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TERTeradyne, Inc.Buy Wait7.0·$269.35
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Teradyne has achieved 87% revenue growth year-over-year, holds a wide economic moat with a Piotroski financial health score of 7 out of 9 and 29% return on equity, and receives strongly positive news sentiment — but at $432 per share the stock trades 22% above the analyst consensus target with a forward price-to-earnings of 45.5 times, and free cash flow represents only 35% of net income.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Geographic Revenue Concentration↑Improving
  • Wide Moat High Quality Platform→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Teradyne, Inc. (TER) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Wait for pullback to $268.84. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $269.35. Engine's entry $268.84 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States (89.0%); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Teradyne designs and sells automated test equipment (Semiconductor Test and Product Test segments) and collaborative/autonomous robots (Robotics segment) globally, with 89% of 2025 revenues from outside the United States. Five largest direct customers accounted for 44% of... Read more

$269.35+41.9% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#1 of 24 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.43%
IncomeYield0.19%(5y avg 0.31%)Payout5.86%sustainable
Entry $268.84(support + ATR (held))Stop $250.10Target $382.20(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst consensus$424.67+57.7%15 analysts with price targets
$382.20our TP
$269.35price
$424.67mean
$550

Wait for pullback to $268.84. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $269.35. Engine's entry $268.84 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States (89.0%); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.44, quality 8.5/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 3, 2026

Recent Developments — Teradyne, Inc.

Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:29:29Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jan 27, 202784d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.5 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong overall score: 7.0/10
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States (89.0%)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.0
P/E (Fwd)22.5
Mkt Cap$42.1B
EV/EBITDA23.7
Profit Mgn27.5%
ROE42.7%
Rev Growth69.8%
Beta1.75
Dividend0.19%
Analysts with ratings22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.93neutral
IV82%elevated
Max Pain$190-29.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicoutside United States89%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to customers outside the United States were 89%, 87%, and 84%, respectively, of our consolidated revenues in 2025, 2024 and 2023'
  • MEDIUMCustomerfive largest direct customers44%
    10-K Item 1: 'our five largest direct customers in aggregate accounted for 44%, 36%, and 32% of our consolidated revenues, respectively'
  • LOWCustomeradditional direct customer (19%)19%
    10-K Item 1A: 'The additional direct customer accounted for 19% of consolidated revenues including certain revenues specified by our 10% specifiers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.8
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 25, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+7.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
25 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $257.84Resistance $416.69

Price Targets

$250
$269
$382
A.Upside+41.9%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.1%
Max %2.2%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-27 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TER stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $268.84. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $269.35. Engine's entry $268.84 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States (89.0%); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.44, quality 8.5/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $382.20 (+41.9%), stop $250.10 (−7.7%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TER stock price target?

Take-profit target: $382.20 (+41.9% upside). Target $382.20 (+41.9%), stop $250.10 (−7.7%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Stop-loss: $250.10.

What are the risks of investing in TER?

Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States (89.0%); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum.

Is TER overvalued or undervalued?

Teradyne, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.0 (forward 22.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TER?

22 analysts rate TER, with a consensus score of 3.9/5. 15 analysts publish price targets averaging $425.

What does Teradyne, Inc. do?Teradyne designs and sells automated test equipment (Semiconductor Test and Product Test segments) and...

Teradyne designs and sells automated test equipment (Semiconductor Test and Product Test segments) and collaborative/autonomous robots (Robotics segment) globally, with 89% of 2025 revenues from outside the United States. Five largest direct customers accounted for 44% of consolidated revenues in 2025; approximately 6,600 employees at year-end.

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