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TEXTerex CorporationBuy Wait5.7·$67.92+2.60%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Terex Corporation delivered 41% revenue growth year-over-year and has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters, but the stock has essentially reached its analyst price target leaving only 1.3% upside against 7% downside, and an extreme put-to-call ratio of 19x signals hedging pressure.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Growth LeadershipStable
  • Earnings Beat StreakDeteriorating
  • Options Market Hedging PressureDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Terex Corporation (TEX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Wait for pullback to $61.62. At $67.92 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $61.62 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Terex manufactures industrial equipment across three segments—Environmental Solutions (refuse/recycling/utility), Materials Processing (crushing/screening/specialty), and Aerials (aerial work platforms/telehandlers)—sold globally through distributors and rental companies.... Read more

$67.92+2.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#6 of 18 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.99%
IncomeYield1.00%(5y avg 1.22%)Payout32.54%sustainable
Entry $61.62(support + ATR (held))Stop $56.16Target $69.55(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$79.94+17.7%13 analysts
$69.55our TP
$67.92price
$79.94mean
$100

Wait for pullback to $61.62. At $67.92 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $61.62 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 73d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202673d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.5
P/E (Fwd)11.4
Mkt Cap$7.8B
EV/EBITDA15.7
Profit Mgn2.2%
ROE4.2%
Rev Growth50.5%
Beta1.51
Dividend1.00%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.01bullish
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 73d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $60.29Resistance $71.32

Price Targets

$56
$62
$70
A.Upside+2.4%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.4% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (73d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEX stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $61.62. At $67.92 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $61.62 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $69.55 (+2.4%), stop $56.16 (−20.9%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TEX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $69.55 (+2.4% upside). Target $69.55 (+2.4%), stop $56.16 (−20.9%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $56.16.

What are the risks of investing in TEX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is TEX overvalued or undervalued?

Terex Corporation trades at a P/E of 32.5 (forward 11.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TEX?

19 analysts cover TEX with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $80.

What does Terex Corporation do?Terex manufactures industrial equipment across three segments—Environmental Solutions (refuse/recycling/utility),...

Terex manufactures industrial equipment across three segments—Environmental Solutions (refuse/recycling/utility), Materials Processing (crushing/screening/specialty), and Aerials (aerial work platforms/telehandlers)—sold globally through distributors and rental companies. Revenue comes from new equipment sales and lifecycle parts/service support. In February 2026, Terex completed its merger with REV Group.

Related stocks: BLBD (Blue Bird Corporation) · AEBI (Aebi Schmidt Holding AG) · OSK (Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co) · FSS (Federal Signal Corporation) · ALG (Alamo Group, Inc.)
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