Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the AEBI stock price target?

Take-profit $12.75 (+12.8% upside). Target $12.75 (+9.9%), stop $10.51 (−10.4%), A.R:R 0.9:1.

Q: What are the risks of investing in AEBI?

Market cap $0.96B below $1B minimum; Market cap $0.96B below $1B minimum; Reward/Risk 0.9:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum.

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 16 hr ago (May 20, 2026, 1:36 AM ET)

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.96B below $1B minimum.

$11.60+12.8% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#1 of 12 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-9.46%

IncomeYield0.80%Payout69.23%

Stop $10.51Target $12.75(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.9:1

Analyst target$15.00+29.3%2 analysts

Range unavailable (2 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.96B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51. Market cap $0.96B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 85d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Aebi Schmidt Holding AG

Latest news

Transcript: Aebi Schmidt Holding Q1 2026 Earnings Conference Call — benzinga May 14, 2026
Aebi Schmidt Holding Affirms FY2026 Sales Guidance of $1.950B-$2.150B vs $2.042B Est — benzinga May 14, 2026
Earnings Scheduled For May 14, 2026 — benzinga May 14, 2026
Aebi Schmidt Holding Q1 Sales $455.545M Beat $447.360M Estimate — benzinga May 14, 2026

Generated 2026-05-20T21:56:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Market cap $0.96B below $1B minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)113.0

P/E (Fwd)9.2

Mkt Cap$963M

EV/EBITDA13.2

Profit Mgn0.5%

ROE1.4%

Rev Growth82.8%

Beta—

Dividend0.80%

Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.715%1.16

Quality2.615%0.39

Growth10.015%1.50

Momentum5.510%0.55

Sentiment6.610%0.66

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.710%0.47

Technical Setup4.05%0.20

Risk Profile3.25%0.16

Catalyst6.45%0.32

Overall (Σ contributions)5.91

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin

0.0

Fcf Quality

0.0

Net Margin

0.2

Roe

0.5

Operating Margin

1.4

Roa

2.0

Moat

4.9

Current Ratio

7.0

Piotroski F

7.8

Earnings quality RED FLAG: -1091% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9Quality concerns

GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 85d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive

RSI

51 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.24Resistance $12.55

Price Targets

$11

$13

A.Upside+9.9%

A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $0.96B below $1B minimum

! Reward/Risk 0.9:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-08-13 (85d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is AEBI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.96B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51. Market cap $0.96B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $12.75 (+9.9%), stop $10.51 (−10.4%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AEBI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.75 (+12.8% upside). Target $12.75 (+9.9%), stop $10.51 (−10.4%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $10.51.

What are the risks of investing in AEBI?

Market cap $0.96B below $1B minimum.

Is AEBI overvalued or undervalued?

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG trades at a P/E of 113.0 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AEBI?

9 analysts cover AEBI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Aebi Schmidt Holding AG do?Aebi Schmidt Holding AG manufactures specialty vehicles in North America, Europe, and internationally. It offers a...

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG manufactures specialty vehicles in North America, Europe, and internationally. It offers a portfolio of single axle implement carriers and transporters for the agriculture and municipal sectors; maintenance equipment, such as plows, snow cutters, spreaders, sprayers, and sweeping machines; and custom engineering, installation, manufacturing, and distribution of performance-driven municipal, commercial, and fleet vehicles. The company also provides heavy-duty industrial equipment, and services and support; multi-tasking airport equipment, including snow removal products and various attachment for commercial and municipal use; after-market service; pickup truck aluminum accessories; and emergency lighting and specialty vehicle upfits. In addition, it offers wireless communications, vehicle tracking solutions, and camera systems; winter road maintenance, highway construction and repair, landscaping, and hauling; truck and dump bodies, V-box and tailgate spreaders, hydraulic systems, and liquid application systems; and diesel platforms. Further, the company is involved in the manufacturing, upfitting, and distribution of truck equipment; walk-in van and truck body manufacturing and assembly; and cargo van upfitter. It provides its products under the Aebi, Schmidt, Monroe, Towmaster, MB, Utilimaster, Magnum, Strobes-R-Us, Swenson, Meyer, MB, and Spartan RV Chassis brands. Aebi Schmidt Holding AG was founded in 1883 and is headquartered in Frauenfeld, Switzerland.