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Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co (OSK) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-08). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $158.34 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Oshkosh Corporation is a global industrial technology company designing purpose-built vehicles and equipment across three segments: Access (43% of 2025 net sales), Vocational (36%), and Transport (20%), including defense vehicles for the DoD and NGDV for the USPS. It sells to... Read more

$158.34-1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#1 of 12 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Stop $147.26Target $155.80(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$170.91+7.9%17 analysts
$155.80our TP
$158.34price
$170.91mean
$138
$204

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $158.34 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.7
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$9.2B
EV/EBITDA8.6
Profit Mgn6.2%
ROE14.9%
Rev Growth3.5%
Beta1.39
Dividend1.55%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.03bullish
IV66%elevated
Max Pain$125-21.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerU.S. government20%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 20% of our net sales in 2025 were to the U.S. government'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.2
Support Resistance
0.3
Gap
5.0
52w Position
7.6
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $139.43Resistance $158.98

Price Targets

$147
$156
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-08 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OSK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $158.34 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $147.26. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OSK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $155.80 (-1.6% upside). Prior stop was $147.26. Stop-loss: $147.26.

What are the risks of investing in OSK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is OSK overvalued or undervalued?

Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co trades at a P/E of 14.7 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OSK?

22 analysts cover OSK with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $171.

What does Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co do?Oshkosh Corporation is a global industrial technology company designing purpose-built vehicles and equipment across...

Oshkosh Corporation is a global industrial technology company designing purpose-built vehicles and equipment across three segments: Access (43% of 2025 net sales), Vocational (36%), and Transport (20%), including defense vehicles for the DoD and NGDV for the USPS. It sells to construction, municipal, defense, and commercial customers globally.

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