Savers Value Village has strong price momentum with RSI at 79 and volume accumulation, analyst targets implying 38% upside, and a Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9, but 22% short interest and a death cross on a declining moving average suggest the overbought technical condition may resolve with a pullback.
Thesis pillars
- High Short Interest Debt Leverage↑Improving
- Overbought Momentum With Short Squeeze Potential↓Deteriorating
- Analyst Upside Vs Mixed Earnings→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Savers Value Village, Inc. (SVV) Stock Analysis
Inst Constrain edge
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Savers Value Village is the largest for-profit thrift retailer in the U.S. and Canada by store count, operating 367 stores under the Savers, Value Village, Unique, and 2nd Ave. banners across the U.S., Canada, and Australia. The company sources secondhand goods from non-profit... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.
About Savers Value Village, Inc.
About Savers Value Village, Inc.
Savers Value Village operates 367 thrift stores across the U.S. (179), Canada (170), and Australia (18), processing 1.1 billion pounds of secondhand goods in fiscal 2025 at an average unit retail price of about $5. Loyalty program members, 6.1 million active across the U.S. and Canada, generated 72.7% of retail sales for the year, and 41.6% of net sales were denominated in a currency other than the U.S. dollar.
The company buys secondhand textiles, housewares, and other goods from non-profit partners at a market-competitive contractual rate, then grades, prices, and merchandises the items across its stores, with unsold or unsuitable-for-retail textiles sold to wholesale customers globally who reuse or repurpose them. On-site donations and GreenDrop collection stations together supplied 78.0% of total pounds processed in fiscal 2025, a mix the company favors because it lowers per-pound cost and lifts gross product margin, which reached 55.3% for the year versus 50.7% in fiscal 2019. Savers Value Village leases virtually all of its store and processing locations, with existing leases averaging 7.63 years remaining as of January 3, 2026, and continues to invest in offsite Centralized Processing Centers and Automated Book Processing systems to support new-store growth without on-site processing space.
Show full overview
Savers Value Village frames thrift shopping as counter-cyclical to new-retail spending, noting secondhand markets have historically grown when disposable income tightens, but the 10-K acknowledges the reverse could occur too: economic upswings could increase new-retail purchases and slow secondhand shopping, denting revenue. Nearly 42% of net sales are exposed to Canadian and Australian dollar translation, and the filing separately flags that elevated interest rates are pressuring Canadian homeowners' mortgage renewals, a dynamic that may reduce consumer spending in a market representing roughly half the company's store base outside the U.S.
See also: Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
From Savers Value Village, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-04Recent Developments — Savers Value Village, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Savers Value Village (SVV) Expected to Announce Quarterly Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Savers Value Village (SVV) Meets Q1 Earnings Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Earnings call transcript: Savers Value Village misses Q1 2026 EPS forecast, stock sees modest gain - Investing.com Canad — Investing.com Canada negative
- NEWS Savers Value Village (NYSE:SVV) Issues FY 2026 Earnings Guidance - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Savers Value: Q1 Earnings Snapshot - KVUE — KVUE neutral
Generated 2026-09-04T13:27:39Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicCanada and Australia operations42%10-K Item 1A: 'we operated 170 stores in Canada and 18 stores in Australia. ... 41.6% of our net sales were denominated in a currency other than the U.S. dollar'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $9.66. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $12.66 (+23.3% upside). Prior stop was $9.66. Stop-loss: $9.66.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.2): -1.5.
Savers Value Village, Inc. trades at a P/E of 68.5 (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
15 analysts cover SVV with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $15.
What does Savers Value Village, Inc. do?Savers Value Village is the largest for-profit thrift retailer in the U.S. and Canada by store count, operating 367...
Savers Value Village is the largest for-profit thrift retailer in the U.S. and Canada by store count, operating 367 stores under the Savers, Value Village, Unique, and 2nd Ave. banners across the U.S., Canada, and Australia. The company sources secondhand goods from non-profit partners in exchange for a contractual rate, then processes, prices, and sells them at retail, with unsold textiles moved to wholesale buyers; a 6.1 million-member loyalty program drove 72.7% of fiscal 2025 retail sales. Ares Management funds control the company as its majority owner.