Skip to main content
TEXTerex CorporationBuy Wait5.9·$67.92+2.60%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Terex Corporation delivered 41% revenue growth year-over-year and has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters, but the stock has essentially reached its analyst price target leaving only 1.3% upside against 7% downside, and an extreme put-to-call ratio of 19x signals hedging pressure.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Growth LeadershipStable
  • Earnings Beat StreakDeteriorating
  • Options Market Hedging PressureDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Terex Corporation (TEX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Wait for pullback to $61.62. At $67.92 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $61.62 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Terex manufactures industrial equipment across three segments—Environmental Solutions (refuse/recycling/utility), Materials Processing (crushing/screening/specialty), and Aerials (aerial work platforms/telehandlers)—sold globally through distributors and rental companies.... Read more

$67.92+2.4% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#6 of 18 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.07%
IncomeYield1.00%(5y avg 1.22%)Payout32.54%sustainable
Entry $61.62(support + ATR (held))Stop $56.16Target $69.55(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$79.94+17.7%13 analysts
$69.55our TP
$67.92price
$79.94mean
$100

Wait for pullback to $61.62. At $67.92 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $61.62 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202675d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.6
P/E (Fwd)11.1
Mkt Cap$7.6B
EV/EBITDA15.4
Profit Mgn2.2%
ROE4.2%
Rev Growth50.5%
Beta1.51
Dividend1.00%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.01bullish
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $60.29Resistance $71.32

Price Targets

$56
$62
$70
A.Upside+2.4%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.4% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEX stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $61.62. At $67.92 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $61.62 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $69.55 (+2.4%), stop $56.16 (−20.9%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TEX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $69.55 (+2.4% upside). Target $69.55 (+2.4%), stop $56.16 (−20.9%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $56.16.

What are the risks of investing in TEX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is TEX overvalued or undervalued?

Terex Corporation trades at a P/E of 32.6 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TEX?

19 analysts cover TEX with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $80.

What does Terex Corporation do?Terex manufactures industrial equipment across three segments—Environmental Solutions (refuse/recycling/utility),...

Terex manufactures industrial equipment across three segments—Environmental Solutions (refuse/recycling/utility), Materials Processing (crushing/screening/specialty), and Aerials (aerial work platforms/telehandlers)—sold globally through distributors and rental companies. Revenue comes from new equipment sales and lifecycle parts/service support. In February 2026, Terex completed its merger with REV Group.

Related stocks: BLBD (Blue Bird Corporation) · OSK (Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co) · AEBI (Aebi Schmidt Holding AG) · FSS (Federal Signal Corporation) · ALG (Alamo Group, Inc.)
Home Stocks TEX

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat108d ago
MarketBeat108d agoEarnings
UBND thành phố Hải Phòng114d ago
MarketBeat10d ago
Meyka107d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance114d ago
Cổng thông tin điện tử Tỉnh Sơn La114d agoEarnings
The Globe and Mail9d ago
MarketBeat6d ago
MarketBeat6d ago
Seeking Alpha6d ago
MSN112d agoEarnings
GuruFocus7d ago
MarketBeat110d ago
MarketBeat5d ago
TradingKey5d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance5d agoEarnings
MarketBeat113d agoEarnings
TradingKey8d ago
MarketBeat8d agoAnalyst
Loading more...