Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge
Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $407.63 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. customers (89.0%); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Applied Materials is the leading provider of materials engineering solutions for semiconductor manufacturing, operating two segments: Semiconductor Systems (wafer fabrication equipment) and Applied Global Services (spares, services, software). The company derives ~89% of net... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $407.63 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. customers (89.0%); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 86d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Applied Materials, Inc.
Latest news
- What’s behind Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT)’s AI push - MSN — MSN positive
- Applied Materials Inc Stock (AMAT) Moved Down by 3.41% on Apr 15: Drivers Behind the Movement - TradingKey — TradingKey negative
- Applied Materials stock shot up 7% today – everything to know about its advanced chipmaking systems - MSN — MSN positive
- Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) Stock Price Today - MEXC — MEXC neutral
- Dear Applied Materials Stock Fans, Mark Your Calendars for May 14 - Barchart.com — Barchart.com neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertwo largest customers10-K Item 1: 'During fiscal 2025, two customers accounted for approximately 19% and 15%, respectively, of our net revenue.'
- HIGHGeographicnon-U.S. customers89%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 89% of our net revenue was to customers in regions outside the United States'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $407.63 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. customers (89.0%); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $378.43. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $465.44 (+14.4% upside). Prior stop was $378.43. Stop-loss: $378.43.
Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. customers (89.0%); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Expensive valuation.
Applied Materials, Inc. trades at a P/E of 38.9 (forward 26.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
43 analysts cover AMAT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $506.
What does Applied Materials, Inc. do?Applied Materials is the leading provider of materials engineering solutions for semiconductor manufacturing, operating...
Applied Materials is the leading provider of materials engineering solutions for semiconductor manufacturing, operating two segments: Semiconductor Systems (wafer fabrication equipment) and Applied Global Services (spares, services, software). The company derives ~89% of net revenue from outside the U.S., with two customers accounting for ~19% and ~15% of fiscal 2025 revenue.