across three segments—Environmental Solutions (refuse/recycling/utility),...

Terex manufactures industrial equipment across three segments—Environmental Solutions (refuse/recycling/utility), Materials Processing (crushing/screening/specialty), and Aerials (aerial work platforms/telehandlers)—sold globally through distributors and rental companies. Revenue comes from new equipment sales and lifecycle parts/service support. In February 2026, Terex completed its merger with REV Group.

Related stocks: BLBD (Blue Bird Corporation) · OSK (Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co) · AEBI (Aebi Schmidt Holding AG) · FSS (Federal Signal Corporation) · ALG (Alamo Group, Inc.)
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