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TERTeradyne, Inc.Sell6.2·$375.24-12.19%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Teradyne has achieved 87% revenue growth year-over-year, holds a wide economic moat with a Piotroski financial health score of 7 out of 9 and 29% return on equity, and receives strongly positive news sentiment — but at $432 per share the stock trades 22% above the analyst consensus target with a forward price-to-earnings of 45.5 times, and free cash flow represents only 35% of net income.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Revenue GrowthStable
  • Geographic Revenue ConcentrationStable
  • Wide Moat High Quality PlatformStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Teradyne, Inc. (TER) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $375.24 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States (89.0%).

Teradyne designs and sells automated test equipment (Semiconductor Test and Product Test segments) and collaborative/autonomous robots (Robotics segment) globally, with 89% of 2025 revenues from outside the United States. Five largest direct customers accounted for 44% of... Read more

$375.24+1.6% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#1 of 25 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.52%
IncomeYield0.14%(5y avg 0.38%)Payout9.09%sustainable
Stop $343.25Target $374.98(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$416.65+11.0%17 analysts
$374.98our TP
$375.24price
$416.65mean
$270
$550

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $375.24 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States (89.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202626d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States (89.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)68.5
P/E (Fwd)37.5
Mkt Cap$57.8B
EV/EBITDA49.6
Profit Mgn22.6%
ROE28.7%
Rev Growth87.0%
Beta1.79
Dividend0.14%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.77bearish
IV114%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicoutside United States89%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to customers outside the United States were 89%, 87%, and 84%, respectively, of our consolidated revenues in 2025, 2024 and 2023'
  • MEDIUMCustomerfive largest direct customers44%
    10-K Item 1: 'our five largest direct customers in aggregate accounted for 44%, 36%, and 32% of our consolidated revenues, respectively'
  • LOWCustomeradditional direct customer (19%)19%
    10-K Item 1A: 'The additional direct customer accounted for 19% of consolidated revenues including certain revenues specified by our 10% specifiers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
1.6
Forward Pe
2.9
Peg Ratio
4.8
Analyst Target
5.0
Forward P/E: 37.5xPEG: 1.69Expensive valuation

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.6
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $340.34Resistance $487.91

Price Targets

$343
$375
A.Upside-0.1%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.6% upside)
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TER stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $375.24 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States (89.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $343.25. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TER stock price target?

Take-profit target: $374.98 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $343.25. Stop-loss: $343.25.

What are the risks of investing in TER?

Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States (89.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5.

Is TER overvalued or undervalued?

Teradyne, Inc. trades at a P/E of 68.5 (forward 37.5). TrendMatrix value score: 2.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TER?

23 analysts cover TER with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $417.

What does Teradyne, Inc. do?Teradyne designs and sells automated test equipment (Semiconductor Test and Product Test segments) and...

Teradyne designs and sells automated test equipment (Semiconductor Test and Product Test segments) and collaborative/autonomous robots (Robotics segment) globally, with 89% of 2025 revenues from outside the United States. Five largest direct customers accounted for 44% of consolidated revenues in 2025; approximately 6,600 employees at year-end.

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