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Terex Corporation (TEX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Earnings in 0 days (2026-05-01). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $55.66. At $63.44 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $55.66 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.7%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Terex is a global industrial equipment manufacturer with three segments: Environmental Solutions (waste/recycling/utility), Material Processing (crushers/screens/cranes), and Aerials (mobile elevating work platforms). Products are manufactured in North America, Europe, and Asia... Read more

$63.44+16.6% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#4 of 12 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Entry $55.66(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $50.50Target $66.01(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1Setup A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$75.88+19.6%12 analysts
$66.01our TP
$63.44price
$75.88mean
$95

Wait for pullback to $55.66. At $63.44 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $55.66 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.7%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 50, MACD bullish. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.7%
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.2
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$6.9B
EV/EBITDA14.0
Profit Mgn4.1%
ROE11.3%
Rev Growth6.2%
Beta1.64
Dividend1.12%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.14bearish
IV79%elevated
Max Pain$48-24.3% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-06Item 5.02LOW
    VP and Chief Accounting Officer Stephen Johnston departed effective March 2, 2026 in connection with post-REV merger integration. Joseph LaDue, 46 (formerly VP/CAO at REV), appointed as replacement effective March 2, 2026. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $55.31Resistance $64.95

Price Targets

$51
$56
$66
A.Upside+4.1%
A.R:R0.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Reward/Risk 0.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-01 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEX stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $55.66. At $63.44 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $55.66 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.7%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 50, MACD bullish. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $66.01 (+4.1%), stop $50.50 (−25.6%), Setup A.R:R 3.2:1. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TEX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $66.01 (+16.6% upside). Target $66.01 (+4.1%), stop $50.50 (−25.6%), Setup A.R:R 3.2:1. Stop-loss: $50.50.

What are the risks of investing in TEX?

Thin upside margin: 4.7%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Is TEX overvalued or undervalued?

Terex Corporation trades at a P/E of 18.2 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TEX?

18 analysts cover TEX with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $76.

What does Terex Corporation do?Terex is a global industrial equipment manufacturer with three segments: Environmental Solutions...

Terex is a global industrial equipment manufacturer with three segments: Environmental Solutions (waste/recycling/utility), Material Processing (crushers/screens/cranes), and Aerials (mobile elevating work platforms). Products are manufactured in North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific; the REV Group merger closed February 2, 2026, significantly expanding the company.

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