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AMKRAmkor Technology, Inc.Sell5.7·$67.08-3.69%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Four consecutive earnings beats averaging approximately 38% above consensus and healthy price momentum demonstrate operational execution, but negative free cash flow, business quality below the 4.0 minimum threshold, roughly 83% revenue concentration in a single product category, and just 1.7% headroom to the near-term resistance target combine to make the current risk-adjusted setup unfavorable.

Thesis pillars

  • Advanced Products Concentration RiskStable
  • Fcf Negative Quality Below FloorStable
  • Earnings Beat Streak Four QuartersStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $67.08: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Amkor Technology is the largest U.S.-headquartered outsourced semiconductor assembly and test service provider, offering packaging, wafer-level, and SiP solutions for smartphones, data centers, AI, and automotive markets. In 2025, Amkor generated $6,708 million in net sales,... Read more

$67.08+35.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#4 of 25 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-0.27%
IncomeYield0.48%(5y avg 0.99%)Payout19.10%sustainable
Stop $64.99Target $94.75(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$78.00+16.3%8 analysts
$94.75our TP
$67.08price
$78.00mean
$60
$95

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $67.08: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Amkor Technology, Inc.

About Amkor Technology, Inc.

Advanced Products represented 82.8% of Amkor Technology's $6,708 million in net sales in 2025, with advanced SiP modules contributing approximately $3,080 million of that total. The company operates as the largest U.S.-headquartered outsourced semiconductor assembly and test service provider, with manufacturing facilities across key Asian markets, a Vietnam facility that delivered packages beginning Q3 2024, and an Arizona facility that began construction in the second half of 2025.

Amkor earns revenue from turnkey semiconductor packaging and test services sold to integrated device manufacturers, fabless semiconductor companies, OEMs, and contract foundries. Revenue divides between Advanced Products—flip chip, memory, wafer-level packages, and SiP modules—and Mainstream Products (wirebond, leadframe, and power device packaging), with the Advanced Products share growing from 77.4% in 2023 to 82.8% in 2025. Gross margin depends heavily on capacity utilization because of the high fixed-cost base; the company does not operate with material backlog, and customers are not contractually required to provide binding purchase forecasts. Key commodity inputs—gold, silver, copper, leadframes, and laminate substrates—are sourced from a limited group of suppliers without long-term pricing agreements, leaving the company exposed if vendors raise prices or face disruptions. The automotive end market represents a significant portion of sales; that industry is cyclical and sensitive to general economic conditions, inflationary pressure, and end-market preference shifts. Amkor competes against Asia-based packaging peers and against foundries expanding into integrated packaging services.

Show full overview

Amkor's critical materials—leadframes, laminate substrates, and gold wire—are sourced from a limited group of suppliers on a purchase order basis without long-term supply agreements. The 10-K discloses that fire, severe weather, earthquakes, flooding, and tsunamis have in the past disrupted specialty chemicals, substrates, silicon wafers, and other electronics-industry inputs. Equipment is likewise acquired without long-term vendor contracts, meaning supply constraints or price spikes in tight markets could delay capacity expansion and prevent the company from fulfilling customer orders—a risk amplified by the high fixed-cost structure that requires consistently high utilization to preserve gross margins.

See also: Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

From Amkor Technology, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07

Recent Developments — Amkor Technology, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-07T10:21:36Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202622d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Advanced Products (82.8%)
Target reached (-2.9% upside)
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.0
P/E (Fwd)28.4
Mkt Cap$17.3B
EV/EBITDA14.3
Profit Mgn6.2%
ROE10.0%
Rev Growth27.5%
Beta2.21
Dividend0.48%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.96neutral
IV126%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductAdvanced Products83%
    10-K Item 1: 'Advanced Products| $| 5,556 | | | 82.8 | %'
  • MEDIUMCustomerautomotive industry customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our sales is to customers within the automotive industry'
  • MEDIUMSupplierlimited group of suppliers for critical materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'We source most of our materials, including critical materials such as leadframes, laminate substrates and gold wire, from a limited group of suppliers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.1
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
7.7
Uptrend pullback (RSI 38) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
2.4
Roa
2.9
Net Margin
3.1
Roe
3.3
Moat
5.6
Current Ratio
7.0
Piotroski F
8.9
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -11% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 22d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $64.32Resistance $96.68

Price Targets

$65
$95
A.Upside+41.2%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -25.8%), High leverage (D/E 4.7), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.05% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (22d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMKR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $67.08: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $64.99. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMKR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $94.75 (+35.6% upside). Prior stop was $64.99. Stop-loss: $64.99.

What are the risks of investing in AMKR?

Concentration risk — Product: Advanced Products (82.8%); Target reached (-2.9% upside); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is AMKR overvalued or undervalued?

Amkor Technology, Inc. trades at a P/E of 40.0 (forward 28.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AMKR?

18 analysts cover AMKR with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $78.

What does Amkor Technology, Inc. do?Amkor Technology is the largest U.S.-headquartered outsourced semiconductor assembly and test service provider,...

Amkor Technology is the largest U.S.-headquartered outsourced semiconductor assembly and test service provider, offering packaging, wafer-level, and SiP solutions for smartphones, data centers, AI, and automotive markets. In 2025, Amkor generated $6,708 million in net sales, with Advanced Products at 82.8% of revenue. Manufacturing spans Asia, Europe, and a new Arizona facility under construction since H2 2025.

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