Alamo Group, Inc. (ALG) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Sell if holding. At $170.62, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.9%; Concentration risk — Customer: governmental entities.
Alamo Group manufactures and sells industrial and vegetation management equipment across two divisions: Industrial Equipment (vacuum trucks, street sweepers, excavators, snow removal) and Vegetation Management (mowing, land maintenance). With ~3,800 employees and 27... Read more
Sell if holding. At $170.62, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.9%; Concentration risk — Customer: governmental entities. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomergovernmental entities10-K Item 1A: 'A substantial portion of our revenues is derived from sales to federal, state, provincial and local governmental entities and related contractors'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -3.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $170.62, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.9%; Concentration risk — Customer: governmental entities. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $160.12. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $180.44 (+5.9% upside). Prior stop was $160.12. Stop-loss: $160.12.
Concentration risk — Customer: governmental entities; Thin upside margin: 5.9%; Earnings in 4 days (event risk).
Alamo Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.6 (forward 14.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover ALG with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $207.
What does Alamo Group, Inc. do?Alamo Group manufactures and sells industrial and vegetation management equipment across two divisions: Industrial...
Alamo Group manufactures and sells industrial and vegetation management equipment across two divisions: Industrial Equipment (vacuum trucks, street sweepers, excavators, snow removal) and Vegetation Management (mowing, land maintenance). With ~3,800 employees and 27 manufacturing facilities, products are sold through independent dealers and directly to contractors and municipalities.