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FormFactor, Inc. (FORM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5High Confidence

Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $131.26 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: probe card products.

FormFactor designs, manufactures, and sells probe cards, analytical probes, probe stations, thermal systems, and cryogenic systems for semiconductor electrical and optical testing across its Probe Cards and Systems segments. One customer represented 22.9% of revenue in fiscal... Read more

$131.26+18.9% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#15 of 25 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Stop $121.96Target $155.91(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst target$107.44-18.1%9 analysts
$155.91our TP
$131.26price
$107.44mean
$64
$175

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $131.26 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: probe card products. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: probe card products
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.1): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)196.4
P/E (Fwd)61.3
Mkt Cap$10.6B
EV/EBITDA102.8
Profit Mgn6.9%
ROE5.5%
Rev Growth13.6%
Beta1.04
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.24bullish
IV94%elevated
Max Pain$50-61.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductprobe card products
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend upon the sale of our probe card products for the substantial majority of our revenues.'
  • LOWCustomertop customer23%
    10-K Item 1A: 'One customer represented 22.9% of total revenues in fiscal 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-18Item 5.02LOW
    Director Kevin Brewer advised FormFactor's Board on February 13, 2026 that he will not stand for re-election at the 2026 annual meeting. No disagreement with the company cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
0.0
Ps
1.1
Forward Pe
1.8
Analyst Target
3.0
Peg Ratio
10.0
Forward P/E: 61.3xPEG: 0.47
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $95.70Resistance $159.09

Price Targets

$122
$156
A.Upside+18.8%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-28.7% upside)
! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FORM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $131.26 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: probe card products. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $121.96. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the FORM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $155.91 (+18.9% upside). Prior stop was $121.96. Stop-loss: $121.96.

What are the risks of investing in FORM?

Concentration risk — Product: probe card products; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.1): -1.5.

Is FORM overvalued or undervalued?

FormFactor, Inc. trades at a P/E of 196.4 (forward 61.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FORM?

16 analysts cover FORM with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $107.

What does FormFactor, Inc. do?FormFactor designs, manufactures, and sells probe cards, analytical probes, probe stations, thermal systems, and...

FormFactor designs, manufactures, and sells probe cards, analytical probes, probe stations, thermal systems, and cryogenic systems for semiconductor electrical and optical testing across its Probe Cards and Systems segments. One customer represented 22.9% of revenue in fiscal 2025; customers span logic, memory, and other device types.

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