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FSSFederal Signal CorporationHold6.3·$109.88+2.80%
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Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $109.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Federal Signal designs and manufactures specialty vehicles and public safety equipment in two segments: Environmental Solutions Group (street sweepers, sewer cleaners, refuse vehicles, waterblasting) and Safety and Security Systems Group (lightbars, sirens, public warning... Read more

$109.88+12.3% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#1 of 13 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.18%
IncomeYield0.56%(5y avg 0.66%)Payout12.95%sustainable
Stop $102.96Target $123.66(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$142.14+29.4%7 analysts
$123.66our TP
$109.88price
$142.14mean
$155

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $109.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.3
P/E (Fwd)19.3
Mkt Cap$6.5B
EV/EBITDA14.8
Profit Mgn11.6%
ROE20.5%
Rev Growth34.9%
Beta1.26
Dividend0.56%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C5.91bearish
IV57%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.5
Volume
2.9
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $101.19Resistance $117.25

Price Targets

$103
$124
A.Upside+12.5%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FSS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $109.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $123.66 (+12.5%), stop $102.96 (−6.7%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FSS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $123.66 (+12.3% upside). Target $123.66 (+12.5%), stop $102.96 (−6.7%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $102.96.

What are the risks of investing in FSS?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.

Is FSS overvalued or undervalued?

Federal Signal Corporation trades at a P/E of 24.3 (forward 19.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FSS?

10 analysts cover FSS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $142.

What does Federal Signal Corporation do?Federal Signal designs and manufactures specialty vehicles and public safety equipment in two segments: Environmental...

Federal Signal designs and manufactures specialty vehicles and public safety equipment in two segments: Environmental Solutions Group (street sweepers, sewer cleaners, refuse vehicles, waterblasting) and Safety and Security Systems Group (lightbars, sirens, public warning systems). Revenue comes from municipal, governmental, industrial and commercial customers; no single customer exceeded 10% of net sales.

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