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SPTSprout Social, IncSell5.3·$8.15+2.00%
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Sprout Social, Inc (SPT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. At $8.15, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.1%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Sprout Social, Inc. designs, develops, and operates a web-based social media management platform in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company provides cloud software for social messaging, data and workflows in a unified system of record,... Read more

$8.15+4.1% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#103 of 124 Software - Application
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield20.97%
Stop $7.51Target $8.41(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$9.67+18.6%9 analysts
$8.41our TP
$8.15price
$9.67mean
$6
$14

Sell if holding. At $8.15, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.1%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.1%
Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -5.2%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.17% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)6.8
Mkt Cap$486M
EV/EBITDA-15.6
Profit Mgn-8.2%
ROE-19.7%
Rev Growth11.2%
Beta0.98
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV93%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
0.7

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.4
Growth Rank
3.6
Value Rank
9.0
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 0.17%=MODERATEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.3>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.02Resistance $8.24

Price Targets

$8
$8
A.Upside+3.2%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SPT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $8.15, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.1%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Prior stop was $7.51. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SPT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.41 (+4.1% upside). Prior stop was $7.51. Stop-loss: $7.51.

What are the risks of investing in SPT?

Thin upside margin: 4.1%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -5.2%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.17% of cap).

Is SPT overvalued or undervalued?

Sprout Social, Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SPT?

15 analysts cover SPT with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Sprout Social, Inc do?Sprout Social, Inc. designs, develops, and operates a web-based social media management platform in the Americas,...

Sprout Social, Inc. designs, develops, and operates a web-based social media management platform in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company provides cloud software for social messaging, data and workflows in a unified system of record, intelligence, and action. It offers AI-powered solutions, such as publishing and scheduling, social customer care, reporting and analytics, social listening and business intelligence, reputation management, social commerce, influencer marketing, predictive media intelligence, employee advocacy, and automation and workflows. In addition, the company provides smart inbox, comprehensive case management, social customer relationship management, social monitoring and alerts, customer service tools, and automation; and centralized content planning, creation, and publishing, automated scheduling, content performance reporting, suggested content, message approval workflows, publishing permissions and governance, and content and asset libraries. Further, it offers social media; content performance, customer service and team, custom report builder, and reporting API; and market research, brand health, competitive insights, consumer trends, and product feedback; and reputation and review management, mobile applications, and chat bot creation and management. Additionally, the company offers professional services consisting of consulting and training services. It serves social and community management; public relations; marketing; influencer marketing; customer service and care; commerce, sales and customer acquisition; recruiting and hiring, product development, and business strategy; and small-and-medium-sized businesses, mid-market companies, enterprises, marketing agencies, government, non-profit, and educational institutions. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

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