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SVVSavers Value Village, Inc.Sell5.0·$9.97-0.40%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Savers Value Village has strong price momentum with RSI at 79 and volume accumulation, analyst targets implying 38% upside, and a Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9, but 22% short interest and a death cross on a declining moving average suggest the overbought technical condition may resolve with a pullback.

Thesis pillars

  • High Short Interest Debt LeverageStable
  • Overbought Momentum With Short Squeeze PotentialStable
  • Analyst Upside Vs Mixed EarningsStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Savers Value Village, Inc. (SVV) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.97 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5; Weak overall score: 5.0/10.

Savers Value Village, Inc., a thrift operator, sells second-hand merchandise in retail stores in the United States, Canada, and Australia. It purchases secondhand textiles, including clothing, bedding, and bath items; shoes; accessories; housewares; books; and other goods from... Read more

$9.97+21.8% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#18 of 24 Specialty Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.37%
Stop $9.27Target $12.14(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$13.95+39.9%10 analysts
$12.14our TP
$9.97price
$13.95mean
$20

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.97 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5; Weak overall score: 5.0/10. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Analyst upside: 22%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5
Weak overall score: 5.0/10
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)71.2
P/E (Fwd)16.9
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA13.1
Profit Mgn1.3%
ROE5.2%
Rev Growth8.9%
Beta1.24
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV66%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.2
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.1
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
8.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.6
Value Rank
2.1
Growth Rank
6.7
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.81Resistance $10.55

Price Targets

$9
$12
A.Upside+21.8%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SVV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.97 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5; Weak overall score: 5.0/10. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $9.27. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the SVV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.14 (+21.8% upside). Prior stop was $9.27. Stop-loss: $9.27.

What are the risks of investing in SVV?

Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5; Weak overall score: 5.0/10; Negative momentum.

Is SVV overvalued or undervalued?

Savers Value Village, Inc. trades at a P/E of 71.2 (forward 16.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SVV?

15 analysts cover SVV with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Savers Value Village, Inc. do?Savers Value Village, Inc., a thrift operator, sells second-hand merchandise in retail stores in the United States,...

Savers Value Village, Inc., a thrift operator, sells second-hand merchandise in retail stores in the United States, Canada, and Australia. It purchases secondhand textiles, including clothing, bedding, and bath items; shoes; accessories; housewares; books; and other goods from non-profit partners and then processes, selects, prices, merchandises, and sells them in its stores. The company operates stores under the Savers, Value Village, Value Village Boutique, Village des Valeurs, Unique, and 2nd Avenue brands. It serves retail and wholesale customers. The company was formerly known as S-Evergreen Holding LLC and changed its name to Savers Value Village, Inc. in January 2022. Savers Value Village, Inc. was founded in 1954 and is based in Bellevue, Washington.

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