Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the AEBI stock price target?

Take-profit $12.75 (+12.0% upside). Target $12.75 (+12.0%), stop $10.58 (−7.6%), A.R:R 0.8:1.

Q: What are the risks of investing in AEBI?

Market cap $0.86B below $1B minimum; Market cap $0.86B below $1B minimum; Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum.

Q: Is AEBI overvalued or undervalued?

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG trades at a P/E of 65.6 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about AEBI?

9 analysts cover AEBI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $15.

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.86B below $1B minimum.

$11.38+12.0% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#1 of 12 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Stop $10.58Target $12.75(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.8:1

Analyst target$15.00+31.8%2 analysts

Range unavailable (2 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.86B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Market cap $0.86B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Market cap $0.86B below $1B minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)65.6

P/E (Fwd)8.4

Mkt Cap$863M

EV/EBITDA13.1

Profit Mgn0.6%

ROE1.6%

Rev Growth77.2%

Beta—

Dividend0.90%

Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value8.015%1.20

Quality2.515%0.38

Growth10.015%1.50

Momentum3.410%0.34

Sentiment6.210%0.62

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.710%0.47

Technical Setup2.85%0.14

Risk Profile3.75%0.19

Catalyst7.15%0.35

Overall (Σ contributions)5.68

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin

0.0

Fcf Quality

0.0

Net Margin

0.3

Roe

0.5

Operating Margin

1.8

Roa

1.9

Moat

5.0

Current Ratio

6.7

Piotroski F

6.7

Earnings quality RED FLAG: -1188% FCF/NINo competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position

0.0

Support Resistance

3.5

Bollinger

4.8

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Rsi

4.5

Ma Position

4.5

Macd

6.9

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive

RSI

50 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.09Resistance $12.59

Price Targets

$11

$13

A.Upside+12.0%

A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $0.86B below $1B minimum

! Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-15 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is AEBI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.86B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Market cap $0.86B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $12.75 (+12.0%), stop $10.58 (−7.6%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AEBI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.75 (+12.0% upside). Target $12.75 (+12.0%), stop $10.58 (−7.6%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Stop-loss: $10.58.

What are the risks of investing in AEBI?

Market cap $0.86B below $1B minimum.

Is AEBI overvalued or undervalued?

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG trades at a P/E of 65.6 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AEBI?

9 analysts cover AEBI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Aebi Schmidt Holding AG do?Aebi Schmidt Holding AG manufactures specialty vehicles in North America, Europe, and internationally. It offers a...

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG manufactures specialty vehicles in North America, Europe, and internationally. It offers a portfolio of single axle implement carriers and transporters for the agriculture and municipal sectors; maintenance equipment, such as plows, snow cutters, spreaders, sprayers, and sweeping machines; and custom engineering, installation, manufacturing, and distribution of performance-driven municipal, commercial, and fleet vehicles. The company also provides heavy-duty industrial equipment, and services and support; multi-tasking airport equipment, including snow removal products and various attachment for commercial and municipal use; after-market service; pickup truck aluminum accessories; and emergency lighting and specialty vehicle upfits. In addition, it offers wireless communications, vehicle tracking solutions, and camera systems; winter road maintenance, highway construction and repair, landscaping, and hauling; truck and dump bodies, V-box and tailgate spreaders, hydraulic systems, and liquid application systems; and diesel platforms. Further, the company is involved in the manufacturing, upfitting, and distribution of truck equipment; walk-in van and truck body manufacturing and assembly; and cargo van upfitter. It provides its products under the Aebi, Schmidt, Monroe, Towmaster, MB, Utilimaster, Magnum, Strobes-R-Us, Swenson, Meyer, MB, and Spartan RV Chassis brands. Aebi Schmidt Holding AG was founded in 1883 and is headquartered in Frauenfeld, Switzerland.