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Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Pollution & Treatment Controls

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $109.57, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Federal Signal designs and manufactures specialty vehicles and public safety equipment in two segments: Environmental Solutions Group (street sweepers, sewer cleaners, refuse vehicles, waterblasting) and Safety and Security Systems Group (lightbars, sirens, public warning... Read more

$109.57+12.9% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#1 of 5 Pollution & Treatment Controls
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.07%
IncomeYield0.53%(5y avg 0.66%)Payout12.95%sustainable
Stop $105.80Target $123.66(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$142.14+29.7%7 analysts
$123.66our TP
$109.57price
$142.14mean
$155

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $109.57, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Federal Signal Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.6
P/E (Fwd)20.3
Mkt Cap$6.9B
EV/EBITDA15.6
Profit Mgn11.6%
ROE20.5%
Rev Growth34.9%
Beta1.32
Dividend0.53%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C4.42bearish
IV40%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.4
Rsi
3.5
Obv
6.6
Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $109.07Resistance $128.73

Price Targets

$106
$124
A.Upside+12.9%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FSS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $109.57, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $123.66 (+12.9%), stop $105.80 (−3.6%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FSS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $123.66 (+12.9% upside). Target $123.66 (+12.9%), stop $105.80 (−3.6%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $105.80.

What are the risks of investing in FSS?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is FSS overvalued or undervalued?

Federal Signal Corporation trades at a P/E of 25.6 (forward 20.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FSS?

10 analysts cover FSS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $142.

What does Federal Signal Corporation do?Federal Signal designs and manufactures specialty vehicles and public safety equipment in two segments: Environmental...

Federal Signal designs and manufactures specialty vehicles and public safety equipment in two segments: Environmental Solutions Group (street sweepers, sewer cleaners, refuse vehicles, waterblasting) and Safety and Security Systems Group (lightbars, sirens, public warning systems). Revenue comes from municipal, governmental, industrial and commercial customers; no single customer exceeded 10% of net sales.

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