Savers Value Village has strong price momentum with RSI at 79 and volume accumulation, analyst targets implying 38% upside, and a Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9, but 22% short interest and a death cross on a declining moving average suggest the overbought technical condition may resolve with a pullback.
Thesis pillars
- High Short Interest Debt Leverage↓Deteriorating
- Overbought Momentum With Short Squeeze Potential↓Deteriorating
- Analyst Upside Vs Mixed Earnings↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Savers Value Village, Inc. (SVV) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.11: Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 9.00; Below-average business quality.
Savers Value Village is the largest for-profit thrift retailer in the U.S. and Canada by store count, operating 367 stores under the Savers, Value Village, Unique, and 2nd Ave. banners across the U.S., Canada, and Australia. The company sources secondhand goods from non-profit... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.11: Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 9.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
About Savers Value Village, Inc.
About Savers Value Village, Inc.
Savers Value Village operates 367 thrift stores across the U.S. (179), Canada (170), and Australia (18), processing 1.1 billion pounds of secondhand goods in fiscal 2025 at an average unit retail price of about $5. Loyalty program members, 6.1 million active across the U.S. and Canada, generated 72.7% of retail sales for the year, and 41.6% of net sales were denominated in a currency other than the U.S. dollar.
The company buys secondhand textiles, housewares, and other goods from non-profit partners at a market-competitive contractual rate, then grades, prices, and merchandises the items across its stores, with unsold or unsuitable-for-retail textiles sold to wholesale customers globally who reuse or repurpose them. On-site donations and GreenDrop collection stations together supplied 78.0% of total pounds processed in fiscal 2025, a mix the company favors because it lowers per-pound cost and lifts gross product margin, which reached 55.3% for the year versus 50.7% in fiscal 2019. Savers Value Village leases virtually all of its store and processing locations, with existing leases averaging 7.63 years remaining as of January 3, 2026, and continues to invest in offsite Centralized Processing Centers and Automated Book Processing systems to support new-store growth without on-site processing space.
Show full overview
Savers Value Village frames thrift shopping as counter-cyclical to new-retail spending, noting secondhand markets have historically grown when disposable income tightens, but the 10-K acknowledges the reverse could occur too: economic upswings could increase new-retail purchases and slow secondhand shopping, denting revenue. Nearly 42% of net sales are exposed to Canadian and Australian dollar translation, and the filing separately flags that elevated interest rates are pressuring Canadian homeowners' mortgage renewals, a dynamic that may reduce consumer spending in a market representing roughly half the company's store base outside the U.S.
See also: Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
From Savers Value Village, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — Savers Value Village, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Savers Value Village (SVV) Expected to Announce Quarterly Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Savers Value Village (SVV) Meets Q1 Earnings Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Earnings call transcript: Savers Value Village misses Q1 2026 EPS forecast, stock sees modest gain - Investing.com Canad — Investing.com Canada negative
- NEWS Savers Value Village (NYSE:SVV) Issues FY 2026 Earnings Guidance - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Savers Value: Q1 Earnings Snapshot - KVUE — KVUE neutral
Generated 2026-07-26T08:02:05Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicCanada and Australia operations42%10-K Item 1A: 'we operated 170 stores in Canada and 18 stores in Australia. ... 41.6% of our net sales were denominated in a currency other than the U.S. dollar'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.11: Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 9.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $8.50. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $12.14 (+33.2% upside). Prior stop was $8.50. Stop-loss: $8.50.
Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0).
Savers Value Village, Inc. trades at a P/E of 65.1 (forward 15.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
15 analysts cover SVV with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $14.
What does Savers Value Village, Inc. do?Savers Value Village is the largest for-profit thrift retailer in the U.S. and Canada by store count, operating 367...
Savers Value Village is the largest for-profit thrift retailer in the U.S. and Canada by store count, operating 367 stores under the Savers, Value Village, Unique, and 2nd Ave. banners across the U.S., Canada, and Australia. The company sources secondhand goods from non-profit partners in exchange for a contractual rate, then processes, prices, and sells them at retail, with unsold textiles moved to wholesale buyers; a 6.1 million-member loyalty program drove 72.7% of fiscal 2025 retail sales. Ares Management funds control the company as its majority owner.