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Terex Corporation (TEX) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $55.39: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Terex manufactures specialized industrial equipment across Environmental Solutions (waste/utility), Materials Processing (crushers/screens), and Aerials (boom lifts/telehandlers) segments globally. The company completed the acquisition of REV Group on February 2, 2026,... Read more

$55.39+20.6% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#3 of 12 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.46%
IncomeYield1.17%(5y avg 1.20%)Payout33.17%sustainable
Stop $52.54Target $66.81(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$76.79+38.6%12 analysts
$66.81our TP
$55.39price
$76.79mean
$95

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $55.39: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Val6.4Qual3.8Grw10.0Mom2.1Sent7.2Ins5.1Peer4.8Tech7.6Risk5.75.9OVERALL

Recent Developments — Terex Corporation

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.3
P/E (Fwd)10.0
Mkt Cap$6.6B
EV/EBITDA17.4
Profit Mgn1.9%
ROE3.2%
Rev Growth41.1%
Beta1.57
Dividend1.17%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.32bullish
IV55%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Stephen Johnston (VP, Chief Accounting Officer and Controller) departed March 2, 2026 in connection with REV integration. Joseph LaDue (former VP/CAO at REV since 2022) appointed as successor effective March 2, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume
3.9
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.9
Roe
1.1
Roa
1.7
Moat
5.6
Current Ratio
6.5
Piotroski F
8.9
Fcf Quality
9.9
Excellent cash conversion: 147% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $54.17Resistance $66.33

Price Targets

$53
$67
A.Upside+20.6%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $55.39: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $52.54. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TEX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $66.81 (+20.6% upside). Prior stop was $52.54. Stop-loss: $52.54.

What are the risks of investing in TEX?

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is TEX overvalued or undervalued?

Terex Corporation trades at a P/E of 28.3 (forward 10.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TEX?

18 analysts cover TEX with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $77.

What does Terex Corporation do?Terex manufactures specialized industrial equipment across Environmental Solutions (waste/utility), Materials...

Terex manufactures specialized industrial equipment across Environmental Solutions (waste/utility), Materials Processing (crushers/screens), and Aerials (boom lifts/telehandlers) segments globally. The company completed the acquisition of REV Group on February 2, 2026, significantly expanding into ambulances, fire apparatus, and recreational vehicles.

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